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The Influence of American Public Opinion on US Military Interventions After the Cold War

The Influence of American Public Opinion on US Military Interventions After the Cold War
Author: Hélène Dieck
Publisher:
Total Pages: 421
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

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Recent qualitative studies of the relationship between public opinion and U.S. foreign policy put decisions into the following two categories: the President tends to lead or to follow public opinion; public opinion influences decision-making, constrains the decision, or has no impact. These studies typically research the initial decision to intervene, but fail to examine the subsequent decisions to sustain and win a war: financial and human means, conduct, objectives, duration, and communication. I argue that these elements of a winning strategy are impacted by concerns with public support at home. The impact of public opinion on the decision whether to use force is better understood when analyzing the compromise between the perception of anticipated public opinion and the necessities of a military campaign. Public opinion impacts the strategy, the timing, and length of an intervention, and inversely, those elements impact the anticipated public opinion and ultimately the decision to use force or choose a different course of action. The president can expect to influence public opinion and raise the acceptability of an intervention through various means. As a consequence, there is a back-and-forth process between anticipated public support for a given intervention and the consideration of the use of force. Contrary to the current literature, which tends to conclude that the president enjoys a substantial margin for maneuver, an analysis of post Cold War cases of interventions, limited interventions, and military escalations shows that anticipated public opinion limited the president's margin for maneuver and influenced not only the decision to intervene but also the military strategy and in the end, the result of the intervention. These findings contradict the realist paradigm for which only the structure of the international system matters and domestic politics are irrelevant in the study of international relations.


The Influence of Public Opinion on Post-Cold War U.S. Military Interventions

The Influence of Public Opinion on Post-Cold War U.S. Military Interventions
Author: H. Dieck
Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan
Total Pages: 272
Release: 2014-01-14
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 9781349704651

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Based on interviews with political decision-makers involved in post-Cold War case studies, this research reassesses the prevalent conclusion in the academic literature, according to which American public opinion has limited influence on military interventions, by including the level of commitment in the study of the decision-making process.


The Influence of Public Opinion on Post-Cold War U.S. Military Interventions

The Influence of Public Opinion on Post-Cold War U.S. Military Interventions
Author: Helene Dieck
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 274
Release: 2016-01-18
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1137519231

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Based on interviews with political decision-makers involved in post-Cold War case studies, this research reassesses the prevalent conclusion in the academic literature, according to which American public opinion has limited influence on military interventions, by including the level of commitment in the study of the decision-making process.


Characteristics of Successful U.S. Military Interventions

Characteristics of Successful U.S. Military Interventions
Author: Jennifer Kavanagh
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2019
Genre: Intervention (International law)
ISBN: 9781977402271

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Using an original data set of 145 ground, air, and naval interventions from 1898 through 2016, this report identifies those factors that have made U.S. military interventions more or less successful at achieving their political objectives. While these objectives were often successfully achieved, about 63 percent of the time overall, levels of success have been declining over time as the United States has pursued increasingly ambitious objectives. The research combines statistical analysis and detailed case studies of three types of interventions -- combat, stability operations, and deterrence. The research highlights that the factors that promote the successful achievement of political objectives vary by the nature of the objective and the intervention. For example, sending additional ground forces may help to defeat adversaries in combat missions but may have a more contingent effect on success in institution-building in stability operations, where nonmilitary resources and pre-intervention planning may be especially vital. The report offers five main policy recommendations. First, planners should carefully match political objectives to strategy because factors that promote success vary substantially by objective type. Second, sending more forces does not always promote success, but for certain types of objectives and interventions, greater capabilities may be essential. Third, policymakers should have realistic expectations regarding the possibility of achieving highly ambitious objectives. Fourth, pre-intervention planning is crucial. Finally, policymakers should carefully evaluate the role that might be played by third parties, which is often under appreciated.


