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The Rewards to Meeting or Beating Earnings Expectations

The Rewards to Meeting or Beating Earnings Expectations
Author: Eli Bartov
Publisher:
Total Pages: 37
Release: 2008
Genre:
ISBN:

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The paper studies the manner by which earnings expectations are met, measures the rewards to meeting or beating earnings expectations (MBE) formed just prior to the release of quarterly earnings, and tests alternative explanations for this reward. The evidence supports the claims that the MBE phenomenon has become more widespread in recent years and that the pattern by which MBE is obtained is consistent with both earnings management and expectation management. More importantly, the evidence shows that after controlling for the overall earnings performance in the quarter, firms that manage to meet or beat their earnings expectations enjoy an average quarterly return that is higher by almost 3% than their peers that fail to do so. While investors appear to discount MBE cases that are likely to result from expectation or earnings management, the premium in these cases is still significant. Finally, the results are consistent with an economic explanation for the premium placed on earnings surprises, namely that MBE are informative of the firm's future performance.


The Rewards for Meeting Or Beating Managers' Own Earnings Forecasts

The Rewards for Meeting Or Beating Managers' Own Earnings Forecasts
Author: Kai Wai Hui
Publisher:
Total Pages: 53
Release: 2018
Genre:
ISBN:

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This study documents a stock return premium for meeting or beating management's own earnings forecasts (MBMF) that is separate and distinct from the premium for meeting or beating analysts' earnings forecasts (MBAF) documented in prior literature. Cross-sectional analyses reveal that the MBMF premium relative to the MBAF premium increases when management forecasts are historically more accurate and are released closer to earnings announcement dates. We also find that MBMF is incrementally informative about a firm's future performance, CEO turnover, and forecast accuracy after considering MBAF. Our findings suggest that investors consider management earnings forecasts as an additional performance metric, along with analyst earnings forecasts, when forming earnings expectations.


Does the Market Reward Meeting Or Beating Analyst Earnings Forecasts? Empirical Evidence from China

Does the Market Reward Meeting Or Beating Analyst Earnings Forecasts? Empirical Evidence from China
Author: Guqiang Luo
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2022
Genre:
ISBN:

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While analyst earnings forecasts are crucial earnings benchmarks in equity valuation, existing studies provide no consensus on whether the market rewards firms for beating analyst earnings expectations. Using a sample of 9,898 firm-year observations from 1,821 unique Chinese listed firms over the period from 2004 to 2019, we document a stock return premium for beating analyst forecasts by a wide margin. However, there is no stock return premium for firms that meet or just beat analyst forecasts, suggesting that the market is skeptical of earnings management by these firms. This market underreaction is more pronounced for firms with weak external monitoring. Further analysis shows that meeting or just beating analyst forecasts is indicative of superior future financial performance. We do not find firms using earnings management to meet or just beat analyst forecasts. Overall, we provide evidence of market underreaction to meeting or just beating analyst forecasts, with the market's over-skepticism of earnings management being a plausible mechanism for this phenomenon.


Determinants of Earnings Forecast Error, Earnings Forecast Revision and Earnings Forecast Accuracy

Determinants of Earnings Forecast Error, Earnings Forecast Revision and Earnings Forecast Accuracy
Author: Sebastian Gell
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 144
Release: 2012-03-26
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3834939374

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​Earnings forecasts are ubiquitous in today’s financial markets. They are essential indicators of future firm performance and a starting point for firm valuation. Extremely inaccurate and overoptimistic forecasts during the most recent financial crisis have raised serious doubts regarding the reliability of such forecasts. This thesis therefore investigates new determinants of forecast errors and accuracy. In addition, new determinants of forecast revisions are examined. More specifically, the thesis answers the following questions: 1) How do analyst incentives lead to forecast errors? 2) How do changes in analyst incentives lead to forecast revisions?, and 3) What factors drive differences in forecast accuracy?


Theory and Practice of Illegitimate Finance

Theory and Practice of Illegitimate Finance
Author: Rafay, Abdul
Publisher: IGI Global
Total Pages: 414
Release: 2023-09-14
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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In today's interconnected world, fraud and corruption threaten the integrity of global financial systems, making illicit and illegitimate finance a pressing concern across industries. Editor Abdul Rafay, an esteemed academic scholar in financial crimes, corporate finance, and financial technology, offers the definitive solution to the Theory and Practice of Illegitimate Finance. This premier reference work comprehensively explores all facets of illicit finance, providing invaluable insights and real-world case studies on financial crimes, money laundering, tax evasion, and fraudulent practices. Through meticulous research and analysis, the book equips business owners, policymakers, researchers, and industry professionals with strategies to combat and prevent illicit finance from infiltrating financial institutions and businesses. As an indispensable resource for academicians and students, Theory and Practice of Illegitimate Finance empowers readers to tackle the complexities of illicit finance. Abdul Rafay's unparalleled expertise, evident from his successful editing of previous books and numerous research papers, enhances the book's credibility. By embracing the transformative journey offered by the book's insights, readers from all walks of life can contribute to a more transparent and accountable financial world, ensuring the integrity of global finance systems and paving the way for a brighter and more secure future.


