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The Many Futures of a Decision

The Many Futures of a Decision
Author: Jay Lampert
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing
Total Pages: 352
Release: 2018-06-28
Genre: Philosophy
ISBN: 1350047813

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Combining two a central topics in philosophy in the 20th Century, this book considers the ethics and impact of decision-making alongside the philosophy of time. When we make simple decisions, like the decision to wake up at 8 a.m. tomorrow, we make use of a linear model of the future. But when we make open-ended decisions, like the decision to get fitter, or more involved in politics, we presuppose a much more complex model of the future. We project a variety of virtual futures. We can carry out a decision in many different ways at once, which may converge and diverge at different points in time. Using a phenomenological approach, The Many Futures of a Decision explores what we learn about the structure of the future specifically from decision-making. Most theories of decision concentrate on the rationality: the evidence and value assessments that build up grounds for a rational decision. Instead, this book innovatively engages with the nature of the future as a multi-layered decisions project. Through interpretations of the theories of decision in philosophers like Husserl and Heidegger, Schmitt and Habermas, Derrida and Deleuze, along with other decision theories, Lampert develops an original theory of multiple futures.


The Many Futures of a Decision

The Many Futures of a Decision
Author: Jay Lampert
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing
Total Pages: 352
Release: 2018-06-28
Genre: Philosophy
ISBN: 1350047805

Download The Many Futures of a Decision Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle

Combining two a central topics in philosophy in the 20th Century, this book considers the ethics and impact of decision-making alongside the philosophy of time. When we make simple decisions, like the decision to wake up at 8 a.m. tomorrow, we make use of a linear model of the future. But when we make open-ended decisions, like the decision to get fitter, or more involved in politics, we presuppose a much more complex model of the future. We project a variety of virtual futures. We can carry out a decision in many different ways at once, which may converge and diverge at different points in time. Using a phenomenological approach, The Many Futures of a Decision explores what we learn about the structure of the future specifically from decision-making. Most theories of decision concentrate on the rationality: the evidence and value assessments that build up grounds for a rational decision. Instead, this book innovatively engages with the nature of the future as a multi-layered decisions project. Through interpretations of the theories of decision in philosophers like Husserl and Heidegger, Schmitt and Habermas, Derrida and Deleuze, along with other decision theories, Lampert develops an original theory of multiple futures.


Quality Decision Management -The Heart of Effective Futures-Oriented Management

Quality Decision Management -The Heart of Effective Futures-Oriented Management
Author: E.G. Frankel
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 115
Release: 2008-12-21
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 1402089961

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Over the years I have worked with or consulted for many managers throughout the world at all levels of industry and government. I have seen who succeeded, achieved goals, and made progress, and who failed or crashed. I have studied their methods of operation and their decision-making approach, as well as the range of people involved in the decision-making. I similarly personally managed large industrial and service organizations and their operations, and found that to succeed and have a content team of collaborators, decision-making had to be joint and delegated to the lowest competent and informed level. Using this approach not only improved the performance of the organization or firm, but also resulted in a more content, professional, cooperative, happy, and competent workforce. In general, people like to assume responsibility, particularly of functions with which they are intimately familiar. They enjoy the role of de- sion-maker and the use of their knowledge and experience in guiding their and related work. Delegation of decision-making not only infuses pride and conte- ment but also assures more informed, timely, and effective implementation of de- sions. It also adds to worker training and education as workers inquire, develop information and use of their own experience in improving their decision-making. Worker pride and feeling of control and involvement lead to contentment and s- isfaction which, in return, pays dividends in worker productivity, morale, retention, and resulting low turnover.


