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Statistics for Making Decisions

Statistics for Making Decisions
Author: Nicholas T. Longford
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 309
Release: 2021-03-29
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1000347583

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A constructive response to the criticisms of using hypothesis testing for making decisions Integrating the context (the client’s perspective, value judgments, priorities and remits) in the analysis, combining it with sensitivity analysis that handles the uncertainty arising in elicitation of the context Treatment of the problems by elementary (analytical) methods Applications that illustrate the methods in their best light • Drawing on several publications in high-profile journals in applied statistics


Statistical Analysis

Statistical Analysis
Author: Robert Parsons
Publisher: HarperCollins Publishers
Total Pages: 828
Release: 1978
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN:

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The frequency distribution; Descriptive measures: ungrouped data; Descriptive measures: grouped data; The probability calculus; Bayes'rule - revision of probabilities in the light of new information; The concept of a discrete probability distribution: the binomial probability distribution; Bayes'rule revisted; Determination of an optimal decision rule - binomial sampling: a bayesin approach; The poisson and exponential distribution; The normal probability distribution: a continuous probability distribution; Sampling: the concept and the design; Estimation of a population parameter: the population mean; Estimation: the bayesian versus the classical position; Testing hypotheses concerning the value of a population parameter: the population mean; Tests ofhypotheses: determination of optimal sampling size - a classical approach; The t distribution (small sample theory); Three other parameters; The f distribution: analysis of variance; Decision making under risk: an introduction; Time series analysis: an introduction; Time series analysis: secular trend; Time series analysis: seasonal variation and cyclical fluctuatuions; Simple regression and correlation analysis; Multiple regression and correlation analysis; Nonparametric statistics; Index numbers.


Translating Statistics to Make Decisions

Translating Statistics to Make Decisions
Author: Victoria Cox
Publisher: Apress
Total Pages: 334
Release: 2017-03-10
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484222563

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Examine and solve the common misconceptions and fallacies that non-statisticians bring to their interpretation of statistical results. Explore the many pitfalls that non-statisticians—and also statisticians who present statistical reports to non-statisticians—must avoid if statistical results are to be correctly used for evidence-based business decision making. Victoria Cox, senior statistician at the United Kingdom’s Defence Science and Technology Laboratory (Dstl), distills the lessons of her long experience presenting the actionable results of complex statistical studies to users of widely varying statistical sophistication across many disciplines: from scientists, engineers, analysts, and information technologists to executives, military personnel, project managers, and officials across UK government departments, industry, academia, and international partners. The author shows how faulty statistical reasoning often undermines the utility of statistical results even among those with advanced technical training. Translating Statistics teaches statistically naive readers enough about statistical questions, methods, models, assumptions, and statements that they will be able to extract the practical message from statistical reports and better constrain what conclusions cannot be made from the results. To non-statisticians with some statistical training, this book offers brush-ups, reminders, and tips for the proper use of statistics and solutions to common errors. To fellow statisticians, the author demonstrates how to present statistical output to non-statisticians to ensure that the statistical results are correctly understood and properly applied to real-world tasks and decisions. The book avoids algebra and proofs, but it does supply code written in R for those readers who are motivated to work out examples. Pointing along the way to instructive examples of statistics gone awry, Translating Statistics walks readers through the typical course of a statistical study, progressing from the experimental design stage through the data collection process, exploratory data analysis, descriptive statistics, uncertainty, hypothesis testing, statistical modelling and multivariate methods, to graphs suitable for final presentation. The steady focus throughout the book is on how to turn the mathematical artefacts and specialist jargon that are second nature to statisticians into plain English for corporate customers and stakeholders. The final chapter neatly summarizes the book’s lessons and insights for accurately communicating statistical reports to the non-statisticians who commission and act on them. What You'll Learn Recognize and avoid common errors and misconceptions that cause statistical studies to be misinterpreted and misused by non-statisticians in organizational settings Gain a practical understanding of the methods, processes, capabilities, and caveats of statistical studies to improve the application of statistical data to business decisions See how to code statistical solutions in R Who This Book Is For Non-statisticians—including both those with and without an introductory statistics course under their belts—who consume statistical reports in organizational settings, and statisticians who seek guidance for reporting statistical studies to non-statisticians in ways that will be accurately understood and will inform sound business and technical decisions


