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The growth of uncertainty after the end of the Cold War and its impact on the security environment of states

The growth of uncertainty after the end of the Cold War and its impact on the security environment of states
Author: Natalie Züfle
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 51
Release: 2011-10-19
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 3656033013

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Master's Thesis from the year 2009 in the subject Politics - Topic: Peace and Conflict, Security, grade: 2,1, Free University of Berlin (Center for Global Politics), course: International Relations Online, language: English, abstract: Uncertainty has grown considerably after the end of the Cold War. In the place of one big threat a plenitude of many “smaller” and more incalculable risks superseded. New dangers have emerged or become more salient as compared to former times (like environmental issues, IT problems, or economic crises), while “old” ones have not entirely vanished. The risks emanating from WMDs or the threat of wars remain existent, albeit sometimes in an altered form. Several factors have contributed to the alteration of the threat and risk pattern: in the main, the transition to a multipolar world order, the processes of globalization, and last but not least the diminishing importance of borders and of the sovereign nation-state as such are decisive. Hence, the vulnerability of civil society has increased considerably, as open societies are more risk-prone. In reaction to these developments, academics and politicians have refined the traditional concept of national security into a broader notion, considering a multitude of aspects affecting the safety of the human being as such. In consequence the classical security architecture is being adapted bit by bit to the conditions of the 21st century. On each level, i.e. the national, regional as well as international layers, diverse mechanisms have been developed – as exemplary illustrated with reference to the transnational danger of terrorism.


Global Trends 2040

Global Trends 2040
Author: National Intelligence Council
Publisher: Cosimo Reports
Total Pages: 158
Release: 2021-03
Genre:
ISBN: 9781646794973

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"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.


After the Cold War: A National Security Vision for America

After the Cold War: A National Security Vision for America
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 1997
Genre:
ISBN:

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This research paper examines the current international environment and how shifts in centers of power since the end of the Cold War affect the national security policy of the United States. The author examines the question of what role America, as the world's sole superpower, should play in international affairs in light of an apparently reduced threat to its security and the increasing competition for non-defense spending. This research establishes conceptual references on balance of power, anarchy, and hegemony, then reviews alternative national security strategies. This paper discusses the options the U.S. might take - a return to isolationism, deferring to regional security arrangements, or assuming a global leadership role - now that the Cold War is over. The author assesses the direction and applicability of the current National Security Strategy for Engagement and Enlargement (NSSEE) and proposes a keystone vision for the U.S. The author concludes the U.S. should retain a global leadership role in the international community to the maximum extent resources will permit. The U.S. must resist neoisolationist pressures and not only remain engaged in all aspects, but lead the way economically and politically while maintaining the world's most powerful military as insurance for our national security. Finally, the author concludes the NSSEE provides appropriate direction for the U.S., but the support of the American public, upon which the NSSEE depends heavily, is insufficient due to the lack of public education and involvement in the national security process.


Beyond the Security Dilemma

Beyond the Security Dilemma
Author: Jason G. Ralph
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 327
Release: 2017-11-22
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 1351791907

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This title was first published in 2001. The security dilemma has long been at the heart of the security studies discipline. Moving beyond this, this book attacks the assumptions of the traditional concept and redefines the security dilemma in a way more useful for examining security policy. By exposing the historical and social contingency of the traditional concept, the book argues that the security dilemma is an important though not a permanently operating feature of international politics. An examination of US policy towards the Soviet Union demonstrates the limits of perceiving the Cold War and challenges the role that American security policy has played in the process of constructing a transatlantic security community.


The Cold War and After

The Cold War and After
Author: Sean M. Lynn-Jones
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 430
Release: 1993
Genre: History
ISBN: 9780262620888

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The Cold War and After presents a collection of well-reasoned arguments selected fromthe journal International Security on the causes of the Cold War and the effect of its aftermath onthe peaceful coexistence of European states. This new edition includes all of the material from thefirst edition, plus four new articles: The Unipolar Illusion: Why New Great Powers Will Rise,Christopher Layne; International Primacy: Is the Game Worth the Candle? Robert Jervis; WhyInternational Primacy Matters, Samuel P. Huntington; and International Relations Theory and the Endof the Cold War, John Lewis Gaddis.Sean M. Lynn-Jones is Managing Editor of International Security.Steven E. Miller is Director of Studies at the Center for Science and International Affairs, HarvardUniversity.


