Unintended Consequences Of U S Monetary Policy Shocks Dutch Disease And Capital Flow Measures In Emerging Markets And Developing Economies PDF Download
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Author | : Juan Yepez |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 32 |
Release | : 2021-08-06 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1513589741 |
Download Unintended Consequences of U. S. Monetary Policy Shocks: Dutch Disease and Capital Flow Measures in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Dutch disease is often referred as a situation in which large and sustained foreign currency inflows lead to a contraction of the tradable sector by giving rise to a real appreciation of the home currency. This paper documents that this syndrome has been witnessed by many emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs) as a result of surges in capital inflows driven by accommodative U. S. monetary policy. In a sample of 25 EMDEs from 2000-17, U. S. monetary policy shocks coincided with episodes of currency appreciation and a contraction in tradable output in these economies. The paper also shows empirically that the use of capital flow measures (CFMs) has been a common policy response in several EMDEs to U.S. monetary policy shocks. Against this background, the paper presents a two sector small open economy augmented with a learning-by-doing (LBD) mechanism in the tradable sector to rationalize these empirical findings. A welfare analysis provides a rationale for the use of CFMs as a second-best policy when agents do not internalize the LBD externality of costly resource misallocation as a result of greater capital inflows. However, the adequate calibration of CFMs and the quantification of the LBD externality represent important implementation challenges.
Author | : Taeree Wang |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 124 |
Release | : 2017 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : 9781369701357 |
Download U.S. Monetary Policy Shocks and Their Impacts on International Capital Flows Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
During the 2008 global financial crisis, several emerging market economy (EME) authorities argued that advanced economy policies including large-scale asset purchases by the U.S. Federal Reserve were primary sources of excessive capital flows and created adverse spillover effects to the EMEs. More recently, EME policy makers have been concerned about the adverse effects of advanced economy monetary policy normalization. Tracking the link between the monetary policy shocks in advanced countries and capital flows to emerging markets can be crucial for informing the debate about appropriate policy responses to capital inflows by the EMEs.
Author | : M. Ayhan Kose |
Publisher | : World Bank Publications |
Total Pages | : 403 |
Release | : 2021-03-03 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1464815453 |
Download Global Waves of Debt Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.
Author | : Andreas Hoffmann |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : |
Release | : 2014 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download Zero-Interest Rate Policy and Unintended Consequences in Emerging Markets Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Since 2009, central banks in the major advanced economies have held interest rates at very low levels to stabilize financial markets and support the recovery of their economies. Based on a Mises-Hayek-BIS view on credit booms and Mises' law of unintended consequences, this paper suggests that the prolonged period of very low interest rates in the large advanced economies (unintentionally) spurs volatile capital flows and fuels asset market bubbles in fast-growing emerging markets. The resulting inflationary pressure and risks of capital flow reversals gives rise to a new wave of interventionism as policymakers in emerging markets increasingly reintroduce financially repressive measures to isolate the economies from foreign capital inflows.
Author | : Mr.Stijn Claessens |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 36 |
Release | : 2014-08-19 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1498357601 |
Download Macro-Prudential Policies to Mitigate Financial System Vulnerabilities Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Macro-prudential policies aimed at mitigating systemic financial risks have become part of the policy toolkit in many emerging markets and some advanced countries. Their effectiveness and efficacy are not well-known, however. Using panel data regressions, we analyze how changes in balance sheets of some 2,800 banks in 48 countries over 2000–2010 respond to specific macro-prudential policies. Controlling for endogeneity, we find that measures aimed at borrowers––caps on debt-to-income and loan-to-value ratios––and at financial institutions––limits on credit growth and foreign currency lending––are effective in reducing asset growth. Countercyclical buffers are little effective through the cycle, and some measures are even counterproductive during downswings, serving to aggravate declines, consistent with the ex-ante nature of macro-prudential tools.
Author | : Masahiro Kawai |
Publisher | : Edward Elgar Publishing |
Total Pages | : 465 |
Release | : 2010-01-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 184980687X |
Download Managing Capital Flows Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Managing Capital Flows provides analyses that can help policymakers develop a framework for managing capital flows that is consistent with prudent macroeconomic and financial sector stability. While capital inflows can provide emerging market economies with invaluable benefits in pursuing economic development and growth, they can also pose serious policy challenges for macroeconomic management and financial sector supervision. The expert contributors cover a wide range of issues related to managing capital flows and analyze the experience of emerging Asian economies in dealing with surges in capital inflows. They also discuss possible policy measures to manage capital flows while remaining consistent with the goals of macroeconomic and financial sector stability. Building on this analysis, the book presents options for workable national policies and regional policy cooperation, particularly in exchange rate management. Containing chapters that bring in international experiences relevant to Asia and other emerging market economies, this insightful book will appeal to policymakers in governments and financial institutions, as well as public and private finance experts. It will also be of great interest to advanced students and academic researchers in finance.
Author | : Connel Fullenkamp |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 94 |
Release | : 2008-03-11 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1451925255 |
Download Macroeconomic Consequences of Remittances Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Given the large size of aggregate remittance flows (billions of dollars annually), they should be expected to have significant macroeconomic effects on the economies that receive them. This paper directly addresses the two main issues of interest to policymakers with regard to remittances--how to manage their macroeconomic effects, and how to harness their development potential--by reporting the results of the first global study of the comprehensive macroeconomic effects of remittances on recipient economies. In broad terms, the findings of this paper tend to confirm the main benefit cited in the microeconomic literature: remittances improve households' welfare by lifting families out of poverty and insuring them against income shocks. The findings also yield a number of important caveats and policy considerations, however, that have largely been overlooked. The main challenge for policymakers in countries that receive significant flows of remittances is to design policies that promote remittances and increase their benefits while mitigating adverse side effects. Getting these policy prescriptions correct early on is imperative. Globalization and the aging of developed economy populations will ensure that demand for migrant workers remains robust for years to come. Hence, the volume of remittances likely will continue to grow, and with it, the challenge of unlocking the maximum societal benefit from these transfers.
Author | : Gurnain Kaur Pasricha |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 23 |
Release | : 2022-03-30 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : |
Download Review of The Institutional View on The Liberalization and Management of Capital Flows — Background Note on Capital Flows and Capital Flow Management Measures — Benefits and Costs Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
The Fund’s Institutional View (IV) recognizes the benefits of and risks associated with capital flows. Since the IV was adopted, a growing literature has provided additional insights into the benefits and risks from capital flows. This note summarizes the insights from the recent literature and the experiences of staff since the adoption of the IV that have informed this review.
Author | : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 94 |
Release | : 2012-04-18 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1616352477 |
Download Global Financial Stability Report, April 2012 Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
The April 2012 Global Financial Stability Report assesses changes in risks to financial stability over the past six months, focusing on sovereign vulnerabilities, risks stemming from private sector deleveraging, and assessing the continued resilience of emerging markets. The report probes the implications of recent reforms in the financial system for market perception of safe assets, and investigates the growing public and private costs of increased longevity risk from aging populations.
Author | : International Monetary Fund |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 45 |
Release | : 2014-06-11 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1498342620 |
Download Staff Guidance Note on Macroprudential Policy Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This note provides guidance to facilitate the staff’s advice on macroprudential policy in Fund surveillance. It elaborates on the principles set out in the “Key Aspects of Macroprudential Policy,” taking into account the work of international standard setters as well as the evolving country experience with macroprudential policy. The main note is accompanied by supplements offering Detailed Guidance on Instruments and Considerations for Low Income Countries