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Quantitative Approaches To Political Intelligence

Quantitative Approaches To Political Intelligence
Author: Richards Heuer
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 130
Release: 2019-06-10
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1000308839

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Bridging the gap between the scientific approach to international relations and the intuitive analysis of the government foreign affairs specialist, this book reports on a concerted effort by the CIA to apply modern social science methods to problems confronted by political intelligence analysts. The unique experience gained through this CIA progra


Quantitative Approaches To Political Intelligence

Quantitative Approaches To Political Intelligence
Author: Richards Heuer
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 194
Release: 2019-06-10
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1000236951

Download Quantitative Approaches To Political Intelligence Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle

Bridging the gap between the scientific approach to international relations and the intuitive analysis of the government foreign affairs specialist, this book reports on a concerted effort by the CIA to apply modern social science methods to problems confronted by political intelligence analysts. The unique experience gained through this CIA progra


Quantitative Approaches to Political Intelligence

Quantitative Approaches to Political Intelligence
Author: Richards Heuer
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 194
Release: 2019-09-27
Genre:
ISBN: 9780367284893

Download Quantitative Approaches to Political Intelligence Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle

Bridging the gap between the scientific approach to international relations and the intuitive analysis of the government foreign affairs specialist, this book reports on a concerted effort by the CIA to apply modern social science methods to problems confronted by political intelligence analysts. Quantitative Approaches to Political Intelligence reports on a concerted effort by the CIA to apply modern social science methods to problems confronted by political intelligence analysts and bridges the gap between the scientific approach to international relations and the intuitive analysis of the government foreign affairs specialist.


Intelligence Analysis

Intelligence Analysis
Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
Total Pages: 352
Release: 2011-04-08
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 0309176980

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The U.S. intelligence community (IC) is a complex human enterprise whose success depends on how well the people in it perform their work. Although often aided by sophisticated technologies, these people ultimately rely on their own intellect to identify, synthesize, and communicate the information on which the nation's security depends. The IC's success depends on having trained, motivated, and thoughtful people working within organizations able to understand, value, and coordinate their capabilities. Intelligence Analysis provides up-to-date scientific guidance for the intelligence community (IC) so that it might improve individual and group judgments, communication between analysts, and analytic processes. The papers in this volume provide the detailed evidentiary base for the National Research Council's report, Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow: Advances from the Behavioral and Social Sciences. The opening chapter focuses on the structure, missions, operations, and characteristics of the IC while the following 12 papers provide in-depth reviews of key topics in three areas: analytic methods, analysts, and organizations. Informed by the IC's unique missions and constraints, each paper documents the latest advancements of the relevant science and is a stand-alone resource for the IC's leadership and workforce. The collection allows readers to focus on one area of interest (analytic methods, analysts, or organizations) or even one particular aspect of a category. As a collection, the volume provides a broad perspective of the issues involved in making difficult decisions, which is at the heart of intelligence analysis.


Quantitative Intelligence Analysis

Quantitative Intelligence Analysis
Author: Edward Waltz
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Total Pages: 309
Release: 2014-10-16
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 144223587X

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Quantitative Intelligence Analysis describes the model-based method of intelligence analysis that represents the analyst’s mental models of a subject, as well as the analyst’s reasoning process exposing what the analyst believes about the subject, and how they arrived at those beliefs and converged on analytic judgments. It includes: Specific methods of explicitly representing the analyst’s mental models as computational models; dynamic simulations and interactive analytic games; the structure of an analyst’s mental model and the theoretical basis for capturing and representing the tacit knowledge of these models explicitly as computational models detailed description of the use of these models in rigorous, structured analysis of difficult targets; model illustrations and simulation descriptions; the role of models in support of collection and operations; case studies that illustrate a wide range of intelligence problems; And a recommended curriculum for technical analysts.


Handbook of Scientific Methods of Inquiry for Intelligence Analysis

Handbook of Scientific Methods of Inquiry for Intelligence Analysis
Author: Hank Prunckun
Publisher: Scarecrow Press
Total Pages: 249
Release: 2010
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 0810871912

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With the exponential growth in the intelligence field in the last few years, the profession has grown much larger and its mission more complex. Government and private sector security agencies have recruited intelligence analysts to process what has become a voluminous amount of raw information flowing into these agencies' data collection systems. Unfortunately, there is an unmet need for analysts who are able to process these data. For this reason there are a growing number of colleges and universities that offer intelligence training so that candidates for analyst positions can take-up their duties without protracted on-the-job instruction. Handbook of Scientific Methods of Inquiry for Intelligence Analysis offers students in such courses a way of gaining the analytic skills essential to undertake intelligence work. This book acquaints students and analysts with how intelligence fits into the larger research framework. It covers not only the essentials of applied research but also explains the function, structure, and operational methods specifically involved in intelligence work. It looks at how analysts work with classified information in a security conscious environment, as well as obtaining data via covert methods. Students are left with little doubt about what intelligence is and how it is developed using scientific methods of inquiry.


Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow

Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow
Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
Total Pages: 116
Release: 2011-03-08
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 0309210941

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The intelligence community (IC) plays an essential role in the national security of the United States. Decision makers rely on IC analyses and predictions to reduce uncertainty and to provide warnings about everything from international diplomatic relations to overseas conflicts. In today's complex and rapidly changing world, it is more important than ever that analytic products be accurate and timely. Recognizing that need, the IC has been actively seeking ways to improve its performance and expand its capabilities. In 2008, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) asked the National Research Council (NRC) to establish a committee to synthesize and assess evidence from the behavioral and social sciences relevant to analytic methods and their potential application for the U.S. intelligence community. In Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow: Advances from the Behavioral and Social Sciences, the NRC offers the Director of National Intelligence (DNI) recommendations to address many of the IC's challenges. Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow asserts that one of the most important things that the IC can learn from the behavioral and social sciences is how to characterize and evaluate its analytic assumptions, methods, technologies, and management practices. Behavioral and social scientific knowledge can help the IC to understand and improve all phases of the analytic cycle: how to recruit, select, train, and motivate analysts; how to master and deploy the most suitable analytic methods; how to organize the day-to-day work of analysts, as individuals and teams; and how to communicate with its customers. The report makes five broad recommendations which offer practical ways to apply the behavioral and social sciences, which will bring the IC substantial immediate and longer-term benefits with modest costs and minimal disruption.


Handbook of Scientific Methods of Inquiry for Intelligence Analysis

Handbook of Scientific Methods of Inquiry for Intelligence Analysis
Author: Hank Prunckun
Publisher: Scarecrow Press
Total Pages: 250
Release: 2010-03-19
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 0810873818

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Handbook of Scientific Methods of Inquiry for Intelligence Analysis acquaints the reader with how intelligence fits into the larger research framework. It covers not only the essentials of applied research but also explains the function, structure, and operational methods specifically involved in intelligence work. For instance, it looks at how analysts work with classified information in a security conscious environment, as well as obtaining data via covert methods. The reader is left with little doubt about what intelligence is and how it is developed using scientific methods of inquiry.


The Military Intelligence Community

The Military Intelligence Community
Author: Gerald W. Hopple
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 266
Release: 2019-06-21
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 100030356X

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The military intelligence co11111unity is one of the most misunderstood and maligned facets of the U.S. government. To much of the American public, intelligence means an organization of James Bonds, sophisticated, super-individualists, John Waynes who live slightly beyond the law. To others, military intelligence is considered as a constant threat to American democracy, a danger that must be contained and minimized.