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The Impact of Earnings Management on the Performance of Earnings-Based Valuation Models

The Impact of Earnings Management on the Performance of Earnings-Based Valuation Models
Author: Yao Tian
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:
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The purpose of this study is to examine empirically how the presence of earnings management may affect firm valuation. We compare the performance of earnings-based (e.g., Residual Income Model, RIM) and non-earnings-based (e.g., Discounted Cash Flow, DCF) valuation models, measured by absolute percentage pricing errors and absolute percentage valuation errors, for two subsets of publicly traded US firms: "Suspect" firms that are likely to have engaged in earnings management and “Normal” firms matched on industry, year and size. When valuation models use only analysts' short-term earnings forecasts as model inputs, results indicate that earnings management adversely affects the RIM model's ability to estimate a firm's intrinsic value while leaving that of DCF unchanged. We contribute to the valuation literature by showing that the well-known superiority of the RIM model over DCF does not hold when earnings are managed. By comparison, if the valuation model also includes analysts' long-term target price forecasts, RIM does not enjoy any economically significant accuracy advantage over DCF, with or without the presence of earnings management. Over a longer forecast horizon, financial analysts appear to account for the impact of earnings management on firms' future values by adjusting their target price forecasts. We extend the earnings management literature by demonstrating that the way analysts react to earnings management over short to long-term forecast horizons has different implications for the estimation ability of RIM vis-à-vis DCF models.

The Impact of Earnings Management and Expectations Management on the Usefulness of Earnings and Analyst Forecasts in Firm Valuation

The Impact of Earnings Management and Expectations Management on the Usefulness of Earnings and Analyst Forecasts in Firm Valuation
Author: Yao Tian
Publisher:
Total Pages: 109
Release: 2007
Genre: Business forecasting
ISBN: 9780494433577
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In this dissertation, I examine the impact of earnings management and expectations management on the usefulness of earnings and analyst forecasts in firm valuation. Earnings and analyst forecasts are important inputs into accounting valuation models. Their ability to reflect current and predict future firm performance can help valuation models predict intrinsic value. However, increasing earnings management and expectations management activities in recent years may have adversely affected the usefulness of these information items in firm valuation. This study shows that intrinsic value metrics estimated using manipulated earnings or forecasts have less ability to track stock prices and predict future returns through V/P ratios, providing evidence for the joint hypothesis of (i) long-term market efficiency and (ii) the negative impact of earnings management and expectations management on the usefulness of earnings and analyst forecasts in firm valuation. It contributes to the accounting literature in several ways. First, it challenges the conventional view that more accurate and less biased forecasts are necessarily of better quality and proposes to assess the quality of analyst forecasts directly by examining their usefulness. It also introduces an improved measure for expectations management and presents new evidence on (i) the usefulness of earnings and analyst forecasts in firm valuation; (ii) the negative impacts of earnings management and expectations management on this usefulness; and (iii) the overall performance of accounting valuation models in firm valuation.

Encyclopedia of Finance

Encyclopedia of Finance
Author: Cheng-Few Lee
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 861
Release: 2006-07-27
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0387262849
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This is a major new reference work covering all aspects of finance. Coverage includes finance (financial management, security analysis, portfolio management, financial markets and instruments, insurance, real estate, options and futures, international finance) and statistical applications in finance (applications in portfolio analysis, option pricing models and financial research). The project is designed to attract both an academic and professional market. It also has an international approach to ensure its maximum appeal. The Editors' wish is that the readers will find the encyclopedia to be an invaluable resource.

