The Foundations Of Causal Decision Theory PDF Download
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Author | : James M. Joyce |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 281 |
Release | : 1999-04-13 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 1139471384 |
Download The Foundations of Causal Decision Theory Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This book defends the view that any adequate account of rational decision making must take a decision maker's beliefs about causal relations into account. The early chapters of the book introduce the non-specialist to the rudiments of expected utility theory. The major technical advance offered by the book is a 'representation theorem' that shows that both causal decision theory and its main rival, Richard Jeffrey's logic of decision, are both instances of a more general conditional decision theory. The book solves a long-standing problem for Jeffrey's theory by showing for the first time how to obtain a unique utility and probability representation for preferences and judgements of comparative likelihood. The book also contains a major new discussion of what it means to suppose that some event occurs or that some proposition is true. The most complete and robust defence of causal decision theory available.
Author | : Martin Peterson |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 351 |
Release | : 2017-03-30 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1107151597 |
Download An Introduction to Decision Theory Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
A comprehensive and accessible introduction to all aspects of decision theory, now with new and updated discussions and over 140 exercises.
Author | : James M. Joyce |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 300 |
Release | : 1999-04-13 |
Genre | : Computers |
ISBN | : 9780521641647 |
Download The Foundations of Causal Decision Theory Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
The book also contains a major new discussion of what it means to suppose that some event occurs or that some proposition is true.
Author | : Arif Ahmed |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 0 |
Release | : 2017-02-02 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 9781316641545 |
Download Evidence, Decision and Causality Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Most philosophers agree that causal knowledge is essential to decision-making: agents should choose from the available options those that probably cause the outcomes that they want. This book argues against this theory and in favour of evidential or Bayesian decision theory, which emphasises the symptomatic value of options over their causal role. It examines a variety of settings, including economic theory, quantum mechanics and philosophical thought-experiments, where causal knowledge seems to make a practical difference. The arguments make novel use of machinery from other areas of philosophical inquiry, including first-person epistemology and the free will debate. The book also illustrates the applicability of decision theory itself to questions about the direction of time and the special epistemic status of agents.
Author | : Arif Ahmed |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 112 |
Release | : 2021-10-21 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 1108607861 |
Download Evidential Decision Theory Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Evidential Decision Theory is a radical theory of rational decision-making. It recommends that instead of thinking about what your decisions *cause*, you should think about what they *reveal*. This Element explains in simple terms why thinking in this way makes a big difference, and argues that doing so makes for *better* decisions. An appendix gives an intuitive explanation of the measure-theoretic foundations of Evidential Decision Theory.
Author | : Richard Bradley |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 351 |
Release | : 2017-10-26 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 1107003210 |
Download Decision Theory with a Human Face Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Explores how decision-makers can manage uncertainty that varies in both kind and severity by extending and supplementing Bayesian decision theory.
Author | : John L. Pollock |
Publisher | : Oxford University Press |
Total Pages | : 280 |
Release | : 2006-07-27 |
Genre | : Philosophy |
ISBN | : 0199838860 |
Download Thinking about Acting Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
John Pollock aims to construct a theory of rational decision making for real agents--not ideal agents. Real agents have limited cognitive powers, but traditional theories of rationality have applied only to idealized agents that lack such constraints. Pollock argues that theories of ideal rationality are largely irrelevant to the decision making of real agents. Thinking about Acting aims to provide a theory of "real rationality."
Author | : Peter Gärdenfors |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 449 |
Release | : 1988 |
Genre | : Philosophy |
ISBN | : 9780521333917 |
Download Decision, Probability, and Utility Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Decision theory and the theory of rational choice have recently been the subjects of considerable research by philosophers and economists. However, no adequate anthology exists which can be used to introduce students to the field. This volume is designed to meet that need. The essays included are organized into five parts covering the foundations of decision theory, the conceptualization of probability and utility, pholosophical difficulties with the rules of rationality and with the assessment of probability, and causal decision theory. The editors provide an extensive introduction to the field and introductions to each part.
Author | : Peter Gärdenfors |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 464 |
Release | : 1988-04-29 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9780521336581 |
Download Decision, Probability and Utility Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Decision theory and the theory of rational choice have recently been the subjects of considerable research by philosophers and economists. However, no adequate anthology exists which can be used to introduce students to the field. This volume is designed to meet that need. The essays included are organized into five parts covering the foundations of decision theory, the conceptualization of probability and utility, pholosophical difficulties with the rules of rationality and with the assessment of probability, and causal decision theory. The editors provide an extensive introduction to the field and introductions to each part.
Author | : Ellery Eells |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 229 |
Release | : 2016-08-26 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1107144817 |
Download Rational Decision and Causality Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This book is Ellery Eells' influential examination and analysis of theories of rational decision making.