U.S. Military Intervention in the Post-Cold War Era

U.S. Military Intervention in the Post-Cold War Era
Author: Glenn J. Antizzo
Publisher: LSU Press
Total Pages: 280
Release: 2010-06-01
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 9780807136423

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During the post--World War II era, American foreign policy prominently featured direct U.S. military intervention in the Third World. Yet the cold war placed restraints on where and how Washington could intervene until the collapse of the former Soviet Union removed many of the barriers to -- and ideological justifications for -- American intervention. Since the end of the cold war, the United States has completed several military interventions that may be guided by motives very different from those invoked before the collapse of the Berlin Wall. Likewise, such operations, now free from the threat of counterintervention by any other superpower, seem governed by a new set of rules. In this readily accessible study, political scientist Glenn J. Antizzo identifies fifteen factors critical to the success of contemporary U.S. military intervention and evaluates the likely efficacy of direct U.S. military involvement today -- when it will work, when it will not, and how to undertake such action in a manner that will bring rapid victory at an acceptable political cost. He lays out the preconditions that portend success, among them a clear and attainable goal; a mission that is neither for "peacekeeping" nor for "humanitarian aid within a war zone"; a strong probability the American public will support or at least be indifferent to the effort; a willingness to utilize ground forces if necessary; an operation limited in geographic scope; and a theater commander permitted discretion in the course of the operation. Antizzo then tests his abstract criteria by using real-world case studies of the most recent fully completed U.S. military interventions -- in Panama in 1989, Iraq in 1991, Somalia in 1992--94, and Kosovo in 1999 -- with Panama, Iraq, and Kosovo representing generally successful interventions and Somalia an unsuccessful one. Finally, he considers how the development of a "Somalia Syndrome" affected U.S. foreign policy and how the politics and practice of military intervention have continued to evolve since the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, giving specific attention to the current war in Afghanistan and the larger War on Terror. U.S. Military Intervention in the Post--Cold War Era exemplifies political science at its best: the positing of a hypothetical model followed by a close examination of relevant cases in an effort to provide meaningful insights for future American international policy.


Millennials and U.S. Foreign Policy

Millennials and U.S. Foreign Policy
Author: A. Trevor Thrall
Publisher:
Total Pages: 22
Release: 2015
Genre: Diplomacy
ISBN: 9781939709851

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"The Millennial Generation, those roughly 87 million adult men and women born between 1980 and 1997, now represent one quarter of the U.S. population, out numbering the Greatest Generation (1913-1924), the Silent Generation (1925-1945), the Baby Boomers (1946-1964), and Generation X (Gen Xers) (1965-1979). In addition to being far more likely to have posted a "selfie" on social media than other generations, the Millennials also have distinct attitudes toward a range of important foreign policy issues. With those on the leading edge of Millennials now hitting their mid-thirties, this cohort is becoming increasingly influential. Just as the generations before them, the Millennials' worldviews owe a great deal to early life experiences and the foreign policy issues that dominated their childhoods. The main drivers of Millennials' foreign policy attitudes fall into two major categories. The first category comprises the trends and events that started or occurred before the Millennials came of age and provide their historical context. This includes the end of the Cold War and the evolution of the global distribution of power, the development of the Internet, and the acceleration of globalization. The second category includes major events that have occurred so far during the Millennials' "critical period," the period between the ages of roughly 14 to 24 when people are most susceptible to socialization effects. Most obviously these include the attacks of 9/11 and the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. Together, these forces have led to three critical differences between Millennials' foreign policy views and those of their elders. First, Millennials perceive the world as significantly less threatening than their elders do, and they view foreign policies to deal with potential threats with much less urgency. Second, Millennials are more supportive of international cooperation than prior generations. Millennials, for example, are far more likely to see China as a partner than a rival and to believe that cooperation, rather than confrontation, with China is the appropriate strategy for the United States. Finally, thanks in particular to the impact of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, Millennials are also far less supportive of the use of military force and may have internalized a permanent case of "Iraq Aversion." The rise of the Millennial Generation portends significant changes in public expectations and increased support for a more restrained grand strategy. There is no reason, however, to expect that U.S. grand strategy will become particularly coherent under Millennial leadership. Millennials, like every generation, reflect significant partisan splits over core issues. In the absence of a unifying security threat, these partisan divides ensure that U.S.foreign policy will feature as much debate and dissensus in the future as it does today"--Publisher's description.


