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The Air Force Pilot Shortage

The Air Force Pilot Shortage
Author: William W. Taylor
Publisher: RAND Corporation
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2000
Genre: Air pilots
ISBN: 9780833028570

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The Air Force is facing a pilot shortage that is unprecedented in history. Unprecedented losses are occurring for pilots reaching the end of their initial active duty service commitment as well as for pilots who complete bonus-related obligations. Operational units are the only assignment options for newly trained pilots while they mature and develop their mission knowledge. Thus, these units require enough experienced pilots to supervise the development of the new pilots. As the proportion of experienced pilots in a unit drops, each one must fly more to provide essential supervision to an increasing number of new pilots. When the unit1s flying capacity remains fixed, new pilots must each fly less, extending the time needed to become experienced themselves. This report quantifies these experience problems and examines options that can alleviate them. The options include Total Force alternatives, such as associate programs in active units and aging active pilots in Guard and Reserve units.


Reducing Air Force Fighter Pilot Shortages

Reducing Air Force Fighter Pilot Shortages
Author: Albert A. Robbert
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2015
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780833091734

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Examines potential paths for overcoming the persistent and critical shortage of fighter pilots that the Air Force has faced over the past several decades.


U.S. Air Force Pilot Shortage

U.S. Air Force Pilot Shortage
Author: Daniel S. Hoadley
Publisher:
Total Pages: 3
Release: 2017
Genre: Air pilots, Military
ISBN:

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A Total Force Solution for an Active Duty Fighter Pilot Shortage

A Total Force Solution for an Active Duty Fighter Pilot Shortage
Author: David W. Walker
Publisher:
Total Pages: 44
Release: 2004
Genre: Air pilots, Military
ISBN:

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"The Active Duty (AD) Air Force has a shortage of fighter pilots and cannot recover until fiscal year 2013. Producing more fighter pilots is problematic given post Cold War fighter force structure. Only 12.6 fighter wing equivalents (FWE) are currently in the AD force, while 7.6 FWE are in the Air Reserve Component (ARC). This research analyzed the proposition of assigning 80 fighter pilots per year to ARC fighter units for absorption. The researcher gathered flying hour metrics including sorties, hours, and utilization rates (UTE) from AD, Air National Guard (ANG), and Air Force Reserve (AFR). The researcher next calculated annual sortie and hour requirements for AD fighter pilots. After comparing these two sets of data, the researcher concluded 80 fighter pilots could be absorbed per year by the ARC. The ARC would have to increase UTE rate by slightly more than three sorties per month across the entire operational fighter fleet. This equated to a 25 percent increase in flying hours. Given the extreme cost to the ARC in terms of airframe lifespan, the researcher recommended absorbing some number fewer than 80 in the ARC to balance the benefit of reducing the fighter pilot shortage with the costs."--Abstract.


Behind the Power Curve

Behind the Power Curve
Author: Aaron J. Mathena
Publisher:
Total Pages: 28
Release: 2016
Genre: Air pilots, Military
ISBN:

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"The Active Component (AC) of the Air Force is aggressively examining solutions to its fighter pilot shortage, a deficit currently estimated at approximately 500 pilots and growing. The consequences are significant shortfalls in test positions, initial training instructor pilots, and staff positions. While many solutions have been proposed, further information needs to be garnered surrounding how these alternatives may impact the Air National Guard (ANG). This research seeks to examine the first and second order effects of insufficient numbers of AC pilots on ANG fighter squadron aircrew management dynamics. In the fiscal and political climate of sustaining today’s Air Force, substantial funding increases or fundamental changes to the ANG component are unlikely. It is then appropriate to ask, “What happens to ANG fighter squadrons’ readiness when an increased number of AC fighter pilots may be joining the ANG or a decreased number of fighter pilots may be available to affiliate?” The scenario-planning framework is used to examine the required elements that make up the fighter force enterprise, followed by comparative examples that illustrate logical outcomes. Nearly all the current intellectual content on the subject is oriented toward problem identification tied to studies of alternatives and effects on regular Air Force (RegAF) personnel. The aim of this research is to analyze the potential benefits or detriments of the current RegAF pilot shortage to ANG manning."--Abstract.


