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Economics and Elections

Economics and Elections
Author: Michael S. Lewis-Beck
Publisher: University of Michigan Press
Total Pages: 204
Release: 1990
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780472081332

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A cross-national study of the effect of economic conditions on voting behavior in the United States and the Western democracies


The Economic Vote

The Economic Vote
Author: Raymond M. Duch
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 359
Release: 2008-03-17
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1139470620

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This book proposes a selection model for explaining cross-national variation in economic voting: Rational voters condition the economic vote on whether incumbents are responsible for economic outcomes, because this is the optimal way to identify and elect competent economic managers under conditions of uncertainty. This model explores how political and economic institutions alter the quality of the signal that the previous economy provides about the competence of candidates. The rational economic voter is also attentive to strategic cues regarding the responsibility of parties for economic outcomes and their electoral competitiveness. Theoretical propositions are derived, linking variation in economic and political institutions to variability in economic voting. The authors demonstrate that there is economic voting, and that it varies significantly across political contexts. The data consist of 165 election studies conducted in 19 different countries over a 20-year time period.


The Economy and the Vote

The Economy and the Vote
Author: Wouter van der Brug
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 11
Release: 2007-04-30
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1139464221

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Economic conditions are said to affect election outcomes, but past research has produced unstable and contradictory findings. This book argues that these problems are caused by the failure to take account of electoral competition between parties. A research strategy to correct this problem is designed and applied to investigate effects of economic conditions on (individual) voter choices and (aggregate) election outcomes over 42 elections in 15 countries. It shows that economic conditions exert small effects on individual party preferences, which can have large consequences for election outcomes. In countries where responsibility for economic policy is clear, voters vote retrospectively and reward or punish incumbent parties - although in coalition systems smaller government parties often gain at the expense of the largest party when economic conditions deteriorate. Where clarity of responsibility for economic policy is less clear, voters vote more prospectively on the basis of expected party policies.


The Economy and the Vote

The Economy and the Vote
Author: Wouter van der Brug
Publisher:
Total Pages: 234
Release: 2007
Genre: Elections
ISBN: 9780511278846

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This book estimates he effects of economic conditions on the behaviour of individual voters and on election outcomes.


Why Do Elections Matter in Africa?

Why Do Elections Matter in Africa?
Author: Nic Cheeseman
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 377
Release: 2021-02-18
Genre: Law
ISBN: 110841723X

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A radical new approach to understanding Africa's elections: explaining why politicians, bureaucrats and voters so frequently break electoral rules.


Power and the Vote

Power and the Vote
Author: Brian Min
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 215
Release: 2015-09-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1107109841

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Shows that the provision of seemingly universal public goods is shaped by electoral priorities.


Get Out the Vote

Get Out the Vote
Author: Donald P. Green
Publisher: Brookings Institution Press
Total Pages: 239
Release: 2008-09-01
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 081573266X

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The first edition of Get Out the Vote! broke ground by introducing a new scientific approach to the challenge of voter mobilization and profoundly influenced how campaigns operate. In this expanded and updated edition, the authors incorporate data from more than one hundred new studies, which shed new light on the cost-effectiveness and efficiency of various campaign tactics, including door-to-door canvassing, e-mail, direct mail, and telephone calls. Two new chapters focus on the effectiveness of mass media campaigns and events such as candidate forums and Election Day festivals. Available in time for the core of the 2008 presidential campaign, this practical guide on voter mobilization is sure to be an important resource for consultants, candidates, and grassroots organizations. Praise for the first edition: "Donald P. Green and Alan S. Gerber have studied turnout for years. Their findings, based on dozens of controlled experiments done as part of actual campaigns, are summarized in a slim and readable new book called Get Out the Vote!, which is bound to become a bible for politicians and activists of all stripes." —Alan B. Kreuger, in the New York Times "Get Out the Vote! shatters conventional wisdom about GOTV." —Hal Malchow in Campaigns & Elections "Green and Gerber's recent book represents important innovations in the study of turnout."—Political Science Review "Green and Gerber have provided a valuable resource for grassroots campaigns across the spectrum."—National Journal


The Economic Vote

The Economic Vote
Author: Duch Raymond M Stevenson Randolph T
Publisher:
Total Pages: 418
Release: 2014-05-14
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 9780511388231

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Defining and measuring the economic vote -- Patterns of retrospective economic voting in western democracies -- Estimation, measurement and specification -- Competency signals and rational retrospective economic voting -- What do voters know about economic variation and its sources? -- Political control of the economy -- Responsibility, contention, and the economic vote -- The distribution of responsibility and economic vote -- The pattern of contention and the economic vote.


Forging the Franchise

Forging the Franchise
Author: Dawn Langan Teele
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 238
Release: 2020-10-06
Genre: History
ISBN: 0691211760

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The important political motivations behind why women finally won the right to vote In the 1880s, women were barred from voting in all national-level elections, but by 1920 they were going to the polls in nearly thirty countries. What caused this massive change? Why did male politicians agree to extend voting rights to women? Contrary to conventional wisdom, it was not because of progressive ideas about women or suffragists’ pluck. In most countries, elected politicians fiercely resisted enfranchising women, preferring to extend such rights only when it seemed electorally prudent and in fact necessary to do so. Through a careful examination of the tumultuous path to women’s political inclusion in the United States, France, and the United Kingdom, Forging the Franchise demonstrates that the formation of a broad movement across social divides, and strategic alliances with political parties in competitive electoral conditions, provided the leverage that ultimately transformed women into voters. As Dawn Teele shows, in competitive environments, politicians had incentives to seek out new sources of electoral influence. A broad-based suffrage movement could reinforce those incentives by providing information about women’s preferences, and an infrastructure with which to mobilize future female voters. At the same time that politicians wanted to enfranchise women who were likely to support their party, suffragists also wanted to enfranchise women whose political preferences were similar to theirs. In contexts where political rifts were too deep, suffragists who were in favor of the vote in principle mobilized against their own political emancipation. Exploring tensions between elected leaders and suffragists and the uncertainty surrounding women as an electoral group, Forging the Franchise sheds new light on the strategic reasons behind women’s enfranchisement.


The Message Matters

The Message Matters
Author: Lynn Vavreck
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 236
Release: 2009-07-26
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780691139630

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Demonstrating how candidates and their campaigns affect the economic vote, this book provides a different way of understanding past elections - and predicting future ones. It offers a theory of campaigns that explains why electoral victory requires more than simply being the candidate favored by prevailing economic conditions.