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Author | : Joseph J. Buongiorno |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 37 |
Release | : 2012 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download Using the Global Forest Products Model (GFPM Version 2012) Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
The purpose of this manual is to enable users of the Global Forest Products Model to: Install and run the GFPM software, understand the input data, change the input data to explore different scenarios, interpret the output. The GFPM is an economic model of global production, consumption and trade of forest products (Buongiorno et al. 2003). The GFPM2012 has data and parameters to produce forecasts of forest resources and markets for 180 countries, and 14 forest product (commodity) categories, from 2009 to 2030. Zhu et al. (2008) describe how to update, calibrate, and validate the model with different data. This manual describes how to install the GFPM (Section 2); interpret the base year (2009) input data (Section 3) and the exogenous change data (Section 4) which the GFPM uses to forecast production, consumption, imports, exports, prices, forest stock and forest area; run the GFPM (Section 5); interpret the projection output from the GFPM (Section 6) and analyze product value and value added (Section 7). Section 8 provides information on possible causes of common errors.
Author | : Joseph Buongiorno |
Publisher | : Elsevier |
Total Pages | : 319 |
Release | : 2003-04-24 |
Genre | : Computers |
ISBN | : 0080521525 |
Download The Global Forest Products Model Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
The Global Forest Products Model (GFPM) book provides a complete introduction to this widely applied computer model. The GFPM is a dynamic economic equilibrium model that is used to predict production, consumption, trade, and prices of 14 major forest products in 180 interacting countries. The book thoroughly documents the methods, data, and computer software of the model, and demonstrates the model's usefulness in addressing international economic and environmental issues. The Global Forest Products Model is written by an international multi-disciplinary team and is ideal for graduate students and professionals in forestry, natural resource economics, and related fields. It explains trends in world forest industries in the simplest terms by explaining the economic theory underlying the model. It describes six applications of the GFPM, three of which were commissioned by the Food Agriculture of the United Nations, the USDA Forest Service, and New Zealand Research. The authors show how to apply the model to real issues such as the effects of the Asian economic crisis on the forest sector, the effects of eliminating tariffs on international trade and production, and the international effects of national environmental policies. They provide complete explanations on how to use the GFPM software, prepare the data, make the forecasts, and summarize the results with tables and graphs. Comprehensive, and rigorous description of the world forestry sector Written by an international multi-disciplinary team Thorough description of data and methods In-depth applications to modern economic and policy issues Detailed documentation of the computer software Suitable for students, researchers, and decision makers
Author | : Joseph J. Buongiorno |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 36 |
Release | : 2016 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download Using the Global Forest Products Model (GFPM Version 2016 with BPMPD) Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
The GFPM is an economic model of global production, consumption and trade of forest products. The original formulation and several applications are described in Buongiorno et al. (2003). However, subsequent versions, including the GFPM 2016 reflect significant changes and extensions. The GFPM 2016 software uses the BPMPD optimizer (Mészáros 1999). The GFPM 2016 is packaged with a file, named World.xlsx, that has data and parameters to produce forecasts of forest resources and markets for 180 countries, and 14 forest product (commodity) categories, from 2012 to 2065. The GFPM 2016 can be run directly with this World.xlsx file. Alternatively, Buongiorno and Zhu (2015b) describe how to update, calibrate, and validate the model with different data.
Author | : David Tomberlin |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 62 |
Release | : 1999 |
Genre | : Forest products |
ISBN | : |
Download The Global Forest Products Model (GFPM) Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Author | : Joseph J. Buongiorno |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 29 |
Release | : 2014 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download Calibrating and Updating the Global Forest Products Model (GFPM Version 2014 with BPMPD) Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
The Global Forest Products Model (GFPM) is an economic model of global production, consumption, and trade of forest products. An earlier version of the model is described in Buongiorno et al. (2003). The GFPM 2014 has data and parameters to simulate changes of the forest sector from 2010 to 2030. Buongiorno and Zhu (2014) describe how to use the model for simulation. Like the simulation procedures, the base-year calibration procedure described here uses the BPMPD optimizer (Mészáros 1999) to represent market equilibria.
