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Think Twice

Think Twice
Author: Michael J. Mauboussin
Publisher: Harvard Business Review Press
Total Pages: 224
Release: 2012-11-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1422155544

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No matter your field, industry, or specialty, as a leader you make a series of crucial decisions every single day. And the harsh truth is that the majority of decisions—no matter how good the intentions behind them—are mismanaged, resulting in a huge toll on organizations, the people they employ, and even the people they serve. So why is it so hard to make sound decisions? In Think Twice, now in paperback, Michael Mauboussin argues that we often fall victim to simplified mental routines that prevent us from coping with the complex realities inherent in important judgment calls. Yet these cognitive errors are preventable. In this engaging book, Mauboussin shows us how to recognize and avoid common mental missteps. These include misunderstanding cause-and-effect linkages, not considering enough alternative possibilities in making a decision, and relying too much on experts. Through vivid stories, the author presents memorable rules for avoiding each error and explains how to recognize when you should “think twice”—questioning your reasoning and adopting decision-making strategies that are far more effective, even if they seem counterintuitive. Armed with this awareness, you'll soon begin making sounder judgment calls that benefit (rather than hurt) your organization.


Think Twice

Think Twice
Author: David P. Therrien
Publisher: Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
Total Pages: 116
Release: 2015-11-04
Genre:
ISBN: 9781508418382

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Of all the decisions you have made so far, can you think of how many turned out great and how many turned out, well, not so great? Lets meet me here every day so we can take this journey together and refine our decision making process as we address the issues of everyday life. I will encourage you, challenge you and hopefully, give you a whole new zealousness for life. No more pulling the sheets over your head so you don't have to face the day. Oh no, we are going to learn to "think twice," before acting.


Noise

Noise
Author: Daniel Kahneman
Publisher: Little, Brown
Total Pages: 429
Release: 2021-05-18
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 031645138X

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From the Nobel Prize-winning author of Thinking, Fast and Slow and the coauthor of Nudge, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones—"a tour de force” (New York Times). Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients—or that two judges in the same courthouse give markedly different sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firm make different decisions about indistinguishable job applicants—or that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens to answer the phone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the same customer service agent makes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical. In Noise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein show the detrimental effects of noise in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection. Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet, most of the time, individuals and organizations alike are unaware of it. They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions. Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds of research-based insights that made Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nudge groundbreaking New York Times bestsellers, Noise explains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgment—and what we can do about it.


Thinking, Fast and Slow

Thinking, Fast and Slow
Author: Daniel Kahneman
Publisher: Farrar, Straus and Giroux
Total Pages: 511
Release: 2011-10-25
Genre: Psychology
ISBN: 1429969350

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Major New York Times bestseller Winner of the National Academy of Sciences Best Book Award in 2012 Selected by the New York Times Book Review as one of the ten best books of 2011 A Globe and Mail Best Books of the Year 2011 Title One of The Economist's 2011 Books of the Year One of The Wall Street Journal's Best Nonfiction Books of the Year 2011 2013 Presidential Medal of Freedom Recipient Kahneman's work with Amos Tversky is the subject of Michael Lewis's The Undoing Project: A Friendship That Changed Our Minds In his mega bestseller, Thinking, Fast and Slow, Daniel Kahneman, the renowned psychologist and winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics, takes us on a groundbreaking tour of the mind and explains the two systems that drive the way we think. System 1 is fast, intuitive, and emotional; System 2 is slower, more deliberative, and more logical. The impact of overconfidence on corporate strategies, the difficulties of predicting what will make us happy in the future, the profound effect of cognitive biases on everything from playing the stock market to planning our next vacation—each of these can be understood only by knowing how the two systems shape our judgments and decisions. Engaging the reader in a lively conversation about how we think, Kahneman reveals where we can and cannot trust our intuitions and how we can tap into the benefits of slow thinking. He offers practical and enlightening insights into how choices are made in both our business and our personal lives—and how we can use different techniques to guard against the mental glitches that often get us into trouble. Winner of the National Academy of Sciences Best Book Award and the Los Angeles Times Book Prize and selected by The New York Times Book Review as one of the ten best books of 2011, Thinking, Fast and Slow is destined to be a classic.


Think Twice

Think Twice
Author: Richard H Thomas
Publisher: Independently Published
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2022-08-14
Genre:
ISBN:

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Every day, regardless of your profession, or area of expertise, you make several important decisions as a leader, a partner, and a friend. No matter how well-intentioned a decision may be, the majority of the time it is made incorrectly, which hurts businesses, the people who work for them, and even the clients they serve. This also occurs in marriages, relationships, and friendships. For one to comprehend the laws of life one must THINK TWICE before any decisions are made.


