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The Correlation Between Physical and Financial Crude Oil Markets

The Correlation Between Physical and Financial Crude Oil Markets
Author: Johannes Sailer
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 61
Release: 2012-03
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3656159343

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Seminar paper from the year 2012 in the subject Business economics - Miscellaneous, grade: 1,6, Humboldt-University of Berlin (School of Business and Economics ), course: Power Games in Energy Markets, language: English, abstract: Crude oil is currently the most important source of energy in the world. Thanks to advanced production and extraction methods, and due to new discoveries, the available reserves have grown over the last ten years. During this period of time, oil prices rose considerably. These increases in price are associated with the increasing energy demands of growing economies across the planet and a shifting of weight between the physical and financial oil market. The goal of this work is to examine the correlation between physical and financial crude oil markets as well as establish an explanation for the drastic increase in crude oil price in the past decade. The work is organized as follows: To begin, the characteristics of crude oil as well as its value chain are presented and examined. This is followed by an explanation of the physical and financial oil trade. To conclude, the fundamentals of the world oil market and the financial oil trade are examined to determine the relevance of causation with respect to the recent price increase.


The Correlation Between Physical and Financial Crude Oil Markets

The Correlation Between Physical and Financial Crude Oil Markets
Author: Johannes Sailer
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 32
Release: 2012-03-26
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3656159513

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Seminar paper from the year 2012 in the subject Business economics - Miscellaneous, grade: 1,6, Humboldt-University of Berlin (School of Business and Economics ), course: Power Games in Energy Markets, language: English, abstract: Crude oil is currently the most important source of energy in the world. Thanks to advanced production and extraction methods, and due to new discoveries, the available reserves have grown over the last ten years. During this period of time, oil prices rose considerably. These increases in price are associated with the increasing energy demands of growing economies across the planet and a shifting of weight between the physical and financial oil market. The goal of this work is to examine the correlation between physical and financial crude oil markets as well as establish an explanation for the drastic increase in crude oil price in the past decade. The work is organized as follows: To begin, the characteristics of crude oil as well as its value chain are presented and examined. This is followed by an explanation of the physical and financial oil trade. To conclude, the fundamentals of the world oil market and the financial oil trade are examined to determine the relevance of causation with respect to the recent price increase.


The Role of Financial Markets in the Pricing of Crude Oil

The Role of Financial Markets in the Pricing of Crude Oil
Author: Stephanie Leigh Sheldon
Publisher:
Total Pages: 165
Release: 2016
Genre: Electronic dissertations
ISBN:

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The debate over the causes of the path of the price of oil over the twenty-first century has failed to address the method of oil pricing. The thesis guiding this dissertation is that the crude oil pricing method constrains the influence of financial investors in oil futures via (1) a two-part price system, (2) the role of both spot and contract markets, and (3) the connections between the futures market and the specific physical market related to the futures contract. Market participants construct the pricing method and adjust it through historical time and context, similar to methods of pricing found in manufacturing and retail markets. The details of the physical oil market, grounded in the pricing method, leads to the application in chapter 5. The chapter examines the behavior of prices for WTI and Brent-related futures markets as well as for one light sweet and one medium sour crude oil at the US Gulf coast. Data pertinent to conditions in the physical oil market includes levels and quality of production and imports to the US, changing environmental standards, US refining complexity, demand growth and others clearly supports the path of these prices. The following illustrates the limits placed on financial investors in determination of the price of oil through the method of pricing and the conditions in the physical oil market.


Cme Vulnerability, The: The Impact Of Negative Oil Futures Trading

Cme Vulnerability, The: The Impact Of Negative Oil Futures Trading
Author: George Xianzhi Yuan
Publisher: World Scientific
Total Pages: 274
Release: 2020-10-23
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9811223211

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In 2020, the global lockdowns caused by the COVID-19, or coronavirus, pandemic had resulted in a sharp drop in demand for crude oil. This impact was so severe that on April 8, 2020, a proposal to update the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Holdings Inc. (CME) trading rule to permit negative prices was applied to CME's WTI Oil futures contracts; this led to a novel phenomenon in which the closing clearing price of WTI Oil May future was $-37.63/barrel based on fewer than 400 contracts' trading volume in the last three minutes, reflecting less than 0.2% of the total trading contracts volume on April 20, 2020. This occurrence of negative closing clearing price for CME's WTI Oil futures trading, cannot be explained simply by just the principle of supply and demand; instead, it highlights vulnerabilities caused by CME's allowance of negative price trading (based on its trading platform), a decision which brings potential and fundamental challenges to the global financial system.This event challenges not just our basic concepts of 'value' and trading 'price' of commodities and goods that underline our understanding of the framework for the invisible hand and general equilibrium theory in economics established by a few generations of scholars since Adam Smith in 1776 for market economies, but also have wider implications on the fundamentals that underpin our ideas of value and labor in the organization, activity, and behavior of civilizations and individual liberties.The scope of this book is limited to covering the impact of the negative oil futures derivatives' trading between April 20 and 21, 2020. This book focuses on exploring the issues, challenges, and possible impacts on global financial markets due to the negative clearing prices of WTI Oil futures contracts and related problems from different perspectives. Topics covered include the responsibilities and liabilities of the CME; critique to the fundamental theory of economics and the modern understanding of value and labor; and challenges to the global financial systems and businesses and introduction to new methods of application.


