The Effectiveness Of Foreign Exchange Intervention In Emerging Market Countries PDF Download
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| Author | : Roberto Pereira Guimarães |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 34 |
| Release | : 2004-07-01 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1451854641 |
Download The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Markets Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This paper analyzes the effects of intervention on the level and volatility of the exchange rate in Mexico and Turkey, two emerging countries that have floating exchange rate regimes. The paper finds mixed evidence on the effectiveness of intervention. In Mexico, foreign exchange sales have a small impact on the exchange rate level and raise short-term volatility, while in Turkey, intervention does not appear to affect the exchange rate level but reduces its shortterm volatility. In both cases, the findings are consistent with officially stated policy objectives, which aim to minimize the effect of intervention on the exchange rate, but cast doubt on claims that intervention is a useful tool for smoothing volatility. Although these findings cannot be generalized to other emerging markets, intervention's apparently limited effectiveness highlights the need for central banks to use their scarce foreign reserves selectively and parsimoniously.
| Author | : Piti Disyatat |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 26 |
| Release | : 2005 |
| Genre | : Banks and banking, Central |
| ISBN | : |
Download The Effectiveness of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Market Countries Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
We survey the literature on the efficacy of foreign exchange market intervention in emerging market countries, emphasising the differences with the literature on industrial countries. We then use official statistics on central bank intervention by the Czech National Bank in conjunction with options market data, to study the impact of intervention during 2001-02. We find that central bank intervention had some (weakly) statistically significant impact on the spot rate and the risk reversal but that this impact was small. We do not find evidence that intervention had an influence on short-term exchange rate volatility. We also find that, in our sample period, Czech authorities appeared to intervene mainly in response to an acceleration of the speed of koruna appreciation.
| Author | : Gustavo Adler |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 37 |
| Release | : 2016-04-12 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 148433230X |
Download The Cost of Foreign Exchange Intervention Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
The accumulation of large foreign asset positions by many central banks through sustained foreign exchange (FX) intervention has raised questions about its associated fiscal costs. This paper clarifies conceptual issues regarding how to measure these costs both from an ex-post and an ex-ante (relevant for decision making) perspective, and estimates both marginal and total costs for 73 countries over the period 2002-13. We find ex-ante marginal costs for the median emerging market economy (EME) in the inter-quartile range of 2-5.5 percent per year; while ex-ante total costs (of sustaining FX positions) in the range of 0.2-0.7 percent of GDP per year for light interveners and 0.3-1.2 percent of GDP per year for heavy interveners. These estimates indicate that fiscal costs of sustained FX intervention (via expanding central bank balance sheets) are not negligible.
| Author | : Roberto F. Guimaraes |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 33 |
| Release | : 2006 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : |
Download The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Market Countries Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This paper analyzes the effects of intervention on the level and volatility of the exchange rate in Mexico and Turkey, two emerging countries that have floating exchange rate regimes. The paper finds mixed evidence on the effectiveness of intervention. In Mexico, foreign exchange sales have a small impact on the exchange rate level and raise short-term volatility, while in Turkey, intervention does not appear to affect the exchange rate level but reduces its shortterm volatility. In both cases, the findings are consistent with officially stated policy objectives, which aim to minimize the effect of intervention on the exchange rate, but cast doubt on claims that intervention is a useful tool for smoothing volatility. Although these findings cannot be generalized to other emerging markets, intervention`s apparently limited effectiveness highlights the need for central banks to use their scarce foreign reserves selectively and parsimoniously.
| Author | : Roberto Fernandes Guimarães-Filho |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 38 |
| Release | : 2004 |
| Genre | : Banks and banking, Central |
| ISBN | : |
Download The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Market Countries Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
| Author | : Mr.Jorge Iván Canales Kriljenko |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 58 |
| Release | : 2006-03-02 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9781589064218 |
Download Official Foreign Exchange Intervention Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Despite increasing exchange rate flexibility, central banks in emerging markets still intervene in their foreign exchange markets for several reasons. In doing so, they face many operational questions, including on the degree of transparency and the choice of markets and counterparties. This paper identifies elements of best practice in official foreign exchange intervention, presents survey evidence on intervention practices in developing countries, and assesses the effectiveness of intervention in Mexico and Turkey.
| Author | : Mr.Jonathan David Ostry |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 25 |
| Release | : 2012-02-29 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1475503628 |
Download Two Targets, Two Instruments Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience interested in economic policy issues. This Web-only series replaced Staff Position Notes in January 2011.
| Author | : Roberto Pereira Guimarães |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 45 |
| Release | : 2003-07-01 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 145185711X |
Download Official Intervention in the Foreign Exchange Market Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This paper offers guidance on the operational aspects of official intervention in the foreign exchange market, particularly in developing countries with flexible exchange rate regimes. A brief survey of the literature and country experience is followed by an analysis of the objectives, timing, amount, degree of transparency, and choice of markets and counterparties in conducting intervention. The analysis highlights the difficulty of detecting exchange rate misalignments and disorderly markets, and argues in favor of parsimony in official intervention. Determining the timing and amount of intervention is a highly subjective excercise, and some degree of discretion is almost necessary, though policy rules may serve as "rules of thumb."
| Author | : Romain Lafarguette |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 33 |
| Release | : 2021-02-12 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1513569406 |
Download Foreign Exchange Intervention Rules for Central Banks: A Risk-based Framework Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This paper presents a rule for foreign exchange interventions (FXI), designed to preserve financial stability in floating exchange rate arrangements. The FXI rule addresses a market failure: the absence of hedging solution for tail exchange rate risk in the market (i.e. high volatility). Market impairment or overshoot of exchange rate between two equilibria could generate high volatility and threaten financial stability due to unhedged exposure to exchange rate risk in the economy. The rule uses the concept of Value at Risk (VaR) to define FXI triggers. While it provides to the market a hedge against tail risk, the rule allows the exchange rate to smoothly adjust to new equilibria. In addition, the rule is budget neutral over the medium term, encourages a prudent risk management in the market, and is more resilient to speculative attacks than other rules, such as fixed-volatility rules. The empirical methodology is backtested on Banco Mexico’s FXIs data between 2008 and 2016.
| Author | : Mr.Jorge Iván Canales Kriljenko |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 60 |
| Release | : 2003-05-01 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1451851847 |
Download Foreign Exchange Intervention in Developing and Transition Economies Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Based on evidence obtained from the IMF's 2001 Survey on Foreign Exchange Market Organization, the author argues that, for several reasons, some central banks in developing and transition economies may be able to conduct foreign exchange intervention more effectively than the central banks of developed countries issuing the major international currencies. First, these central banks do not always fully sterilize their foreign exchange interventions. In addition, they issue regulations and conduct their foreign exchange operations in a way that increases the central bank's information advantage and the size of their foreign exchange intervention relative to foreign exchange market turnover. Some of the central banks also use moral suasion to support their foreign exchange interventions.