Analysis of Financial Statements

Analysis of Financial Statements
Author: Pamela P. Peterson
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 218
Release: 2012-06-19
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0471914479

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Revised and up to date, the Second Edition includes valuable information that addresses questions such as: * What is transparency and why do we care? * How can financial statements inform investors? * How can financial statements mislead investors? * How has the Sarbanes-Oxley Act changed companies' financial disclosures? * What should you look for in financial disclosures when judging a company's financial health? * How do financial statements relate to the value of a company's stock? * Why is cash flow so important to a company's financial health? Throughout Analysis of Financial Statements, Second Edition, the authors demonstrate the nuts and bolts of financial analysis by applying the techniques to actual companies. The authors set the stage for financial analysis in Part One with their discussions of financial statements and the quality of financial statements. In Part Two, they walk you through how to judge a company's financial health using financial disclosures in financial ratio analysis, earnings analysis, and cash flow analysis. In Part Three, the authors take analysis a step further by discussing how investors and creditors can use financial statements to more effectively assess a company's performance and risk. Peterson and Fabozzi wrap up this Second Edition with a set of lessons for investors and analysts: Lesson 1: Understand what you are looking at Lesson 2: Read the fine print Lesson 3: If it's too good to be true, it may be Lesson 4: Follow the money Lesson 5: Understand the risks


When More Is Not Better

When More Is Not Better
Author: Roger L. Martin
Publisher: Harvard Business Press
Total Pages: 206
Release: 2020-09-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1647820073

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American democratic capitalism is in danger. How can we save it? For its first two hundred years, the American economy exhibited truly impressive performance. The combination of democratically elected governments and a capitalist system worked, with ever-increasing levels of efficiency spurred by division of labor, international trade, and scientific management of companies. By the nation's bicentennial celebration in 1976, the American economy was the envy of the world. But since then, outcomes have changed dramatically. Growth in the economic prosperity of the average American family has slowed to a crawl, while the wealth of the richest Americans has skyrocketed. This imbalance threatens the American democratic capitalist system and our way of life. In this bracing yet constructive book, world-renowned business thinker Roger Martin starkly outlines the fundamental problem: We have treated the economy as a machine, pursuing ever-greater efficiency as an inherent good. But efficiency has become too much of a good thing. Our obsession with it has inadvertently shifted the shape of our economy, from a large middle class and smaller numbers of rich and poor (think of a bell-shaped curve) to a greater share of benefits accruing to a thin tail of already-rich Americans (a Pareto distribution). With lucid analysis and engaging anecdotes, Martin argues that we must stop treating the economy as a perfectible machine and shift toward viewing it as a complex adaptive system in which we seek a fundamental balance of efficiency with resilience. To achieve this, we need to keep in mind the whole while working on the component parts; pursue improvement, not perfection; and relentlessly tweak instead of attempting to find permanent solutions. Filled with keen economic insight and advice for citizens, executives, policy makers, and educators, When More Is Not Better is the must-read guide for saving democratic capitalism.


More Than a Numbers Game

More Than a Numbers Game
Author: Thomas A. King
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 260
Release: 2011-02-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1118044614

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The world certainly suffers no shortage of accounting texts. The many out there help readers prepare, audit, interpret and explain corporate financial statements. What has been missing is a book offering context and discussion for divisive issues such as taxes, debt, options, and earnings volatility. King addresses the why of accounting instead of the how, providing practitioners and students with a highly readable history of U.S. corporate accounting. More Than a Numbers Game: A Brief History of Accounting was inspired by Arthur Levitt's landmark 1998 speech delivered at New York University. The Securities and Exchange Commission chairman described the too-little challenged custom of earnings management and presaged the breakdown in the US corporate accounting three years later. Somehow, over a one-hundred year period, accounting morphed from a tool used by American railroad managers to communicate with absent British investors into an enabler of corporate fraud. How this happened makes for a good business story. This book is not another description of accounting scandals. Instead it offers a history of ideas. Each chapter covers a controversial topic that emerged over the past century. Historical background and discussion of people involved give relevance to concepts discussed. The author shows how economics, finance, law and business customs contributed to accounting's development. Ideas presented come from a career spent working with accounting information.


From Capitalistic to Humanistic Business

From Capitalistic to Humanistic Business
Author: Ulrich Steinvorth
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 330
Release: 2014-12-22
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1137468203

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Transforming Capitalism addresses the challenges to shareholder capitalism. It explores: fair play in the market place;challenges on systemic, organizational and individual levels; the need to refocus our economic system around community and cooperation; the current challenges and transform capitalism.