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Structural transformation in Southeast Asian countries and key drivers

Structural transformation in Southeast Asian countries and key drivers
Author: Bathla, Seema
Publisher: Intl Food Policy Res Inst
Total Pages: 45
Release:
Genre: Social Science
ISBN:
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This study’s objective is to examine the factors that have driven structural transformation (ST) in the Southeast Asian (SEA) economies and the policies supporting the process. It sets the stage by evaluating the ST in each country, quantifying the contribution of “within sector” and “structural change” to overall productivity growth and estimating the turning points (TPs) to gauge the prospects of income convergence. Eight SEA countries, undergoing a steady rate of economic growth —Cambodia, Lao PDR, Myanmar, Viet Nam, Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Thailand (CLMVPMIT) are chosen for analysis. We find their progress on ST to be consistent with the theory and historical patterns experienced in several developed and developing countries. However, progress is diverse across these countries and lags behind developed countries, indicating that labor is not exiting agriculture as fast as agriculture’s share of value added has been declining. The ST has decreased from 49 percent in Thailand to almost 3 percent each in Cambodia and Malaysia during 1991 to 2016. Further, the contribution of within change to productivity, which was pivotal during the 1990s in each country is rather subdued during the 2000s, thereby giving comparative primacy to structural change. A relatively higher—57 to 80 percent—contribution of structural change in Cambodia and Lao PDR, together with productivity growth, may be explained by increasing migration and trade in nonagriculture products. We also find that while Lao PDR, Thailand, and Indonesia have reached their TPs, other nations, especially the poorer ones such as Viet Nam, Myanmar, and Philippines are predicted to take at least a decade towards this goal. Empirical analysis suggests ST in CLMVPMIT is positively driven by agricultural productivity, terms of trade, and public investments in infrastructure, with little role for rural to urban migration and market integration. Large inter-sectoral productivity differentials across SEA countries, other than in Cambodia and Malaysia, necessitates to accelerate agricultural disproportionate share of the labor force in agriculture through higher productivity.

Structural Transformation in Southeast Asian Countries and Key Drivers

Structural Transformation in Southeast Asian Countries and Key Drivers
Author: Seema Bathla
Publisher:
Total Pages: 45
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:
GET BOOK

Download Structural Transformation in Southeast Asian Countries and Key Drivers Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle

This study's objective is to examine the factors that have driven structural transformation (ST) in the Southeast Asian (SEA) economies and the policies supporting the process. It sets the stage by evaluating the ST in each country, quantifying the contribution of “within sector” and “structural change” to overall productivity growth and estimating the turning points (TPs) to gauge the prospects of income convergence. Eight SEA countries, undergoing a steady rate of economic growth -- Cambodia, Lao PDR, Myanmar, Viet Nam, Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Thailand (CLMVPMIT) are chosen for analysis. We find their progress on ST to be consistent with the theory and historical patterns experienced in several developed and developing countries. However, progress is diverse across these countries and lags behind developed countries, indicating that labor is not exiting agriculture as fast as agriculture's share of value added has been declining. The ST has decreased from 49 percent in Thailand to almost 3 percent each in Cambodia and Malaysia during 1991 to 2016. Further, the contribution of within change to productivity, which was pivotal during the 1990s in each country is rather subdued during the 2000s, thereby giving comparative primacy to structural change. A relatively higher -- 57 to 80 percent -- contribution of structural change in Cambodia and Lao PDR, together with productivity growth, may be explained by increasing migration and trade in nonagriculture products. We also find that while Lao PDR, Thailand, and Indonesia have reached their TPs, other nations, especially the poorer ones such as Viet Nam, Myanmar, and Philippines are predicted to take at least a decade towards this goal. Empirical analysis suggests ST in CLMVPMIT is positively driven by agricultural productivity, terms of trade, and public investments in infrastructure, with little role for rural to urban migration and market integration. Large inter-sectoral productivity differentials across SEA countries, other than in Cambodia and Malaysia, necessitates to accelerate agricultural disproportionate share of the labor force in agriculture through higher productivity.

