The Drivers Of Capital Flows In Emerging Markets Post Global Financial Crisis PDF Download
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| Author | : Swarnali Ahmed Hannan |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 26 |
| Release | : 2017-03-13 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1475586787 |
Download The Drivers of Capital Flows in Emerging Markets Post Global Financial Crisis Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Using a sample of 34 emerging markets and developing economies over the period 2009Q3-2015Q4, the paper employs a panel framework to study the determinants of capital flows, both net and gross, across a wide range of instruments. The baseline regressions are then extended to focus on high and low episodes – quarters with flows one standard deviation above/below mean. Overall, the results suggest that the capital flow slowdown witnessed in recent years is due to a combination of lower growth prospects of recipient countries and worse global risk sentiment. However, the determinants of flows can be considerably different across instruments and across the type of flows considered, net or gross. The sensitivity of certain types of flows, towards push and pull factors, increases during periods of high and low capital flows. Moreover, some variables may not necessarily be significant during normal times, but can be important drivers during such episodes, and vice versa. Indicators like the gap between the U.S. long- and short-term maturity bond yields – not significant during normal times – can be an important driver during high episodes.
| Author | : Swarnali Ahmed Hannan |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 22 |
| Release | : 2018-09-28 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1484378288 |
Download Revisiting the Determinants of Capital Flows to Emerging Markets--A Survey of the Evolving Literature Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This paper documents the evolution of gross and net capital flows to emerging market economies and surveys the large literature on the potential drivers. While the capital flow landscape has been shaped by the evolution of both global and country-specific factors, the relative importance of these factors has varied over time and differs depending on the type of capital flows. The findings from the survey of the literature thus underscores the importance of policies in both source and recipient countries in shaping capital flows.
| Author | : Erlend Nier |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 35 |
| Release | : 2014-10-27 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1498352928 |
Download Gross Private Capital Flows to Emerging Markets Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This paper assesses empirically the key drivers of private capital flows to a large sample of emerging market economies in the last decade. It analyzes the effect of the global financial cycle, measured by the VIX, on capital flows and investigates the role of fundamentals and country characteristics in mitigating or amplifying its effect. Using interaction models, we find the effect of the VIX to be non-linear. For low levels of the VIX, capital flows are driven by fundamental factors. During periods of stress, the VIX becomes the dominant driver of capital flows while other determinants, with the exception of interest rate differentials, lose statistical significance. Our results also suggest that the effect of global financial conditions on gross private capital flows increases with the host country’s level of financial sector development. Finally, our results imply that countries cannot fully insulate themselves from global financial shocks, unless creating a fragmented global financial system.
| Author | : Mr.Hui Tong |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 39 |
| Release | : 2009-08-01 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1451873115 |
Download The Composition Matters Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
We study whether capital flows affect the degree of credit crunch faced by a country's manufacturing firms during the 2007-09 crisis. Examining 3823 firms in 24 emerging countries, we find that the decline in stock prices was more severe for firms that are intrinsically more dependent on external finance for working capital. The volume of capital flows has no significant effect on the severity of the credit crunch. However, the composition of capital flows matters: pre-crisis exposure to non-FDI capital inflows worsens the credit crunch, while exposure to FDI alleviates the liquidity constraint. Similar results also hold surrounding the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy
| Author | : Ms.Deniz O Igan |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 50 |
| Release | : 2016-12-06 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1475558562 |
Download Real Effects of Capital Inflows in Emerging Markets Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
We examine the association between capital inflows and industry growth in a sample of 22 emerging market economies from 1998 to 2010. We expect more external finance dependent industries in countries that host more capital inflows to grow disproportionately faster. This is indeed the case in the pre-crisis period of 1998–2007, and is driven by debt, rather than equity, inflows. We also observe a reduction in output volatility but this association is more pronounced for equity, rather than debt, inflows. These relationships, however, break down during the crisis, hinting at the importance of an undisrupted global financial system for emerging markets to harness the growth benefits of capital inflows. In line with this observation, we also document that the inflows-growth nexus is stronger in countries with well-functioning banks.