Statistics for Making Decisions

Statistics for Making Decisions
Author: Nicholas T. Longford
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 273
Release: 2021-03-30
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1000347605

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Making decisions is a ubiquitous mental activity in our private and professional or public lives. It entails choosing one course of action from an available shortlist of options. Statistics for Making Decisions places decision making at the centre of statistical inference, proposing its theory as a new paradigm for statistical practice. The analysis in this paradigm is earnest about prior information and the consequences of the various kinds of errors that may be committed. Its conclusion is a course of action tailored to the perspective of the specific client or sponsor of the analysis. The author’s intention is a wholesale replacement of hypothesis testing, indicting it with the argument that it has no means of incorporating the consequences of errors which self-evidently matter to the client. The volume appeals to the analyst who deals with the simplest statistical problems of comparing two samples (which one has a greater mean or variance), or deciding whether a parameter is positive or negative. It combines highlighting the deficiencies of hypothesis testing with promoting a principled solution based on the idea of a currency for error, of which we want to spend as little as possible. This is implemented by selecting the option for which the expected loss is smallest (the Bayes rule). The price to pay is the need for a more detailed description of the options, and eliciting and quantifying the consequences (ramifications) of the errors. This is what our clients do informally and often inexpertly after receiving outputs of the analysis in an established format, such as the verdict of a hypothesis test or an estimate and its standard error. As a scientific discipline and profession, statistics has a potential to do this much better and deliver to the client a more complete and more relevant product. Nicholas T. Longford is a senior statistician at Imperial College, London, specialising in statistical methods for neonatal medicine. His interests include causal analysis of observational studies, decision theory, and the contest of modelling and design in data analysis. His longer-term appointments in the past include Educational Testing Service, Princeton, NJ, USA, de Montfort University, Leicester, England, and directorship of SNTL, a statistics research and consulting company. He is the author of over 100 journal articles and six other monographs on a variety of topics in applied statistics.


Statistical Analysis for Managerial Decisions

Statistical Analysis for Managerial Decisions
Author: John C. G. Boot
Publisher:
Total Pages: 674
Release: 1970
Genre: Decision making
ISBN:

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Textbook on statistical methods used in solving problems prior to decision making in management - covers problems of sampling, estimation, hypothesis testing, regression and correlation, forecasting, statistical methods for quality control, etc., and includes an appendix on the use of computers in statistical analysis. Bibliography pp. 627 to 631.


Statistical Analysis for Decision Making

Statistical Analysis for Decision Making
Author: Morris Hamburg
Publisher: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt P
Total Pages: 872
Release: 1983
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN:

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Business Statistics

Business Statistics
Author: David F. Groebner
Publisher: Prentice Hall
Total Pages: 1080
Release: 2008
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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This comprehensive, user-friendly reference explores many descriptive and inferential statistical topics integral to business problem solving and decision making. Chapter topics include data collection; graphs, charts, and tables; probability distributions; sampling distributions; estimating population values; hypothesis testing; quality management and statistical process control; linear regression and correlation analysis; model building and multiple regression analysis; and nonparametric statistics. For business professionals involved in data presentations and descriptive analyses.


Using Statistics to Make Educational Decisions

Using Statistics to Make Educational Decisions
Author: David Tanner
Publisher: SAGE
Total Pages: 553
Release: 2012
Genre: Education
ISBN: 1412969778

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Government scrutiny and intensified oversight have dramatically changed the landscape of education in recent years. Observers want to know how schools compare, which district is best, which states are spending the most per student on education, whether reforms are making a difference, and why so many students are failing. Some of these questions require technical answers that educators historically redirected to outside experts, but the questions leveled at all educators have become so acute and persistent that they can no longer be outsourced. This text helps educators develop the tools and the conceptual understanding needed to provide definitive answers to difficult statistical questions facing education today.


Optimal Decision Making in Operations Research and Statistics

Optimal Decision Making in Operations Research and Statistics
Author: Irfan Ali
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 434
Release: 2021-11-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1000404722

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The book provides insights in the decision-making for implementing strategies in various spheres of real-world issues. It integrates optimal policies in various decision­making problems and serves as a reference for researchers and industrial practitioners. Furthermore, the book provides sound knowledge of modelling of real-world problems and solution procedure using the various optimisation and statistical techniques for making optimal decisions. The book is meant for teachers, students, researchers and industrialists who are working in the field of materials science, especially operations research and applied statistics.