The Scout Mindset

The Scout Mindset
Author: Julia Galef
Publisher: Penguin
Total Pages: 290
Release: 2021-04-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0735217556

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"...an engaging and enlightening account from which we all can benefit."—The Wall Street Journal A better way to combat knee-jerk biases and make smarter decisions, from Julia Galef, the acclaimed expert on rational decision-making. When it comes to what we believe, humans see what they want to see. In other words, we have what Julia Galef calls a "soldier" mindset. From tribalism and wishful thinking, to rationalizing in our personal lives and everything in between, we are driven to defend the ideas we most want to believe—and shoot down those we don't. But if we want to get things right more often, argues Galef, we should train ourselves to have a "scout" mindset. Unlike the soldier, a scout's goal isn't to defend one side over the other. It's to go out, survey the territory, and come back with as accurate a map as possible. Regardless of what they hope to be the case, above all, the scout wants to know what's actually true. In The Scout Mindset, Galef shows that what makes scouts better at getting things right isn't that they're smarter or more knowledgeable than everyone else. It's a handful of emotional skills, habits, and ways of looking at the world—which anyone can learn. With fascinating examples ranging from how to survive being stranded in the middle of the ocean, to how Jeff Bezos avoids overconfidence, to how superforecasters outperform CIA operatives, to Reddit threads and modern partisan politics, Galef explores why our brains deceive us and what we can do to change the way we think.


Hardness Is What Harden Us

Hardness Is What Harden Us
Author: John Wanjiku
Publisher: John wanjiku
Total Pages: 35
Release: 2022-06-29
Genre: Juvenile Nonfiction
ISBN:

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A SYNOPSIS. (This is a collection of poetry by the name hardness is what should harden us. Is reveals the reality of life and that reality is that life is hard. It provides a solution to life’s hardness by demonstrating to us that dealing with the hardness of life is not to run away from life’s problem but to harden yourself by facing them. The more you become prone to problems and face them without search of an escape root or a way out the more you become resistant to them meaning that hardness have hardened you. You should not always be optimistic in life but you should strive to create an atmosphere for others to be, meaning that at the end you will be more than optimistic. This will make you stand as firm as a rock no matter what life circumstances might throw in your way. I can describe hardness is what should harden us as both a fiction and a nonfiction poetry book. Nonfiction in that it explains the reality of life, how to deal with it and how to solve the problems that may arise in day to day life. And it even shows you the right path to follow and the best decision to make in life and the true attributes of our creator God. It's also fiction in that it exaggerates and add humor in matters concerning nature, life,society and even in matters related to love.)


Think Bigger

Think Bigger
Author: Michael W. Sonnenfeldt
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 53
Release: 2017-09-25
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1119426316

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What does it take to succeed today both personally and professionally? In looking for answers, one obvious place to start would be to talk to self-made men and women who themselves are successful. That's exactly what Michael W. Sonnenfeldt—an accomplished entrepreneur—has done here in this ground-breaking book. Drawing on the wisdom, insight and experience of members of TIGER 21 (The Investment Group for Enhanced Results in the 21st Century), and supplementing that with additional research and interviews, Sonnenfeldt offers real-world guidance and often counter-intuitive advice and conclusions. Among the things you'll learn are: Why grit and focus trump intelligence just about every time. Why having—and listening to— a wise mentor will create shortcuts to getting more done. What you need to do to avoid getting in your own way. And why. 'Shirtsleeves to shirtsleeves in three generations' can be avoided by taking some simple, commonsense steps. Think BIGGER will inspire you, no matter where you are in your business career. It will also show you that the skills you use to grow wealth can be applied to making the world a better place. Your success can benefit others. Michael W. Sonnenfeldt is the founder and chairman of TIGER 21, the premier peer-to-peer learning network for high-net-worth first generation wealth creators in North America and London. He is an accomplished serial entrepreneur, philanthropist and most excited that all of his proceeds from this book will support the TIGER 21 Foundation for young entrepreneurs.


Summary: Think Twice

Summary: Think Twice
Author: BusinessNews Publishing,
Publisher: Primento
Total Pages: 45
Release: 2014-11-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 2511021986

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The must-read summary of Michael Mauboussin's book: "Think Twice: Harnessing the Power of Counterintuition". This complete summary of the ideas from Michael Mauboussin's book "Think Twice" reveals the reasons why people sometimes make bad decisions. In his book, the author explains that this comes down to the mental software that is hardwired into the human brain. Most of us would rather do whatever comes to mind first rather than properly calibrating the evidence which lies at hand and applying that to our decision making. This summary demonstrates why you should try and think twice when making decisions in order to reduce the number of mistakes you make. Added-value of this summary: • Save time • Understand key concepts • Expand your knowledge To learn more, read "Think Twice" and find out how to make better decisions in your personal and professional life.