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Testing International Asset Pricing Models Using Implied Costs of Capital

Testing International Asset Pricing Models Using Implied Costs of Capital
Author: Charles M.C. Lee
Publisher:
Total Pages: 44
Release: 2007
Genre:
ISBN:

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This paper tests international asset pricing models using firm level expected returns estimated from the implied cost of capital approach and contrasts the results with those based on realized returns. Among G7 countries, we find that the implied cost of capital based expected returns are only one-tenth as volatile as those based on realized returns. As a result, while tests based on both implied cost of capital and realized returns produce economically similar findings, only tests based on implied cost of capital are statistically significant. Our results show that expected returns increase with world market beta, return volatility, financial leverage, and book-to-market ratios and decrease with currency beta and firm size. Overall, the evidence suggests that the implied cost of capital approach provides better insights into the cross-sectional determinants of firm-level expected returns in the international context.


International Asset Pricing

International Asset Pricing
Author: Charles M.C. Lee
Publisher:
Total Pages: 48
Release: 2004
Genre:
ISBN:

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This study presents a new methodology for estimating international cost of capital. Using a discounted cash flow model, we estimate market implied risk premia for firms in the G-7 countries during the 1990 to 2000 time period. We find that the average risk premia in G-7 countries typically fall within a narrow range of 2% to 4%, and that risk premia are consistently higher for some countries and industries. Variables most useful in explaining cross-sectional variation in implied risk premia are return volatility, size, B/M ratio, analyst growth forecast, and lagged industry-country risk premia. Together, these variables explain 20% to 30% of the cross-sectional variation in international risk premia. Interestingly, beta measures from various international asset pricing models have little explanatory power, while betas corresponding to empirical size and book-to-market factors do much better.


A New Model of Capital Asset Prices

A New Model of Capital Asset Prices
Author: James W. Kolari
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 326
Release: 2021-03-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3030651975

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This book proposes a new capital asset pricing model dubbed the ZCAPM that outperforms other popular models in empirical tests using US stock returns. The ZCAPM is derived from Fischer Black’s well-known zero-beta CAPM, itself a more general form of the famous capital asset pricing model (CAPM) by 1990 Nobel Laureate William Sharpe and others. It is widely accepted that the CAPM has failed in its theoretical relation between market beta risk and average stock returns, as numerous studies have shown that it does not work in the real world with empirical stock return data. The upshot of the CAPM’s failure is that many new factors have been proposed by researchers. However, the number of factors proposed by authors has steadily increased into the hundreds over the past three decades. This new ZCAPM is a path-breaking asset pricing model that is shown to outperform popular models currently in practice in finance across different test assets and time periods. Since asset pricing is central to the field of finance, it can be broadly employed across many areas, including investment analysis, cost of equity analyses, valuation, corporate decision making, pension portfolio management, etc. The ZCAPM represents a revolution in finance that proves the CAPM as conceived by Sharpe and others is alive and well in a new form, and will certainly be of interest to academics, researchers, students, and professionals of finance, investing, and economics.


Estimating the Cost of Capital Implied by Market Prices and Accounting Data

Estimating the Cost of Capital Implied by Market Prices and Accounting Data
Author: Peter Easton
Publisher: Now Publishers Inc
Total Pages: 148
Release: 2009
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1601981945

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Estimating the Cost of Capital Implied by Market Prices and Accounting Data focuses on estimating the expected rate of return implied by market prices, summary accounting numbers, and forecasts of earnings and dividends. Estimates of the expected rate of return, often used as proxies for the cost of capital, are obtained by inverting accounting-based valuation models. The author describes accounting-based valuation models and discusses how these models have been used, and how they may be used, to obtain estimates of the cost of capital. The practical appeal of accounting-based valuation models is that they focus on the two variables that are commonly at the heart of valuations carried out by equity analysts -- forecasts of earnings and forecasts of earnings growth. The question at the core of this monograph is -- How can these forecasts be used to obtain an estimate of the cost of capital? The author examines the empirical validity of the estimates based on these forecasts and explores ways to improve these estimates. In addition, this monograph details a method for isolating the effect of any factor of interest (such as cross-listing, fraud, disclosure quality, taxes, analyst following, accounting standards, etc.) on the cost of capital. If you are interested in understanding the academic literature on accounting-based estimates of expected rate of return this monograph is for you. Estimating the Cost of Capital Implied by Market Prices and Accounting Data provides a foundation for a deeper comprehension of this literature and will give a jump start to those who have an interest in these topics. The key ideas are introduced via examples based on actual forecasts, accounting information, and market prices for listed firms, and the numerical examples are based on sound algebraic relations.


