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The Timeline of Presidential Elections

The Timeline of Presidential Elections
Author: Robert S. Erikson
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Total Pages: 221
Release: 2012-08-24
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 0226922162

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In presidential elections, do voters cast their ballots for the candidates whose platform and positions best match their own? Or is the race for president of the United States come down largely to who runs the most effective campaign? It’s a question those who study elections have been considering for years with no clear resolution. In The Timeline of Presidential Elections, Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien reveal for the first time how both factors come into play. Erikson and Wlezien have amassed data from close to two thousand national polls covering every presidential election from 1952 to 2008, allowing them to see how outcomes take shape over the course of an election year. Polls from the beginning of the year, they show, have virtually no predictive power. By mid-April, when the candidates have been identified and matched in pollsters’ trial heats, preferences have come into focus—and predicted the winner in eleven of the fifteen elections. But a similar process of forming favorites takes place in the last six months, during which voters’ intentions change only gradually, with particular events—including presidential debates—rarely resulting in dramatic change. Ultimately, Erikson and Wlezien show that it is through campaigns that voters are made aware of—or not made aware of—fundamental factors like candidates’ policy positions that determine which ticket will get their votes. In other words, fundamentals matter, but only because of campaigns. Timely and compelling, this book will force us to rethink our assumptions about presidential elections.


The 2012 Campaign and the Timeline of Presidential Elections

The 2012 Campaign and the Timeline of Presidential Elections
Author: Robert S. Erikson
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Total Pages: 50
Release: 2014-02-26
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 022618417X

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Do voters cast ballots for the candidates whose positions best match their own? Or does the race for president come down to who runs the most effective campaign? In their book, The Timeline of Presidential Elections, published in 2012, Erikson and Wlezien documented how both factors come into play. Having amassed data from national polls covering presidential elections from 1952 to 2008, they could track how outcomes take shape over the course of an election year. But they wanted to know whether Barak Obama’s historic 2012 campaign would follow the same pattern. This e-book both presents the central arguments from Timeline and updates the statistical analysis to include data from 2012. The authors also use the 2012 presidential campaign as a test of the empirical patterns they found in the previous fifteen elections. They show that Obama’s campaign conforms to their projections, and they confirm that it is through campaigns that voters are made aware of--or not made aware of--fundamental factors like candidates’ policy positions that determine which ticket will get their votes. In other words, fundamentals matter, but only because of campaigns. The 2012 Campaign and the Timeline of Presidential Elections will be useful in courses on the election process.


A History of Presidential Elections

A History of Presidential Elections
Author: Edward Stanwood
Publisher: Boston : Houghton
Total Pages: 510
Release: 1892
Genre: Presidents
ISBN:

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Timeline of Presidential Elections

Timeline of Presidential Elections
Author: Barbara Krasner
Publisher: Capstone Classroom
Total Pages: 49
Release: 2016-01-01
Genre: Juvenile Nonfiction
ISBN: 1491486295

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"Offers a chronological look at U.S. presidential elections utilizing an info graphic approach"--


The Presidency

The Presidency
Author: Stefan Lorant
Publisher: New York : Macmillan
Total Pages: 792
Release: 1951
Genre: Elections
ISBN:

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Here's a superb record of every presidential election in the United States, from the days of George Washington to the struggle between Dewey and Truman. Over 1,000 fascinating pictures vividly illustrate this story of election drama--heroism, scandal, rugged conflict, and stirring ballyhoo. The pictures and text give abundant proof that politics brings out some of our most picturesque--and most American--behavior! Story by story, and picture by picture. author Lorant builds up his striking portrait of an important side of American democracy--our free elections. The forty-two chapters, one for each presidential election and an introductory one on the Creation of Office, make up a lively political history of the United States. With swift, sure strokes Lorant draws in the background of each campaign, portrays the characters of the opposing candidates, and describes the battles that took place. He gives the statistics: always the Electoral vote, and after 1828 the popular vote as well. Thus the reader can quickly see how each state voted for each candidate, the majority by which each election was won, and which Presidents won the popular vote but lost the Electoral vote. The contemporary illustrations do the rest--portraits, engravings, old prints, broadsides, pages of newspapers, facsimiles of letters, hundreds of pungent cartoons, and the best photographs of all the modern campaigns. Lively glimpses of the candidates in action, the rise and fall of parties, vivid bits of historical by-play, election-night scenes, nominating conventions, inaugurations all are here. The portraits of each major candidate for the presidency and vice-presidency from 1789 to 1948 precede each chapter. Never before has the story of presidential elections been so graphically told. This book gives you history at a glance, and will prove as valuable to the historian as to the reader for pleasure.--Jacket.


The Timeline of Presidential Election Campaigns

The Timeline of Presidential Election Campaigns
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2004
Genre:
ISBN:

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The research addresses the evolution of electoral sentiment over the campaign cycle. The researchers translate general arguments about the role of election campaigns into a set of formal, statistical expectations, then outline an empirical analysis and examine trial-heat poll results for the 15 United States presidential elections between 1944 and 2000. The analysis focuses specifically on two questions. First, to what extent does the observable variation in aggregate poll results represent real movement in electoral preferences (if the election were held the day of the poll) as opposed to mere survey error? Second, to the extent polls register true movement of preferences owing to the shocks of campaign events, do the effects last or do they decay? Answers to these questions tell us whether and the extent to which campaign events have effects on preferences and whether these effects persist until Election Day. The answers thus inform about whether campaigns have any real impact on the final election outcome ... Cf. : http://webapp.icpsr.umich.edu/cocoon/ICPSR-STUDY/01304.xml.


That Tuesday in November

That Tuesday in November
Author: Mike Henry
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Total Pages: 237
Release: 2020-10-23
Genre: History
ISBN: 1475858256

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Like many aspects of the nation's history, its elections have had their share of behind the scenes activity and drama. This work is an examination of each of the presidential contests and some of the unusual events surrounding them such as the back room convention deals, compromised candidates, campaign strategies, both successful and failures; and major effects on the outcomes due to such inventions as television. In some cases, a swing of just a few votes to another candidate could have had a profound effect on America's future.


A History of Presidential Elections, from George Washington to Jimmy Carter

A History of Presidential Elections, from George Washington to Jimmy Carter
Author: Eugene Holloway Roseboom
Publisher:
Total Pages: 370
Release: 1979
Genre: Presidents
ISBN: 9780020364207

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Almost entirely redone, this book provides complete coverage of the great changes in politics of electing Presidents, particularly over the past nine years.


A History of United States Presidential Elections - Book 2

A History of United States Presidential Elections - Book 2
Author: Paul R. Wonning
Publisher: Mossy Feet Books
Total Pages: 75
Release: 2021-08-05
Genre: History
ISBN:

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The issue of slavery loomed ever larger in American politics as the middle of the Nineteenth Century passed. The Republican Party, birthed to destroy the institution, inaugurated its first candidate in 1856. Four years later Abraham Lincoln gained the nomination. The Democratic Party, committed to preserving and expanding slavery, nominated Stephen A. Douglas. Abraham Lincoln won the presidency, casting the nation into a bloody civil war. Abraham Lincoln's issuance of the Emaciation Proclamation did not end slavery, but it led to its demise at war's end. A History of United States Presidential Elections - Book 2, covers the critical pre Civil War years from 1856 until 1865. republican party, Abraham Lincoln, civil war, politics, parties, emancipation proclamation, end slavery