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| Author | : Herbert J. Smoluk |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 82 |
| Release | : 1998 |
| Genre | : Interest rates |
| ISBN | : |
| Author | : Philipp K. Illeditsch |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 47 |
| Release | : 2020 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : |
We study how differences in beliefs about expected inflation affect the nominal term structure when investors have “catching up with the Joneses” preferences. In the model, “catching up with the Joneses” preferences help to match the level and slope of yields as well as the level of yield volatilities. Disagreement about expected inflation helps to match the dynamics of yields and yield volatilities. Expected inflation disagreement induces a spillover effect to the real side of the economy with a strong impact on the real yield curve. When investors share common preferences over consumption relative to the habit with a coefficient of relative risk aversion greater than one, real average yields across all maturities rise as disagreement increases. Real yield volatilities also rise with disagreement. To develop intuition concerning the role of different beliefs between investors, we consider a case where the real and nominal term structures can be computed as weighted-averages of quadratic Gaussian term structure models. We numerically find increased disagreement about expected inflation between the investors increases nominal yields and nominal yield volatilities at all maturities. We find empirical support for these predictions.
| Author | : James A. Clouse |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 66 |
| Release | : 2004 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : |
The changes in expected future short rates are then further decomposed into portions attributable to changes in the expected future paths for inflation, the unemployment rate, and GDP growth and also to a fourth factor interpreted as changes in the "stance of monetary policy." The model results indicate that changes in long-term interest rates, on average, have been about equal parts changes in term premia and changes in expected future short rates. Changes in expected future short rates seem to be driven largely by changes in the stance of monetary policy and in the outlook for inflation while the estimated influence of changes in the outlook for the unemployment rate and GDP growth is more muted"--Abstract.
| Author | : Martin Lettau |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 27 |
| Release | : 2009 |
| Genre | : Interest rates |
| ISBN | : |
This paper proposes a dynamic risk-based model capable of jointly explaining the term structure of interest rates, returns on the aggregate market and the risk and return characteristics of value and growth stocks. Both the term structure of interest rates and returns on value and growth stocks convey information about how the representative investor values cash flows of different maturities. We model how the representative investor perceives risks of these cash flows by specifying a parsimonious stochastic discount factor for the economy. Shocks to dividend growth, the real interest rate, and expected inflation are priced, but shocks to the price of risk are not. Given reasonable assumptions for dividends and inflation, we show that the model can simultaneously account for the behavior of aggregate stock returns, an upward-sloping yield curve, the failure of the expectations hypothesis and the poor performance of the capital asset pricing model.
| Author | : Burton Gordon Malkiel |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 0 |
| Release | : 2016-04-19 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : 9780691650258 |
Can expectations alone explain the yield differentials among bonds of different maturities? To what extend do attitudes toward risk and transactions costs influence the behavior of bond investors? Is it possible for the Federal Reserve to "twist" the interest-rate structure in accordance with its policy objectives? These are among the questions treated. Originally published in 1966. The Princeton Legacy Library uses the latest print-on-demand technology to again make available previously out-of-print books from the distinguished backlist of Princeton University Press. These editions preserve the original texts of these important books while presenting them in durable paperback and hardcover editions. The goal of the Princeton Legacy Library is to vastly increase access to the rich scholarly heritage found in the thousands of books published by Princeton University Press since its founding in 1905.
| Author | : Burton Gordon Malkiel |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : |
| Release | : 2019-03-25 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : 9780691041810 |
Can expectations alone explain the yield differentials among bonds of different maturities? To what extend do attitudes toward risk and transactions costs influence the behavior of bond investors? Is it possible for the Federal Reserve to "twist" the interest-rate structure in accordance with its policy objectives? These are among the questions treated. Originally published in 1966. The Princeton Legacy Library uses the latest print-on-demand technology to again make available previously out-of-print books from the distinguished backlist of Princeton University Press. These editions preserve the original texts of these important books while presenting them in durable paperback and hardcover editions. The goal of the Princeton Legacy Library is to vastly increase access to the rich scholarly heritage found in the thousands of books published by Princeton University Press since its founding in 1905.
| Author | : Eugene F. Fama |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 27 |
| Release | : 1988 |
| Genre | : Investments |
| ISBN | : |
| Author | : Sergey Isaenko |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 33 |
| Release | : 2010 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : |
This paper presents an equilibrium model of the term structure of interest rates when investors have heterogeneous recursive preferences. We consider a pure exchange economy with two classes of investors who have different relative risk aversions and different elasticities of intertemporal substitution. The RRA and the EIS can be varied independently for each investor. We use the model to examine the effects that the heterogeneity in preferences of investors has on their portfolio-consumption choices as well as on the instantaneous interest rate and bond yield. We find that the heterogeneity only in the RRA affects the cross-sectional as well as intertemporal variations of the consumption rate, the portfolio allocations for each investor and the instantaneous interest rate. However, the heterogeneity only in the EIS matters only for the intertemporal variations of these processes.
| Author | : Philip W. Lowe |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 35 |
| Release | : 1992 |
| Genre | : Inflation (Finance) |
| ISBN | : |
| Author | : Jiang Wang |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 36 |
| Release | : 1995 |
| Genre | : Bonds |
| ISBN | : |
This paper presents an equilibrium model of the term structure of interest rates when investors have heterogeneous preferences. The basic model considers a pure exchange economy of two classes of investors with different (but constant) relative risk-aversion and gives closed-form solutions to bond prices. We use the model to examine the effect of preference heterogeneity on the behavior of bond yields. Extensions to cases of more than two investors are also considered