Author | : James Alan Turner |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 22 |
Release | : 2000 |
Genre | : Forest products |
ISBN | : |
Download Using the Global Forest Products Model (GFPM) Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Author | : Joseph J. Buongiorno |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 29 |
Release | : 2016 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download Calibrating and Updating the Global Forest Products Model (GFPM Version 2016 with BPMPD) Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
The Global Forest Products Model (GFPM) is an economic model of global production, consumption, and trade of forest products. An earlier version of the model is described in Buongiorno et al. (2003). The GFPM 2016 has data and parameters to simulate changes of the forest sector from 2013 to 2030. Buongiorno and Zhu (2015) describe how to use the model for simulation. Like the simulation procedures, the base-year calibration procedure described here uses the BPMPD optimizer (Mészáros 1999) to represent market equilibria.
Author | : Shushuai Zhu |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 29 |
Release | : 2014 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download Global Forest Products Model Software Design & Implementation (GFPM Version 2014) Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This manual describes the structure of the GFPM software and of the programs to update and calibrate the GFPM with new data. An overview of the GFPM software structure is given in Section 1.1 in terms of the overall processing flows and the main components of the GFPM. Section 1.2 describes the role of batch files in controlling the execution of the GFPM programs, and details of the sequence of program execution corresponding to each of the S2Main MenuS3 options of the GFPM. Next, each component is described in detail in Sections 1.3, 1.4, and 1.5, including the main programs in that component, the control mechanism, and the data flow. The description of individual programs, procedures, or functions, focuses on their functionality, input/output, and processing mechanism. It does not go through the program code line by line. The manuals on using the GFPM and calibrating and updating the GFPM should be read before this manual.
Author | : G. Cornelis van Kooten |
Publisher | : CABI |
Total Pages | : 213 |
Release | : 2020-12-07 |
Genre | : Technology & Engineering |
ISBN | : 178924823X |
Download International Trade in Forest Products Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Because of the long-standing Canada-U.S. lumber trade dispute and the current pressure on the world's forests as a renewable energy source, much attention has been directed toward the modelling of international trade in wood products. Two types of trade models are described in this book: one is rooted in economic theory and mathematical programming, and the other consists of two econometric/statistical models--a gravity model rooted in theory and an approach known as GVAR that relies on time series analyses. The purpose of the book is to provide the background theory behind models and facilitate readers in easily constructing their own models to analyse policy questions that they wish to address, whether in forestry or some other sector. Examples in the book are meant to illustrate how models can be used to say something about a variety of issues, including identification of the gains and losses to various players in the North American softwood lumber business, and the potential for redirecting sales of lumber to countries outside the United States. The discussion is expanded to include other products besides lumber, and used to examine, for example, the effects of log export restrictions by one nation on all other forestry jurisdictions, the impacts of climate policies as they relate to the global forest sector, and the impact of oil prices on forest product markets throughout the world. This book will appeal to practising economists and researchers who wish to examine various policies that affect international trade, whether their interest is local or international in scope. Because the book provides the theoretical bases underlying various models, students and practitioners will find this a valuable reference book or supplementary textbook.
Author | : |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 132 |
Release | : 2012 |
Genre | : Forest products industry |
ISBN | : |
Download Outlook to 2060 for World Forests and Forest Industries Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Four RPA scenarios corresponding with scenarios from the Third and Fourth Assessments of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change were simulated with the Global Forest Products Model to project forest area, volume, products demand and supply, international trade, prices, and value added up to 2060 for Africa, Asia, Europe, North America, Oceania, South America, and selected countries. Scenario A1B presents a 5.5-fold increase in world fuelwood use that leads to high prices of fuelwood and industrial roundwood, driven by especially strong demand in Asia for large imports from South America and Europe. World roundwood consumption reaches 11.2 billion m3 in 2060, exceeding the increment of forests, particularly in Asia. Even under scenarios A2 and B2, the harvest in Asia is unsustainable. However, scenario A1B and a low fuelwood demand lead to a global harvest of 3.6 billion m3 only and to a sustainable forest volume. The world consumption of manufactured wood products grows modestly under most scenarios, with slight changes in prices. Consumption and value added in industries increases more rapidly in Asia, due to the fast economic growth of China and India in all scenarios. As a result, Asia is a large importer of industrial roundwood from South America and Europe and of paper and paperboard from Europe and North America.