Transformation and sources of growth in Southeast Asian agriculture

Transformation and sources of growth in Southeast Asian agriculture
Author: Birthal, Pratap S.
Publisher: Intl Food Policy Res Inst
Total Pages: 39
Release:
Genre: Political Science
ISBN:
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Over the past few decades, the agricultural sector of Southeast Asia has experienced robust growth and undergone a structural transformation albeit differentially across the countries in the region. The main aims of this paper are to understand the process of transformation and sources of growth in agriculture in the broader context of economy-wide changes in domestic and international markets, and to suggest technological, institutional and policy measures for faster, efficient and sustainable growth. Our findings show faster growth in agriculture in comparatively low-income countries, with technological change, area expansion and diversification being the main drivers. On the other hand, agricultural growth in high-income countries has been relatively slow, and driven by price increases, mainly of the export-oriented commercial crops, such as oil-palm, rubber and coconut; and also, by area expansion. In view of the fixed supply of land and high volatility in global food prices, area and price driven growth is unlikely to sustain in the long-run. For efficient, sustainable and inclusive growth, the recourse has to be with exploiting potential of (i) existing and frontier technologies, by investing more in agricultural research and extension systems, and (ii) diversification of production portfolio towards higher-value food commodities by strengthening institutions that link farmers to remunerative markets; and investing in post-harvest infrastructure for food processing.

Development and Distribution

Development and Distribution
Author: Andrew Sumner
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Total Pages: 231
Release: 2018
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0198792360
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Using Malaysia, Indonesia, and Thailand as examples, this book focuses on industrialization in South East Asia. These nations have all undergone a major transformation from being poor, agrarian countries to middle-income countries with a developed industrial and manufacturing base. Development and Distribution seeks to explain why and how.

Transformation and Sources of Growth in Southeast Asian Agriculture

Transformation and Sources of Growth in Southeast Asian Agriculture
Author: Pratap S. Birthal
Publisher:
Total Pages: 39
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:
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Over the past few decades, the agricultural sector of Southeast Asia has experienced robust growth and undergone a structural transformation albeit differentially across the countries in the region. The main aims of this paper are to understand the process of transformation and sources of growth in agriculture in the broader context of economy-wide changes in domestic and international markets, and to suggest technological, institutional and policy measures for faster, efficient and sustainable growth. Our findings show faster growth in agriculture in comparatively low-income countries, with technological change, area expansion and diversification being the main drivers. On the other hand, agricultural growth in high-income countries has been relatively slow, and driven by price increases, mainly of the export-oriented commercial crops, such as oil-palm, rubber and coconut; and also, by area expansion. In view of the fixed supply of land and high volatility in global food prices, area and price driven growth is unlikely to sustain in the long-run. For efficient, sustainable and inclusive growth, the recourse has to be with exploiting potential of (i) existing and frontier technologies, by investing more in agricultural research and extension systems, and (ii) diversification of production portfolio towards higher-value food commodities by strengthening institutions that link farmers to remunerative markets; and investing in post-harvest infrastructure for food processing.

The Transformation of Southeast Asian Economies

The Transformation of Southeast Asian Economies
Author: Teofilo C. Daquila
Publisher: Nova Publishers
Total Pages: 320
Release: 2007
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781600211089
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This book analyses the growth, development and crisis experiences of the Southeast Asian economies, in particular, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand -- also known as ASEAN-5. The proposition is developed that the robust economic performance of the Southeast Asian economies during the past four decades has been attributed to the various factors, developments and independent national policies which have been pursued by the individual member countries rather than to any regional economic framework. The book covers eleven topics which is suitable for a one-semester course on the economics of Southeast Asia. Also, it has a narrower area coverage as it focuses only on the five economies, namely, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand. The sectoral treatment of the crisis impact and the analytical treatment of policy responses to the crisis differentiate this book from other publications on the same topic. Finally, the book provides an analysis of national developments, policies and factors which have contributed to the economic transformation of the respective Southeast Asian economies.