Fundamentals, Speculation, and the Pricing of Crude Oil Futures

Fundamentals, Speculation, and the Pricing of Crude Oil Futures
Author: Thomas Hoehl
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 89
Release: 2011-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3656047715

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Master's Thesis from the year 2011 in the subject Economics - Finance, grade: 8,0, Maastricht University (School of Business and Economics), language: English, abstract: This study finds that while a large part of the variation in crude oil futures prices is driven by fundamental factors, financial investment and speculation has the potential to aggravate reactions to changing fundamental variables and furthermore move prices on its own. The evidence is gathered by performing linear regressions and Granger Causality tests on futures returns, position data of different categories of futures traders on the New York Mercantile Exchange and proxies for relevant fundamental factors such as equity and exchange rate returns gathered from August 2006 to December 2010. While higher prices for crude oil naturally come along with increasing physical demand and finite world supply, future regulation might temper market volatility and guarantee that prices reflect a sustainable physical market equilibrium. The study also gives an overview of commodity market regulation and position limits on futures markets.


Foundations of Energy Risk Management

Foundations of Energy Risk Management
Author: GARP (Global Association of Risk Professionals)
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 140
Release: 2008-11-10
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0470421908

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GARP's Fundamentals of Energy Risk Management introduces investors to the basic components and some of the basic terminology used in the energy industry. It covers the commodity cycle, energy use and sources, and various risk types, various energy products and the markets where energy is traded. It also introduces certain risk management fundamentals and real option thinking. The book is GARP's required text used by risk professionals looking to obtain their Certificate in Energy Risk Management.


Trading and Price Discovery for Crude Oils

Trading and Price Discovery for Crude Oils
Author: Adi Imsirovic
Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan
Total Pages: 252
Release: 2022-05-22
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9783030717209

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This is a book about the international oil market. It takes a historical perspective on how the market emerged, developed, and became what it is today—the biggest commodity market in the world. It is mature and complex, but far from perfect. Throughout most of its 150-year history, the oil market has been monopolised by companies and governments. For only a fraction of that, oil traded in a relatively free market. As a result, we had to live with ‘big oil’, economic shocks, high oil prices, instability and wars. Using a simple concept of market power, this book will explain the meaning of ‘oil price’ and how it is established while offering a valuable lesson for other commodities. Market power is the key to understanding the ‘price of oil’. This book uses a simple concept of price-makers and price-takers to examine the evolution of oil markets, their structure, and prices. The early decades of the oil industry were competitive with low barriers to entry. Barely 25 years later, the Standard Oil company created a refining monopoly, buying oil at its own ‘posted’ price. In the following century, the cartel of major oil companies, helped by their governments, did the same at the international level. OPEC helped producing governments regain control of their own resources, but the organisation was never able to retain a similar level of control. After 1986 price collapse, OPEC abdicated the price-making function in favour of the market. While it never gave up attempts to influence prices, OPEC had to link their official prices to one of the global oil benchmarks. Modern international oil markets function because of oil benchmarks such as Brent, WTI and Dubai. This book showcases: • How oil traders played a prominent role in development of the industry • How policies of consuming nations helped oil cartels • Why and how the US price of oil was negative • How AI has changed the way markets operate and the way in which the markets are likely to change in future This book explores how oil markets grew, functioned, and have occasionally failed to do their job. The ecosystem of derivatives or ‘paper barrels’ trading in far greater volume than physical oil plays a very important role in mitigating risk. With this core tenant, setting the ‘price of oil’ is explained in detail.


Price Dynamics in Global Crude Oil Markets

Price Dynamics in Global Crude Oil Markets
Author: Wai-Man Liu
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

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We use high-frequency data to better characterize price dynamics in global crude oil markets. Initially, we provide much-needed quantitative evidence on interactions between physical and financial layers of the Brent market, highlighting the ICE Brent futures contract as the overwhelming source of price discovery in this market. Thereafter, we quantify the impact of oil supply constraints at Cushing, showing they are a significant determinant of ever decreasing levels of cointegration between Brent and WTI markets. Finally, against this backdrop we show that, on days where ICE Brent and CME WTI futures remain cointegrated, the latter still dominate price discovery.


Handbook on Electricity Markets

Handbook on Electricity Markets
Author: Glachant, Jean-Michel
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Total Pages: 672
Release: 2021-11-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1788979958

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With twenty-two chapters written by leading international experts, this volume represents the most detailed and comprehensive Handbook on electricity markets ever published.