Public Opinion

Public Opinion
Author: Elizabeth A. Bourbeau
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2001
Genre: Military assistance, American
ISBN:

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In a democracy such as ours one may assume that foreign policy and national interests are determined from the bottom -up', by the people-but are they? Congress, not the presidency, is after all the subject of Article 1 of the Constitution of the United States. The question implicit in this theme is whether the great issues of foreign policy and the decision to employ military force can be safely entrusted to the influence of popular opinion. This question applies to the United States today as it applied to Athens in the middle of the fifth century B.C. Since the end of the Cold War the United States military has deployed with increasing frequency as an instrument of U.S. foreign policy. Estimates indicate that U.S. forces have been used for unexpected contingencies about once every nine weeks and have deployed 34 times in less than eight years. During the entire 40 year period of the Cold War, the military was committed to comparable deployments just 10 times. These missions have ranged from traditional military operations in Korea, Kuwait and Taiwan, to humanitarian relief operations in Central America and peacekeeping functions in Somalia, Haiti, Rwanda, Bosnia and Kosovo. The purpose of this study is to examine the nature of public opinion in the context of American democracy and its influence, if any, on the formulation of U.S. foreign policy. This paper traces the historical underpinnings of two contending schools of thought, their influence on the organization of American government and the formation of American political thought regarding the role of public opinion in U.S. foreign policy- making.


Mission Failure

Mission Failure
Author: Michael Mandelbaum
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Total Pages: 505
Release: 2016
Genre: History
ISBN: 0190469471

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Mission Failure argues that, in the past 25 years, the U.S. military has turned to missions that are largely humanitarian and socio-political - and that this ideologically-driven foreign policy generally leads to failure.


Military Strategy in the 21st Century

Military Strategy in the 21st Century
Author: Kersti Larsdotter
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 264
Release: 2020-05-21
Genre: History
ISBN: 100076415X

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Military Strategy in the 21st Century explores military strategy and the new challenges facing Western democracies in the twenty- first century, including strategy in cyber operations and peacekeeping, challenges for civil-military relations, and the strategic choices of great powers and small states. The volume contributes to a better understanding of military strategy in the twenty- first century, through exploring strategy from three perspectives: first, the study of strategy, and how our understanding of strategy has changed over time; second, new areas for strategic theory, such as peacekeeping and cyberspace; and third, the makers of strategy, and why states choose suboptimal strategies. With the increasing number of threats challenging strategy makers, such as great power rivalry, terrorism, intrastate wars, and transnational criminal organisations, Military Strategy in the 21st Century will be of great value to scholars of IR, Security Studies, Strategic Studies, and War Studies as well as policymakers and practitioners working with military strategy in particular and international security and war in general. The chapters were originally published as a special issue of the Journal of Strategic Studies.


America’s Cold War

America’s Cold War
Author: Campbell Craig
Publisher: Harvard University Press
Total Pages: 460
Release: 2020-07-14
Genre: History
ISBN: 0674247345

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“A creative, carefully researched, and incisive analysis of U.S. strategy during the long struggle against the Soviet Union.” —Stephen M. Walt, Foreign Policy “Craig and Logevall remind us that American foreign policy is decided as much by domestic pressures as external threats. America’s Cold War is history at its provocative best.” —Mark Atwood Lawrence, author of The Vietnam War The Cold War dominated world affairs during the half century following World War II. America prevailed, but only after fifty years of grim international struggle, costly wars in Korea and Vietnam, trillions of dollars in military spending, and decades of nuclear showdowns. Was all of that necessary? In this new edition of their landmark history, Campbell Craig and Fredrik Logevall engage with recent scholarship on the late Cold War, including the Reagan and Bush administrations and the collapse of the Soviet regime, and expand their discussion of the nuclear revolution and origins of the Vietnam War. Yet they maintain their original argument: that America’s response to a very real Soviet threat gave rise to a military and political system in Washington that is addicted to insecurity and the endless pursuit of enemies to destroy. America’s Cold War speaks vividly to debates about forever wars and threat inflation at the center of American politics today.