Earnings Management. The Influence of Real and Accrual-Based Earnings Management on Earnings Quality

Earnings Management. The Influence of Real and Accrual-Based Earnings Management on Earnings Quality
Author:
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 81
Release: 2024-01-31
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3964875953
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Master's Thesis from the year 2019 in the subject Business economics - Accounting and Taxes, University of Duisburg-Essen, course: Master Thesis, language: English, abstract: This paper delves into various theories and approaches, aiming to define and differentiate earnings management from related concepts such as fraud, expectation management, and impression management. It explores the goals and incentives driving earnings management, including maximizing or minimizing earnings, beating targets, and smoothing. At the onset of the new millennium, corporate scandals rocked the business world, eroding trust in management, boards of directors, and the accounting profession. In response, regulations and policies aimed at enhancing corporate governance and financial reporting were swiftly implemented. The credibility, clarity, and consistency of financial reporting practices play a pivotal role in enabling investors to make informed decisions. Accurate and fair financial performance representations, as opposed to inflated and misleading figures, are essential for market players, including shareholders and creditors. Investors rely on audited financial reports to guide their investment decisions, underscoring the critical importance of accuracy and reliability in publicly available financial disclosures. Auditors, by reducing the risk of material misstatement, ensure the integrity of the information disclosed in a company's financial statements. Management, with the goal of achieving promised targets and ensuring the company's existence, may engage in earnings management as a strategic contribution to corporate policy. Financial reporting serves as a means to distinguish well-performing companies from their counterparts, facilitating efficient resource allocation and empowering stakeholders to make effective decisions. The disclosed earnings results significantly impact a firm's overall business activities and management decisions, particularly in satisfying analysts' expectations, which can influence equity value. While accounting standards play a role, the quality of financial statements is more influenced by company-specific and institutional factors shaping managers' incentives. These factors lead to financial reporting practices being viewed as the outcome of a cost-benefit assessment.

Earnings

Earnings
Author: D. Eric Hirst
Publisher: Wiley
Total Pages: 80
Release: 2000-11-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780943205496
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Hirst and Hopkins guide analysts to a comprehension of how income statements and other disclosures can be used to assess the underlying quality and persistence of companies' economic conditions.

Valuation Based on Earnings

Valuation Based on Earnings
Author: Robert A. G. Monks
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 581
Release: 2011-04-27
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1118026454
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Corporate Valuation for Portfolio Investment "The valuation of securities . . . is as big a subject as they come, running in multi?-dimensions from qualitative to psychological, from static todynamic, from one dominant measure to a complex soup, and using measures that range from those that are internal to the observer to those determined bythe markets. In Corporate Valuation for Portfolio Investment, Bob andhis worthy coauthor cover the full range of valuation methods." From the Foreword by Dean LeBaron Corporate valuation for portfolio investment means determining the present value of future worth. While this may sound like a straightforward task, in reality, it takes time and hard-earned experience to effectively perform this essential financial function. Robert Monks and Alexandra Lajoux understand the difficulty of this endeavor. That's why they have created Corporate Valuation for Portfolio Investment. Filled with in-depth insights and expert advice, this reliable guide addresses the many facets of valuation and reveals what it takes to determine the value of corporate equity securities for the purpose of portfolio investment. Written with the professional investor in mind, Corporate Valuation for Portfolio Investment takes you through a wide range of approaches including those primarily based in assets, earnings, cash flow, and securities prices and discusses hybrid valuation techniques that combine aspects of these four main sources of valuation information. Along the way, it also examines the importance of qualitative measures such as governance and details a variety of special situations in the life cycle of businesses, including stock splits, spin-offs, and pension funding. If you're seeking superior returns from investments in corporate equity, then you have to have a firm understanding of valuation. With Corporate Valuation for Portfolio Investment as your guide, you'll be in a better position to improve your sense of a company's worth and the possible price ranges for buy, sell, and hold decisions.

Earnings Management

Earnings Management
Author: Joshua Ronen
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 587
Release: 2008-08-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0387257713
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This book is a study of earnings management, aimed at scholars and professionals in accounting, finance, economics, and law. The authors address research questions including: Why are earnings so important that firms feel compelled to manipulate them? What set of circumstances will induce earnings management? How will the interaction among management, boards of directors, investors, employees, suppliers, customers and regulators affect earnings management? How to design empirical research addressing earnings management? What are the limitations and strengths of current empirical models?