An Empirical and Theoretical Analysis of Capital Asset Pricing Model

An Empirical and Theoretical Analysis of Capital Asset Pricing Model
Author: Mohammad Sharifzadeh
Publisher: Universal-Publishers
Total Pages: 180
Release: 2010-11-18
Genre:
ISBN: 1599423758

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The problem addressed in this dissertation research was the inability of the single-factor capital asset pricing model (CAPM) to identify relevant risk factors that investors consider in forming their return expectations for investing in individual stocks. Identifying the appropriate risk factors is important for investment decision making and is pertinent to the formation of stocks' prices in the stock market. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to examine theoretical and empirical validity of the CAPM and to develop and test a multifactor model to address and resolve the empirical shortcomings of the single-factor CAPM. To verify the empirical validity of the standard CAPM and of the multifactor model, five hypotheses were developed and tested against historical monthly data for U.S. public companies. Testing the CAPM hypothesis revealed that the explanatory power of the overall stock market rate of return in explaining individual stock's expected rates of return is very weak, suggesting the existence of other risk factors. Testing of the other hypotheses verified that the implied volatility of the overall market as a systematic risk factor and the companies' size and financial leverage as nonsystematic risk factors are important in determining stock's expected returns and investors should consider these factors in their investment decisions. The findings of this research have important implications for social change. The outcome of this study can change the way individual and institutional investors as well as corporations make investment decisions and thus change the equilibrium prices in the stock market. These changes in turn could lead to significant changes in the resource allocation in the economy, in the economy's production capacity and production composition, and in the employment structure of the society.


An Empirical Test of the "Capital Asset Pricing Modell" (CAPM) on Current Stock Data

An Empirical Test of the
Author: Lucas Ammelung
Publisher:
Total Pages: 62
Release: 2020-12-30
Genre:
ISBN: 9783346338099

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Bachelor Thesis from the year 2020 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 1,3, Munich University of Applied Sciences, language: English, abstract: The goal of this study is thus to determine the best available asset pricing model in Germany and whether the use of pre-existing datasets, with the factors already calculated, brings results as accurate as a custom dataset. This is relevant in Germany as the CAPM is still the most commonly used way to compute the cost of equity with 34% of companies using it. Another 16% of companies are using asset pricing models with additional risk factors. To determine the answer to this, this study will look into the aforementioned three most commonly used models: the CAPM, the Fama and French three-factor model and the Carhart four-factor model. After explaining the background and functioning of the CAPM, this study will show the flaws within the model and how these flaws led to extensions of the CAPM. Each model will then be statistically analyzed with three distinct sets of data. Two of these are publicly available, while the last has been calculated for this study. Lastly, to understand how the difference in data used can influence the results from asset pricing models, the runtime and underlying factor of datasets will be modified, re-analyzed and compared to the initial results.


Testing the Linear Relationship of the Capital Asset Pricing Model

Testing the Linear Relationship of the Capital Asset Pricing Model
Author: Jad Zouheir Nohra
Publisher:
Total Pages: 132
Release: 2007
Genre:
ISBN:

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The main purpose of the project is to relate the risk of assets to their expecte d returns (mainly assets that are traded on a handful of developed markets, incl uding US, Japanese, French, and German exchanges). In order to do so, we refer t o the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) which consists of relating the risk of an asset to its expected return by comparing it to the overall stock market. Thi s model is based on the existence of a linear relationship between the expected return of a given asset, and the market rate of return. Consequently, any return that is not explained by this linear relationship (abnormal return) will lead u s to reject the theoretical linear relationship stated and formulated in the CAP M. The first chapter will introduce the topic. The second chapter consists of prese nting the CAPM, its critiques and extensions. In the third chapter, a literature review will be conducted. Then, in the fourth chapter I will undertake time ser ies/cross-sectional analyses of the aforementioned equity markets in order to te st the CAPM model itself. The same stocks will be tested using the international version of the model. Finally, in the fifth chapter I will conclude with the im plications of my findings for asset pricing and investment.


Empirical Asset Pricing

Empirical Asset Pricing
Author: Wayne Ferson
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 497
Release: 2019-03-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0262039370

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An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.


Limitations of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)

Limitations of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
Author: Manuel Kürschner
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 41
Release: 2008-07-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3638073300

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Research Paper (undergraduate) from the year 2008 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 1,3, University of Cooperative Education, language: English, abstract: The objective of this paper is to give an overview of the most important movements of the complex area of asset pricing. This will be tried by logically structuring and building up the topic from its origins, the Capital Asset Pricing Model, and then over its main points of critique, in order to arrive at the different options developed by financial science that try to resolve those problematic aspects. Due to the complexity of this subject and the limited scope of this paper, obviously it will not be possible to discuss each model or movement in depth. Coherently, the aim is to point out the main thoughts of each aspect discussed. For further information, especially concerning the deeper mathematical backgrounds and derivations of the models, the author would like to refer the reader to the books mentioned in this paper. Many of those works, finance journal publications and the literature on asset pricing in general, set their focus on different parts of this paper, which again underlines the complexity in terms of scientific scope and intellectual and mathematical intricacy of this topic.