Trust, but Verify

Trust, but Verify
Author: Martin Klimke
Publisher: Stanford University Press
Total Pages: 328
Release: 2016-11-01
Genre: History
ISBN: 1503600130

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Trust, but Verify uses trust—with its emotional and predictive aspects—to explore international relations in the second half of the Cold War, beginning with the late 1960s. The détente of the 1970s led to the development of some limited trust between the United States and the Soviet Union, which lessened international tensions and enabled advances in areas such as arms control. However, it also created uncertainty in other areas, especially on the part of smaller states that depended on their alliance leaders for protection. The contributors to this volume look at how the "emotional" side of the conflict affected the dynamics of various Cold War relations: between the superpowers, within the two ideological blocs, and inside individual countries on the margins of the East–West confrontation.


Power and Purpose

Power and Purpose
Author: James M. Goldgeier
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Total Pages: 480
Release: 2003-10-29
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 081579617X

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Russia, once seen as America's greatest adversary, is now viewed by the United States as a potential partner. This book traces the evolution of American foreign policy toward the Soviet Union, and later Russia, during the tumultuous and uncertain period following the end of the cold war. It examines how American policymakers—particularly in the executive branch—coped with the opportunities and challenges presented by the new Russia. Drawing on extensive interviews with senior U.S. and Russian officials, the authors explain George H. W. Bush's response to the dramatic coup of August 1991 and the Soviet breakup several months later, examine Bill Clinton's efforts to assist Russia's transformation and integration, and analyze George W. Bush's policy toward Russia as September 11 and the war in Iraq transformed international politics. Throughout, the book focuses on the benefits and perils of America's efforts to promote democracy and markets in Russia as well as reorient Russia from security threat to security ally. Understanding how three U.S. administrations dealt with these critical policy questions is vital in assessing not only America's Russia policy, but also efforts that might help to transform and integrate other former adversaries in the future.


NATO's Security Discourse After the Cold War

NATO's Security Discourse After the Cold War
Author: Andreas Behnke
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 250
Release: 2013
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 0415584531

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This book provides a critical investigation into the discursive processes through which the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO) reproduced a geopolitical order after the end of the Cold War and the demise of its constitutive enemy, the Soviet Union.


U.S. National Security

U.S. National Security
Author: David Jablonsky
Publisher:
Total Pages: 114
Release: 1997
Genre: National security
ISBN: 9781463735197

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U.S. national security is a subject that has been under intense scrutiny since the end of the Cold War. What constitutes such security for the United States as this country approaches the new century? Are the ends, ways, and means of our national security and national military strategies sufficient to provide for the nation's future? And above all, as this country celebrates the 50th anniversary of the National Security Act of 1947, are the institutions that resulted from that act still sufficient for the post-Cold War era? With these questions in mind, the Strategic Studies Institute and Dickinson College's Clarke Center co-sponsored the series of lectures on American national security after the Cold War which are contained in this volume. The lectures take four different, yet complementary, perspectives. Professor Ronald Steel reminds us of the intellectual revolution embodied in the act that moved America from the concept of "defense" to one of "national security" and relates this concept to our attempts to define post-Cold War national security interests. Dr. Lawrence Korb reviews the evolution in our national security establishment since the 1947 act. Dr. Morton Halperin's focus is the continuing tension between secrecy in the name of national security and the openness required in a democratic society, with a commentary on continuing threats to civil liberties. In the concluding essay, Ambassador Robert Ellsworth surveys the key strategic challenges facing the United States as we enter the 21st century. To set the context, Dr. David Jablonsky outlines the transformations in national security paradigms that the United States undertook a half-century ago, and that we wrestle with today. The contributions of these expert scholars and practitioners in the field of national security bear directly on the issues which will shape the nation's 21st century destiny.


The End of the Cold War and its Aftermath

The End of the Cold War and its Aftermath
Author: Mark R. Wilcox
Publisher: Outskirts Press
Total Pages: 173
Release: 2023-09-20
Genre: History
ISBN: 1977268897

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Roughly thirty years ago, the Cold War came to an end. This multi-generational struggle, which did not always remain “cold,” came to define the security environment and, arguably, the social milieu for much of the world’s population. It certainly was prominent in the life experiences of the contributing authors to this volume, perhaps beginning with “duck and cover” drills in schools to being surrounded by the ubiquitous “Fallout Shelter” signs on public buildings. For most of the authors, it also involved service in the armed forces both in active combat, for instance in Vietnam, and in units preparing for a hot war in Europe that, thankfully, never came. Their service also included time on staffs developing plans and policies to manage the military competition, and in arms control, working to reduce the chances of war. One thing all the authors share vis-à-vis the Cold War is the desire to study it, learn from it, and share their insights with others.