| Author | : Guillermo Calvo |
| Publisher | : Peterson Institute |
| Total Pages | : 362 |
| Release | : 1996 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : |
Download Private Capital Flows to Emerging Markets After the Mexican Crisis Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
| Author | : Maria Sole Pagliari |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 58 |
| Release | : 2017-03-07 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 147558525X |
Download The Volatility of Capital Flows in Emerging Markets Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Capital flow volatility is a concern for macroeconomic and financial stability. Nonetheless, literature is scarce in this topic. Our paper sheds light on this issue in two dimensions. First, using quarterly data for 65 countries over the period 1970Q1-2016Q1, we construct three measures of volatility, for total capital flows and key instruments. Second, we perform panel regressions to understand the determinants of volatility. The measures show that the volatility of all instruments is prone to bouts, rising sharply during global shocks like the taper tantrum episode. Capital flow volatility thus remains a challenge for policy makers. The regression results suggest that push factors can be more important than pull factors in explaining volatility, illustrating that the characteristics of volatility can be different from those of the flows levels.
| Author | : Ilias Alami |
| Publisher | : Routledge |
| Total Pages | : 236 |
| Release | : 2019-12-09 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1000769003 |
Download Money Power and Financial Capital in Emerging Markets Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This book provides a comprehensive investigation of the messy and crisis-ridden relationship between the operations of capitalist finance, global capital flows, and state power in emerging markets. The politics, drivers of emergence, and diversity of these myriad forms of state power are explored in light of the positionality of emerging markets within the network of space and power relations that characterises contemporary global finance. The book develops a multi-disciplinary perspective and combines insights from Marxist political economy, post-Keynesian economics, economic geography, and postcolonial and feminist International Political Economy. Alami comprehensively reviews the theories, histories, and geographies of cross-border finance management, and develops a conceptual framework which allows unpacking the complex entanglement of constraint and opportunities, of growing integration and tight discipline, that cross-border finance represents for emerging markets. Extensive fieldwork research provides an in-depth comparative critical interrogation of the policies and regulations deployed in Brazil and South Africa. This volume will be especially useful to those researching and working in the areas of international political economy, contemporary geographies of money and finance, and critical development studies. It should also prove of interest to policy makers, practitioners, and activists concerned with the relation between finance and development in emerging markets and beyond.
| Author | : Ms.Ratna Sahay |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 29 |
| Release | : 2014-10-02 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1484356004 |
Download Emerging Market Volatility Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Accommodative monetary policies in advanced economies have spurred increased capital inflows into emerging markets since the global financial crisis. Starting in May 2013, when the Federal Reserve publicly discussed its plans for tapering unconventional monetary policies, these emerging markets have experienced financial turbulence at the same that their domestic economic activity has slowed. This paper examines their experiences and policy responses and draws broad policy lessons. For emerging markets, good macroeconomic fundamentals matter, and early and decisive measures to strengthen macroeconomic policies and reduce vulnerabilities help dampen market reactions to external shocks. For advanced economies, clear and effective communication about the exit from unconventional monetary policy can and did help later to reduce the risk of excessive market volatility. And for the global community, enhanced global cooperation, including a strong global financial safety net, offers emerging markets effective protection against excessive volatility.
| Author | : Erlend Nier |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 64 |
| Release | : 2010-11-01 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1455210722 |
Download What Caused the Global Financial Crisis Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This paper investigates empirically the drivers of financial imbalances ahead of the global financial crisis. Three factors may have contributed to the build-up of financial imbalances: (i) rising global imbalances (capital flows), (ii) monetary policy that might have been too loose, (iii) inadequate supervision and regulation. Panel data regressions are performed for OECD countries from 1999 to 2007, so as to shed light on the relative importance of these factors, as well as the extent to which these factors might have interacted in fuelling the build-up. We find that the build-up of financial imbalances was driven by capital inflows and an associated compression of the spread between long and short rates. The effect of capital inflows on the build-up is amplified where the supervisory and regulatory environment was relatively weak. We find that, by contrast, differences in monetary policy cannot account for differences across countries in the build-up of financial imbalances ahead of the crisis.