Comparative Research on Earnings Management, Corporate Governance, and Economic Value

Comparative Research on Earnings Management, Corporate Governance, and Economic Value
Author: Vieira, Elisabete S.
Publisher: IGI Global
Total Pages: 433
Release: 2021-02-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1799875989
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New trends are emerging regarding earnings management and corporate governance showing similarities and striking differences in the practices of different countries and economies. These new trends currently shape the field of modern corporate governance with crucial issues being looked at in governance law and practices, accounting systems, earnings quality and management, stakeholder involvement, and more. In order to advance these new avenues in corporate governance, research looks at accounting policies firms use in different opportunistic circumstances in order to manage earnings, the corporate governance practices in different countries, firm performance, and other dimensions of companies. The understanding of these topics is beneficial in understanding the current state of different types of firms and their practices in modern times. Comparative Research on Earnings Management, Corporate Governance, and Economic Value is focused on the investigation of key challenges and perspectives of corporate governance and earnings management and outlines possible scenarios of its development. The chapters explore this new avenue of research and cover theoretical, empirical, and experimental studies related to different themes in the global context of earnings management and corporate governance. This book is ideal for economists, businesses, managers, accountants, practitioners, stakeholders, researchers, academicians, and students who are interested in the current issues and advancements in corporate governance and earnings management.

Earnings Management, Conservatism, and Earnings Quality

Earnings Management, Conservatism, and Earnings Quality
Author: Ralf Ewert
Publisher:
Total Pages: 142
Release: 2012
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:
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Earnings Management, Conservatism, and Earnings Quality reviews and illustrates earnings management, conservatism, and their effects on earnings quality in an economic modeling framework. Both earnings management and conservative accounting introduce biases to financial reports. The fundamental issue addressed is what economic effects these biases have on earnings quality or financial reporting quality. Earnings Management, Conservatism, and Earnings Quality reviews analytical models of earnings management and conservatism and shows that both can have beneficial or detrimental economic effects, so a differentiated view is appropriate. Earnings management can provide additional information via the financial reporting communication channel, but it can also be used to misrepresent the firm's position. What the authors find is that similar to earnings management, conservatism can reduce the information content of financial reports if it suppresses relevant information, but it can be a desirable feature that improves economic efficiency. The approach to study earnings management, conservatism, and earnings quality is based on the information economics literature. A variety of analytical models are reviewed that capture the effects and subtle interactions of managers' incentives and rational expectations of users. The benefit of analytical models is to make precise these, often highly complex, strategic effects. They offer a rigorous explanation for the phenomena and show that sometimes conventional wisdom does not apply. The monograph is organized around a few basic model settings, which are presented in simple versions first and then in extensions to elicit the main insights most clearly. Chapter 2 presents the basic rational expectations equilibrium model with earnings management and rational inferences by the capital market. Chapter 3 is devoted to earnings quality and earnings quality metrics used in many studies. Chapter 4 studies conservatism in accounting. Finally, the authors examine the interaction between conservatism and earnings management. Each chapter ends with a section containing a summary of the main findings and conclusions.

Introduction to Earnings Management

Introduction to Earnings Management
Author: Malek El Diri
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 120
Release: 2017-08-20
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3319626868
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This book provides researchers and scholars with a comprehensive and up-to-date analysis of earnings management theory and literature. While it raises new questions for future research, the book can be also helpful to other parties who rely on financial reporting in making decisions like regulators, policy makers, shareholders, investors, and gatekeepers e.g., auditors and analysts. The book summarizes the existing literature and provides insight into new areas of research such as the differences between earnings management, fraud, earnings quality, impression management, and expectation management; the trade-off between earnings management activities; the special measures of earnings management; and the classification of earnings management motives based on a comprehensive theoretical framework.