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Three Essays on Systemic Risk

Three Essays on Systemic Risk
Author: Sylvain Benoit
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

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Systemic risk has played a key role in the propagation of the last global financial crisis. A large number ofsystemic risk measures have been developed to quantify the contribution of a financial institution to thesystem-wide risk. However, numerous questions about their abilities to identify Systemically ImportantFinancial Institutions (SIFIs) have been raised since systemic risk has multiple facets, and some of themare difficult to gauge, such as the commonalities across financial institutions.The main goal of this dissertation in finance is thus (i) to propose an empirical solution to identifydomestic SIFIs, (ii) to compare theoretically and empirically different systemic risk measures, and (iii)to measure changes in banks' risk exposures.First, chapter 1 offers an adjustment of three market-based systemic risk measures, designed in a globalframework, to identify domestic SIFIs. Second, chapter 2 introduces a common framework in whichseveral systemic risk measures are expressed and compared. It is theoretically shown that those systemicrisk measures can be expressed as function of traditional risk measures. The empirical application confirmsthese findings and shows that these measures fall short in capturing the multifaceted nature of systemicrisk. Third, chapter 3 proposes the Factor Implied Risk Exposures (FIRE) methodology which breaksdown a change in risk disclosure into a market volatility component and a bank-specific risk exposurecomponent. This chapter empirically illustrates that changes in risk exposures are positively correlatedacross banks, which is consistent with banks exhibiting commonality in trading.


Three Essays in Bank Systemic Risk

Three Essays in Bank Systemic Risk
Author: Amir Hossein Khalilzadeh Naghneh
Publisher:
Total Pages: 151
Release: 2018
Genre:
ISBN:

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Thèse. HEC. 2018


Three Essays on Systemic Risk

Three Essays on Systemic Risk
Author: Benjamin Rodney Woodruff
Publisher:
Total Pages: 192
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

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I examine three topics related to systemic risk which not usually considered in mainstream research. I find evidence that coffee price risk might be hedged by Ugandan producers, possibly mitigating the risk of economy-wide devastation. I provide evidence that there is a long history of a relationship between real estate lending and bank failures, which have threatened economic collapse several times in American history. And I show the potential benefits of an options market for temporary shelter for persons fleeing natural disasters, history's most unforgiving threat to individuals and nations. All three papers contribute to the understanding of systemic risk, providing important insights for policymakers and avenues for further research.


Three Essays on Finanical Economics

Three Essays on Finanical Economics
Author: Yi-An Chen
Publisher:
Total Pages: 125
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

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This thesis discusses network risk and its implications for financial economics. A stock's tendency to co-move with its related stocks is defined as network risk. In the first chapter, I propose a new econometric procedure to estimate network risk using a factor model and show that network risk is not negligible in the 2007-2008 financial crisis. The second chapter examines the pricing of network risk in the cross section of stock expected returns. Using the Fama-McBeth regression, I show that a newly-derived network volatility component of idiosyncratic volatility, termed NVOL, was priced with a 1.01 percent monthly premium between Sep. 1967 and Dec. 2012. This finding suggests a risk-based explanation of the equity premium: Stocks are compensated for risk that arises from shocks to networks that contain them. Finally, the third chapter summarizes various systemic risk measures developed after the financial crisis in 2008. These measures are classified into four categories: (1) Tail dependence; (2) Default probability; (3) Network measure; and (4) Others based on their approach and data required. Robust-yet-Fragile property which is one of the characteristics of a modern financial system is identified as a key to understanding the cascade effects of systemic risk. Network based systemic risk models have great potential to capture this property, both theoretically and empirically.


Three Essays on Sovereign Credit Risk

Three Essays on Sovereign Credit Risk
Author: Tingwei Wang
Publisher:
Total Pages: 152
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN:

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This thesis studies sovereign credit risk and its impact on banks and industrial firms. The first essay shows that bank credit risk is linked to sovereign credit risk through common exposure to systemic risk instead of implicit bailout or excessive holding of home country bonds. In the second essay, I build a trade-off model of capital structure which predicts negative correlation between optimal leverage of big firms and sovereign credit risk due to implicit bailout. The model prediction is confirmed by empirical evidence from firms in the euro area. The third essay provides a joint pricing model of CDS and bond to disentangle the default and liquidity component in CDS spread and bond yield spread. I find a remarkable liquidity component in the CDS spreads of peripheral euro area countries and conclude that ignoring CDS illiquidity leads to overestimation of default component in bond yield.


Three Essays on Systemic Risk and Rating in Crop Insurance Markets

Three Essays on Systemic Risk and Rating in Crop Insurance Markets
Author: Joshua D. Woodard
Publisher: ProQuest
Total Pages: 155
Release: 2008
Genre:
ISBN: 9780549911456

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The second essay investigates the loss performance of the Federal Crop Insurance program. Historically, government insurance programs tend to be ineffective at segregating risks, leading to markets that are inefficient. In the case of the Federal Crop Insurance program, rates are set non-competitively. This study develops a spatial econometric model of loss experience and finds evidence of geographic misratings. The results also suggest that substantial actuarial cross-subsidization is resulting from the apparent rating inequities, which has a variety of welfare implications.