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Studies in Subjective Probability

Studies in Subjective Probability
Author: Henry Ely Kyburg
Publisher:
Total Pages: 278
Release: 1980
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN:

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Truth and probability; Foresight: its logical laws, its subjective sources; The bases of probability; Subjective probability as the measure of a non-measurable set; The elicitation of personal probabilities; Probability: beware of falsifications; Probable knowledge.


Subjective Probability

Subjective Probability
Author: George Wright
Publisher:
Total Pages: 608
Release: 1994-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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This overview of subjective probability ranges from discussion of the philosophy of axiom systems through studies in the psychological laboratory to the real world of business decision-making.


Ten Great Ideas about Chance

Ten Great Ideas about Chance
Author: Persi Diaconis
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 270
Release: 2019-10-08
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 0691196397

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In the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries, gamblers and mathematicians transformed the idea of chance from a mystery into the discipline of probability, setting the stage for a series of breakthroughs that enabled or transformed innumerable fields, from gambling, mathematics, statistics, economics, and finance to physics and computer science. This book tells the story of ten great ideas about chance and the thinkers who developed them, tracing the philosophical implications of these ideas as well as their mathematical impact.


Studies in Inductive Logic and Probability

Studies in Inductive Logic and Probability
Author: Rudolf Carnap
Publisher: Univ of California Press
Total Pages: 312
Release: 1980-01-01
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 9780520038264

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A basic system of inductive logic; An axiomatic foundation for the logic of inductive generalization; A survey of inductive systems; On the condition of partial exchangeability; Representation theorems of the de finetti type; De finetti's generalizations of excahngeability; The structure of probabilities defined on first-order languages; A subjectivit's guide to objective chance.


Subjective Probability

Subjective Probability
Author: Richard Jeffrey
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 144
Release: 2004-04-12
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 9780521536684

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Sample Text


Degrees of Belief

Degrees of Belief
Author: Steven G. Vick
Publisher: ASCE Publications
Total Pages: 469
Release: 2002-01-01
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 0784470863

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Observing at a risk analysis conference for civil engineers that participants did not share a common language of probability, Vick, a consultant and geotechnic engineer, set out to not only examine why, but to also bridge the gap. He reexamines three elements at the core of engineering the concepts


Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs

Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs
Author: H. Jungermann
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 525
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 9401012768

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It is only just recently that people have the tools to judge how well they are doing when making decisions. These tools were conceptualized in the seventeenth century. Since then many people have worked to sharpen the concepts, and to explore how these can be applied further. The problems of decision-making and the theory developed correspondingly have drawn the interest of mathematicians, psychologists, statisticians, economists, philosophers, organizational experts, sociologists, not only for their general relevance, but also for a more intrinsic fascination. There are quite a few institutionalized activities to disseminate results and stimulate research in decision-making. For about a decade now a European organizational structure, centered mainly around the psy chological interest in decision-making. There have been conferences in Hamburg, Amsterdam, Uxbridge, Rome and Darmstadt. Conference papers have been partly published+. The organization has thus stabilized, and its re latively long history makes it interesting to see what kind of developments occurred, within the area of interest.


Subjective Probability

Subjective Probability
Author: Richard Jeffrey
Publisher:
Total Pages: 124
Release: 2004-04-12
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 9780521829717

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A concise survey of basic probability theory from a thoroughly subjective point of view.