Protecting the "pipeline"

Protecting the
Author: Michael C. Sirak
Publisher:
Total Pages: 36
Release: 2018
Genre: Air pilots, Military
ISBN:

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The Air Force’s pilot-training pipeline is a strategic national asset, vital to the potency and viability of US aerospace power. Its robustness is crucial to support the new National Defense Strategy that places emphasis on countering China and Russia. Leaders in the executive branch and Congress must recognize the pipeline’s importance, funding it at levels allowing it to ensure capacity as aligned with demand in a resilient, sustainable fashion. As Air Force pilot training ramps up to overcome the service’s severe pilot shortage, opportunities exist for transformation of the training enterprise. The Air Force should embrace innovations, utilize more contracted services, and eliminate inefficiencies. Initial flight training has validated that contractor-run operations are viable. The T-X Advanced Pilot Training Family of Systems is vital to the training pipeline’s future. The Air Force must avoid introducing unnecessary risk into the T-X acquisition, while balancing long-term performance and value with the service’s pursuit of cost savings. Any T-X delays would have serious consequences to US aerospace power.


Three Non-monetary Recommendations for Improving Air Force Pilot Retention

Three Non-monetary Recommendations for Improving Air Force Pilot Retention
Author: Tobias Switzer
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2021
Genre: Air pilots, Military
ISBN:

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"Beginning in 2012, early departures of active duty Air Force pilots accelerated to red-line levels causing a massive shortage today. Upon completion of their service commitments, 4,255 pilots separated in the 2012-2019 period compared to 2,529 in 2004-2011. A normal stream of departures quickly became a cascade as too many pilots eschewed full military careers and part-time opportunities to serve in the Air National Guard and Air Force Reserves as well. Former Air Force Chief of Staff General David Goldfein publicly called the pilot manning situation a “crisis” in 2016 when the Air Force believed it was short 1,500 pilots. Since then, Air Force senior leaders, including three Secretaries of the Air Force, have regularly testified in Congress about the pilot shortage and the potential adverse effects on national security, if left unchecked. Requiring roughly 20,000 pilots between active, guard, and reserve components, the Air Force is straining to meet its defense obligations. The departures over the last decade resulted in a current shortage of 2,100 pilots, 1,300 of whom fly fighters."--Introduction.


Flattening the Curve

Flattening the Curve
Author: Troy Wing
Publisher:
Total Pages: 29
Release: 2021
Genre: Air pilots, military
ISBN:

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"This study analyzes how the United States economy's cyclic nature relates to airline hiring trends and, therefore, pilot shortages in the United States Air Force. By understanding the economy's significance concerning the pilot retention cycle, the Air Force can more accurately forecast when increased retention efforts are necessary and can proactively implement incentive tools. This paper first discusses the Air Force pilot shortage history and establishes a relationship between the United States economy, airline pilot hiring, and Air Force pilot retention. It then discusses the Air Force's historical and current retention mechanisms and concludes with recommendations the Air Force should take to reduce the pilot deficit."--Abstract.


Evaluating the Impact of a Total Force Service Commitment Policy on Air Force Pilot Manning

Evaluating the Impact of a Total Force Service Commitment Policy on Air Force Pilot Manning
Author: David Schulker
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2018-11-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781977400291

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There is a high level of concern among senior Air Force leaders about projected pilot shortages, which are so severe they have been labeled an "aircrew crisis." The Air Force asked RAND Project AIR FORCE to evaluate whether a Total Force service commitment (TFSC) policy could reduce or eliminate these shortages. Such a policy would replace the current active duty service commitment and reserve service commitment of 10 years with a TFSC longer than 10 years. The new TFSC policy would also permit the level of cross-flow between the Regular Air Force and reserve components that best addresses Total Force shortages. The authors used a modified version of RAND's Total Force Blue Line model to project future pilot numbers under different assumptions about the TFSC policy. The model results show that a TFSC policy could reduce, but not eliminate, shortages if production plans are unalterable; if certain production adjustments are possible, the benefits of longer service commitments become less important. Moreover, the results paint a clear picture that increasing production (and incorporating new pilots into operational units and affording them sufficient flying time to gain experience) is a required way forward in addressing this aircrew crisis