The De Escalation Of Nuclear Crises PDF Download
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Author | : Joseph E. Nation |
Publisher | : Springer |
Total Pages | : 274 |
Release | : 1991-06-18 |
Genre | : Technology & Engineering |
ISBN | : 1349127345 |
Download The De-escalation of Nuclear Crises Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
The de-escalation of a nuclear crisis is one of the major issues facing humankind. This book examines how nations in crises might successfully move back from the brink of nuclear war and how confidence-building measures might help and hinder the de-escalatory process.
Author | : Bernard Brodie |
Publisher | : Princeton University Press |
Total Pages | : 160 |
Release | : 2015-12-08 |
Genre | : Political Science |
ISBN | : 1400877377 |
Download Escalation and Nuclear Option Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This work stresses the importance, in making any choice of strategies-including the decision to use or refrain from using nuclear weapons-of gauging the intent behind the opponent's military moves. Dr. Brodie also suggests that the use or threat of use of tactical nuclear weapons may lead to de-escalation, that is, may check rather than promote the expansion of hostilities. The author applies his ideas about escalation to several imagined situations, examining them in relation to experiences in Europe, in the second Cuba crisis, and in Asia. Originally published in 1966. The Princeton Legacy Library uses the latest print-on-demand technology to again make available previously out-of-print books from the distinguished backlist of Princeton University Press. These editions preserve the original texts of these important books while presenting them in durable paperback and hardcover editions. The goal of the Princeton Legacy Library is to vastly increase access to the rich scholarly heritage found in the thousands of books published by Princeton University Press since its founding in 1905.
Author | : Richard Ned Lebow |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 240 |
Release | : 1987 |
Genre | : History |
ISBN | : |
Download Nuclear Crisis Management Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Author | : Bernard Brodie |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 151 |
Release | : 1980 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download Escalation and the Nuclear Option Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Author | : |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 48 |
Release | : 2012 |
Genre | : Nuclear arms control |
ISBN | : |
Download Iran's Nuclear Programme Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Author | : Herman Kahn |
Publisher | : Praeger |
Total Pages | : 336 |
Release | : 1986-05-23 |
Genre | : Education |
ISBN | : |
Download On Escalation Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Author | : Kurt Gottfried |
Publisher | : Oxford University Press, USA |
Total Pages | : 354 |
Release | : 1988 |
Genre | : Nuclear crisis stability |
ISBN | : 9780195051476 |
Download Crisis Stability and Nuclear War Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
A nuclear conflict between the superpowers is more likely to arise from the loss of control during a crisis than from a premeditated decision to embark on war. Yet governments and the public continue to focus on the size and shape of nuclear arsenals rather than on the ability of the U.S. and the U.S.S.R. to prevent an altercation from escalating into nuclear combat. In this book, Desmond Ball, Paul Bracken, General Lloyd R. Leavitt, and numerous other political, military, and technical experts propose a variety of measures to enhance "crisis stability"--the ability to retain control over events in a grave crisis. The result of a study sponsored by the American Academy of Arts and Sciences and Cornell University's Peace Studies Program that pooled many of the best minds on nuclear weapons, the book examines the development of today's complex "command and control" systems. "The two superpowers' command and control structures should be thought of as a single interacting system composed of men and machines," write Kurt Gottfried and Bruce Blair, who integrated the study group's papers. They examine the mounting strains that would be placed on this system as a confrontation intensified to the point where the command system itself was under attack. To portray the dramatic transformation brought about by the introduction of nuclear weapons and other post-1945 technical developments, they trace the evolution of command systems from Napoleon to the present day. Also included are analyses of the major post-Hiroshima crises and the military and intelligence operations the superpowers are likely to mount in future crises, as well as a hypothetical Mid-East crisis scenario illustrating the dangers of nuclear proliferation. In conclusion, the book projects the impact on crisis stability of new and forthcoming technologies, such as cruise missiles and anti-satellite weapons, and propose specific policy recommendations on which the U.S. government can act, both alone and in conjunction with the Soviet Union.
Author | : Barry R. Posen |
Publisher | : Cornell University Press |
Total Pages | : 295 |
Release | : 2014-01-13 |
Genre | : Political Science |
ISBN | : 080146837X |
Download Inadvertent Escalation Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
In this sobering book, Barry R. Posen demonstrates how the interplay between conventional military operations and nuclear forces could, in conflicts among states armed with both conventional and nuclear weaponry, inadvertently produce pressures for nuclear escalation. Knowledge of these hidden pressures, he believes, may help some future decision maker avoid catastrophe.Building a formidable argument that moves with cumulative force, he details the way in which escalation could occur not by mindless accident, or by deliberate preference for nuclear escalation, but rather as a natural accompaniment of land, naval, or air warfare at the conventional level. Posen bases his analysis on an empirical study of the east-west military competition in Europe during the 1980s, using a conceptual framework drawn from international relations theory, organization theory, and strategic theory.The lessons of his book, however, go well beyond the east-west competition. Since his observations are relevant to all military competitions between states armed with both conventional and nuclear weaponry, his book speaks to some of the problems that attend the proliferation of nuclear weapons in longstanding regional conflicts. Optimism that small and medium nuclear powers can easily achieve "stable" nuclear balances is, he believes, unwarranted.
Author | : Charles W. Goetz |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 89 |
Release | : 2019 |
Genre | : Conflict management |
ISBN | : |
Download Power Vs Resolve Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
"Deterrence scholars have long debated the use of nuclear weapons as coercive instruments. There is an emerging agreement that two primary factors affect the outcomes of nuclear crises; superiority and resolve. This study builds a model using these two factors to help understand the interplay between them and how actors in a crisis might behave when matched against their adversary in these two factors. The findings of this study are: that escalate to de-escalate strategies are most likely to occur when a state is in a position of nuclear inferiority and high-resolve, superiority appears to only set the stage for the crisis; the variable that changes during the crisis is resolve, the factor that appears to make the least difference is economic stake, the factor of territorial salience played a strong role in crises generation, but less so in termination, and reputational gains from restraint mattered very little. Overall it appears true that nuclear balance of power and balance of resolve interact dynamically to affect nuclear crisis outcomes. The Power Resolve Analysis Tool (PRAT) helps to visualize and organize those interactions."--Abstract.
Author | : National Intelligence Council |
Publisher | : Cosimo Reports |
Total Pages | : 0 |
Release | : 2018-02-07 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : 9781646797721 |
Download Global Trends 2030 Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This important report, Global Trends 2030-Alternative Worlds, released in 2012 by the U.S. National Intelligence Council, describes megatrends and potential game changers for the next decades. Among the megatrends, it analyzes: - increased individual empowerment - the diffusion of power among states and the ascent of a networked multi-polar world - a world's population growing to 8.3 billion people, of which sixty percent will live in urbanized areas, and surging cross-border migration - expanding demand for food, water, and energy It furthermore describes potential game changers, including: - a global economy that could thrive or collapse - increased global insecurity due to regional instability in the Middle East and South Asia - new technologies that could solve the problems caused by the megatrends - the possibility, but by no means the certainty, that the U.S. with new partners will reinvent the international system Students of trends, forward-looking entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades will find this essential reading.