Radical Uncertainty: Decision-Making Beyond the Numbers

Radical Uncertainty: Decision-Making Beyond the Numbers
Author: John Kay
Publisher: W. W. Norton & Company
Total Pages: 407
Release: 2020-03-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1324004789

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Much economic advice is bogus quantification, warn two leading experts in this essential book, now with a preface on COVID-19. Invented numbers offer a false sense of security; we need instead robust narratives that give us the confidence to manage uncertainty. “An elegant and careful guide to thinking about personal and social economics, especially in a time of uncertainty. The timing is impeccable." — Christine Kenneally, New York Times Book Review Some uncertainties are resolvable. The insurance industry’s actuarial tables and the gambler’s roulette wheel both yield to the tools of probability theory. Most situations in life, however, involve a deeper kind of uncertainty, a radical uncertainty for which historical data provide no useful guidance to future outcomes. Radical uncertainty concerns events whose determinants are insufficiently understood for probabilities to be known or forecasting possible. Before President Barack Obama made the fateful decision to send in the Navy Seals, his advisers offered him wildly divergent estimates of the odds that Osama bin Laden would be in the Abbottabad compound. In 2000, no one—not least Steve Jobs—knew what a smartphone was; how could anyone have predicted how many would be sold in 2020? And financial advisers who confidently provide the information required in the standard retirement planning package—what will interest rates, the cost of living, and your state of health be in 2050?—demonstrate only that their advice is worthless. The limits of certainty demonstrate the power of human judgment over artificial intelligence. In most critical decisions there can be no forecasts or probability distributions on which we might sensibly rely. Instead of inventing numbers to fill the gaps in our knowledge, we should adopt business, political, and personal strategies that will be robust to alternative futures and resilient to unpredictable events. Within the security of such a robust and resilient reference narrative, uncertainty can be embraced, because it is the source of creativity, excitement, and profit.


Decision Science for Future Earth

Decision Science for Future Earth
Author: Tetsukazu Yahara
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 251
Release: 2021-01-29
Genre: Nature
ISBN: 9811586322

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This open access book provides a theoretical framework and case studies on decision science for regional sustainability by integrating the natural and social sciences. The cases discussed include solution-oriented transdisciplinary studies on the environment, disasters, health, governance and human cooperation. Based on these case studies and comprehensive reviews of relevant works, including lessons learned from past failures for predictable surprises and successes in adaptive co-management, the book provides the reader with new perspectives on how we can co-design collaborative projects with various conflicts of interest and how we can transform our society for a sustainable future. The book makes a valuable contribution to the global research initiative Future Earth, promoting transdisciplinary studies to bridge the gap between science and society in knowledge generation processes and supporting efforts to achieve the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Compared to other publications on transdisciplinary studies, this book is unique in that evolutionary biology is used as an integrator for various areas related to human decision-making, and approaches social changes as processes of adaptive learning and evolution. Given its scope, the book is highly recommended to all readers seeking an integrated overview of human decision-making in the context of social transformation.


Strengthening Coastal Planning

Strengthening Coastal Planning
Author: David G. Groves
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Total Pages: 65
Release: 2014-02-19
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0833084550

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Report describes RAND contributions to Louisiana's Coastal Master Plan for policymakers in other coastal regions. It highlights the value of a solid technical foundation to support decision-making on strategies to protect and restore coastal regions.


A Guide to Decision Making

A Guide to Decision Making
Author: Paul Ajal
Publisher: Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
Total Pages: 98
Release: 2016-04-26
Genre:
ISBN: 9781532753510

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A guide to decision-making, is a book that gives a comprehensive detail about nearly everything that pertains to decision-making.The primary aim of this book is to help many who struggle with making decisions or waver between opinions;hence making it hard for them to make right choices or decisions.This book is a repository of things that practically guide people to making right decisions or choices.Paul Ajal its author, testifies to how the book has personally helped him.He says before knowing the truths he has written in this book, most of his decisions or choices have only been culminating in awful messes!The book also gives some consequential effects for making both right and wrong decisions or choices.In this book, the author features on the following: 1.Decisions in difficult moments.He says vast majority of people worldwide in one way or the other do experience ordeal moments.Hence, some are in terrible turmoil for they are devoid of the best way to handle their ordeals.Some who try to handle theirs in a wrong way only make matters go from bad to worse.The sad bit of it is that, some people after being overwhelmed by pains or after being frantic with fear, worries, anger or bitterness;consider committing suicide....a highly condemned act!Nevertheless, the author gives the best way to handle ordeals and he trusts many will find remedial solutions to their ordeals. 2.Lessons to learn from decision-making. Here the author gives over twenty lessons one can learn from making either right or wrong decisions or choices.He goes on to say that those lessons when carefully observed will instill sound wisdom that will help in making right decisions or choices. 3.The benefits of making sagacious decisions.Here Paul gives categorical advises on making wiser decisions which can save one from embarrassments, regrets, humiliations or disappointments. 4.The dangers of making fateful decisions.The author enlightens people on the dangers of making the kinds of decisions mentioned.He urges that one should try with their utmost to avoid making fateful decisions for their effects are really bad on one's future.So Paul's counsel on this is that, one should always consider the out come of their decisions less they take costly ones which may ruin their future permanently. 5.Being decisive when handling matters of urgency.Here the author says that decisiveness is of essence if one should handle any matter of the greatest urgency.He affirms that procrastinators will never make timely decisions or take prompt actions. So the book you are holding in your hands has solutions to most of the things that require decision-making.The book is therefore a special treasure that will transform you into an exceptionally intelligent person.You can't afford failing to acquire a