Southeast Asia (Routledge Revivals)

Southeast Asia (Routledge Revivals)
Author: Richard Higgott
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 321
Release: 2013-10-31
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 1134621485
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The articles in this edited collection, first published in 1985, consider the competing theories of the nature of development and underdevelopment in Southeast Asia. Each chapter challenges the academic orthodoxies and dominant traditions of Southeast Asian studies, particularly in relation to orientalist history, behaviourist political science and development economics. Overall, the contributions offer an alternative framework for analysis, which considers the structural changes to the political economy of Southeast Asia, as well as the relationship between the state, economy and class at a domestic level. This is a fascinating collection, of value to students and academics with an interest in Southeast Asian politics, economics and history.

Economic Growth and Structural Transformation in Southeast Asia

Economic Growth and Structural Transformation in Southeast Asia
Author: Krislert Samphantharak
Publisher:
Total Pages: 49
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:
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This paper analyzes macroeconomic growth of the economies in Southeast Asia since the end of the Second World War. It argues that there appears a convergence in development strategy among the economies in this region in recent decades. With few exceptions, every economy in Southeast Asia has become more market-oriented, more outward-looking, and more industrialized. Along with this transformation, their economies have grown rapidly and their income today is multiple times higher than what it was at the end of the Second World War. However, the convergence of development strategy did not take place in a few years but occurred sequentially over the course of half a century. The sequence in which each country adopted the growth-enhancing strategy is correlated to the ranking of per capita income. Singapore, the country with highest income today, was also the first one that implemented this strategy in 1965, followed by Malaysia and Thailand in the 1970s, Indonesia in the early 1980s, Vietnam and Lao PDR in the late 1980s, and Cambodia in the early 1990s. Even Myanmar, once one of the closest economies in the world, adopted similar strategy in the late 1980s and eventually opened up its economy in 2010. The paper also discusses the limit and the drawback of the growth strategy currently adopted by virtually all economies in this region.

Lao PDR

Lao PDR
Author: Asian Development Bank
Publisher: Asian Development Bank
Total Pages: 314
Release: 2017-11-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9292579940
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The Lao People's Democratic Republic (Lao PDR) has shown remarkable progress by consistently building itself into a market-oriented economy, with economic growth in 1986-2016 averaging around 6.5% per annum. The rapid and sustained growth brought about changes in the structure of output, but did not alter job composition: resource-based products still dominate in industry, low value-added jobs in services, and 65% of the labor force in agriculture. This country diagnostic study provides comprehensive analysis and identifies promising new drivers of growth which the Lao PDR can develop to diversify its production structure and speed up structural transformation.

Southeast Asia's Misunderstood Miracle

Southeast Asia's Misunderstood Miracle
Author: Jomo K.s.
Publisher: Westview Press
Total Pages: 220
Release: 1997-07-31
Genre: History
ISBN:
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Southeast Asia's Misunderstood Miracle emphasizes the contribution of government intervention, especially selective industrial policy, to growth, structural change, and late industrialization in Thailand, Malaysia, and Indonesia. Although government intervention has certainly been abused for private gain, it has also been crucial for the sustained rapid growth and structural change experienced in the region. Similarly, Southeast Asian resource wealth may have weakened the imperative to industrialize in the region, but inferior government intervention probably accounts for the relatively less impressive industrial achievements of the three countries. The study also stresses the significant contribution of regional economic dynamics, especially the increased role of direct foreign investment from Japan and the first tier, newly industrializing economies of South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Singapore.Thus, the book qualifies, contradicts, and challenges some of the conclusions and policy recommendations of other works such as the World Bank's influential East Asian Miracle (1993), which suggested that other developing countries should seek to emulate the second tier Southeast Asian NICs rather than the first tier East Asian NIEs.