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Modeling the Term Structure of Interest Rates

Modeling the Term Structure of Interest Rates
Author: Rajna Gibson
Publisher: Now Publishers Inc
Total Pages: 171
Release: 2010
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1601983727

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Modeling the Term Structure of Interest Rates provides a comprehensive review of the continuous-time modeling techniques of the term structure applicable to value and hedge default-free bonds and other interest rate derivatives.


The Term Structure of Interest Rates

The Term Structure of Interest Rates
Author: David Feldman
Publisher:
Total Pages: 16
Release: 2008
Genre:
ISBN:

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This short paper resolves an apparent contradiction between Feldman's (1989) and Riedel's (2000) equilibrium models of the term structure of interest rates under incomplete information. Feldman (1989) showed that in an incomplete information version of Cox, Ingersoll, and Ross (1985), where the stochastic productivity factors are unobservable, equilibrium term structures are interior and bounded. Interestingly, Riedel (2000) showed that an incomplete information version of Lucas (1978), with an unobservable constant growth rate, induces a corner unbounded equilibrium term structure: It decreases to negative infinity. This paper defines constant and stochastic asymptotic moments, clarifies the apparent conflict between Feldman's and Riedel's equilibria, and discusses implications. Because productivity and growth rates are not directly observable in the real world, the question we answer is of particular relevance.


Interest Rate Models: an Infinite Dimensional Stochastic Analysis Perspective

Interest Rate Models: an Infinite Dimensional Stochastic Analysis Perspective
Author: René Carmona
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 236
Release: 2007-05-22
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 3540270671

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This book presents the mathematical issues that arise in modeling the interest rate term structure by casting the interest-rate models as stochastic evolution equations in infinite dimensions. The text includes a crash course on interest rates, a self-contained introduction to infinite dimensional stochastic analysis, and recent results in interest rate theory. From the reviews: "A wonderful book. The authors present some cutting-edge math." --WWW.RISKBOOK.COM


A Non-Linear Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates

A Non-Linear Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates
Author: Nick Webber
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 1998
Genre:
ISBN:

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In financial models of the term structure of interest rates, variation in the levels of rates, as well as day to day fluctuations in the value of rates, is explained by changes in the values of underlying stochastic state variables. This is unsatisfactory as the underlying state variables are often not associated with economic fundamentals. In this paper we present an economically motivated non-linear model of interest rates in which most of the large scale variation in rates is attributable to the chaotic evolution of explicitly modeled deterministic processes. A stochastic term with small variance is included in the model to represent 'noise' in the system. The model generalises existing stochastic mean models of interest rates. It successfully emulates certain properties of interest rates including a cyclical behaviour reminiscent of business cycles, and it casts light on the role of 'measurement error' in introducing risk into interest rate models.


A Macroeconomic Foundation for the Equilibrium Term Structure of Interest Rates

A Macroeconomic Foundation for the Equilibrium Term Structure of Interest Rates
Author: Howard Kung
Publisher:
Total Pages: 37
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

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This paper explores the term structure of interest rates implied by a stochastic endogenous growth model with imperfect price adjustment. The production and price-setting decisions of firms drive low-frequency movements in growth and inflation rates that are negatively related. With recursive preferences, these growth and inflation dynamics are crucial for rationalizing key stylized facts in bond markets. When calibrated to macroeconomic data, the model quantitatively explains the means and volatilities of nominal bond yields and the failure of the expectations hypothesis.


Building and Using Dynamic Interest Rate Models

Building and Using Dynamic Interest Rate Models
Author: Ken O. Kortanek
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 248
Release: 2001-11-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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This book offers a new approach to interest rate and modeling term structure by using models based on optimization of dynamical systems, rather than the traditional stochastic differential equation models. The authors use dynamic models to estimate the term structure of interest rates and show the reader how to build their own numerical simulations. It includes software that will enable readers to simulate the various models covered in the book.