Decision-Making in the New Reality

Decision-Making in the New Reality
Author: David Bennet
Publisher: Mqipress
Total Pages: 178
Release: 2019-03-22
Genre:
ISBN: 9781949829259

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We live in a world that offers many possible futures. The ever-expanding complexity of information and knowledge provide many choices for decision-makers, and we are all making decisions every single day! As the problems and messes of the world become more complex, our decision consequences are more and more difficult to anticipate, and our decision-making processes must change to keep up with this world complexification. This book takes a consilience approach to explore decision-making in The New Reality, fully engaging systems and complexity theory, knowledge research, and recent neuroscience findings. It also presents methodologies for decision-makers to tap into their unconscious, accessing tacit knowledge resources and increasingly relying on the sense of knowing that is available to each of us. Almost every day new energies are erupting around the world: new thoughts, new feelings, new knowing, all contributing to new situations that require new decisions and actions from each and every one of us. Indeed, with the rise of the Net Generation and social media, a global consciousness may well be emerging. As individuals and organizations we are realizing that there are larger resources available to us, and that, as complex adaptive systems linked to a flowing fount of knowing, we can bring these resources to bear to achieve our ever-expanding vision of the future. Are we up to the challenge?


Future Savvy

Future Savvy
Author: Adam Gordon
Publisher: AMACOM Div American Mgmt Assn
Total Pages: 306
Release: 2008-09-24
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0814412866

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In order to succeed in their industries, decision-makers today need to anticipate the future outcomes not only in their own industry but also in society and technology as well. The better their view of the future, the better their decisions--and the bigger their profits–will be. Future Savvy is a hands-on, how-to book on evaluating the business, social, and technology forecasts that appear in everyday communications such as newspapers and business magazines, as well as in specialized sources like government and think-tank forecasts, consultant reports, and stock-market guides. Futures analyst Adam Gordon has spent his career deciphering changes and trends in a variety of industries. Now, he shows business leaders how to gain a clearer view of the future, as well as: • Recognize potential trends and outcomes more effectively • Discount poor and biased forecasts more confidently • Anticipate relevant opportunities and potential threats earlier


DECISION TIME! Better Decisions for a Better Life

DECISION TIME! Better Decisions for a Better Life
Author: Richard Davidson
Publisher: Richard Davidson
Total Pages: 175
Release: 2007-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1602640637

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Where you are in life today is the result of all of the past decisions which you have made or which have been made for you in response to the various situations and events, both expected and unexpected, that have impacted your life. The decisions that you will make from this point forward will determine the degree to which your future will be positive or negative. "Decision Time!" describes the subjective and multi-variable nature of real life decisions and demonstrates techniques for making complex decisions with ease and insight. "Decision Time!" provides guidance for many different decision-making situations with both personal and business aspects. Topics with examples from life include games, negotiation, the challenge of financing a college education, starting a small business, purchasing/shopping, family relationships, getting the government to listen to you, investments, and many more. "Decision Time!" gives you insight into the decision-making process as applied to both small and large choices you will face. It includes dynamic aspects, cultural effects, and morality as applied to decision-making for individuals, teams, and societies. "Decision Time!" prepares you to face the continuous impact of decision situations confidently and without hesitation.