Statistical Prediction of Hurricane Storm Surge
Author | : Cheng Y. Yang |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 82 |
Release | : 1972 |
Genre | : Ocean waves |
ISBN | : |
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Author | : Cheng Y. Yang |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 82 |
Release | : 1972 |
Genre | : Ocean waves |
ISBN | : |
Author | : D. Lee Harris |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 152 |
Release | : 1963 |
Genre | : Hurricanes |
ISBN | : |
Because of this lack of basic data, theoretical research has been largely restricted to calculations based on unverified postulates concerning the phenomena involved and on attempts to evaluate them by the available empirical data. Although studies of this kind have led to a better understanding of the phenomena, they have not led to the development of any outstandingly successful prediction systems.
Author | : Manish Aggarwal |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : |
Release | : 2005 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
This thesis presents a technique for storm surge forecasting. Storm surge is the water that is pushed toward the shore by the force of the winds swirling around the storm. This advancing surge combines with the normal tides to create the hurricane storm tide, which can increase the mean water level by almost 20 feet. Numerical modeling is an important tool used for storm surge forecast. Numerical model ADCIRC (Advanced Circulation model; Luettich et al, 1992) is used in this thesis for simulating hurricanes. A statistical technique, EST (Empirical Statistical Technique) is used to generate life cycle storm surge values from the simulated hurricanes. These two models have been applied to Freeport, TX. The thesis also compares the results with the model SLOSH (Sea, Lake, and Overland Surges from Hurricanes), which is currently used for evacuation and planning. The present approach of classifying hurricanes according to their maximum sustained winds is analyzed. This approach is not found to applicable in all the cases and more research needs to be done. An alternate approach is suggested for hurricane storm surge estimation.
Author | : J. W. Nickerson |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 114 |
Release | : 1971 |
Genre | : Hurricanes |
ISBN | : |
The report contains an adaptation of a unique storm-surge forecasting technique developed by Dr. C.P. Jelesnianski. This technique results in a computed storm surge profile at the inner boundary of an artificial standard basin seaward of the coast. The profile is derived from nomograms based upon a standard storm passing over a standard basin. Thumb rules and guidelines are presented in the publication for subjectively modifying the computer storm surge height as it moves shoreward of the artificial basin boundary, to fit the natural conditions of a particular coastline. Major advantages of this system are its applicability to almost any locale, its adaptability to data normally available to the field forecaster and the speed with which the forecast may be modified to remain current with natural fluctuations of the storm.
Author | : D. Lee Harris |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 52 |
Release | : 1982 |
Genre | : Hurricanes |
ISBN | : |
Author | : James B. Elsner |
Publisher | : Oxford University Press |
Total Pages | : 390 |
Release | : 2013-03-28 |
Genre | : Computers |
ISBN | : 019982763X |
Hurricane Climatology explains how to analyze and model hurricane data to better understand and predict present and future hurricane activity
Author | : N. Arthur Pore |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 78 |
Release | : 1974 |
Genre | : Storm surges |
ISBN | : |
The National Weather Service (NWS) has developed a technique for forecasting extratropical storm surges along the northeast coast of the United States. The storm surge is caused mainly by the strong winds associated with extra-tropical storms over nearshore areas.
Author | : United States. National Weather Service |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 32 |
Release | : 1976 |
Genre | : Meteorological instruments |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Rick Luettich |
Publisher | : MDPI |
Total Pages | : 259 |
Release | : 2018-03-13 |
Genre | : Electronic books |
ISBN | : 303842711X |
This book is a printed edition of the Special Issue "Coastal Hazards Related to Storm Surge" that was published in JMSE
Author | : Anthony Lupo |
Publisher | : BoD – Books on Demand |
Total Pages | : 634 |
Release | : 2011-04-19 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 9533072385 |
This book represents recent research on tropical cyclones and their impact, and a wide range of topics are covered. An updated global climatology is presented, including the global occurrence of tropical cyclones and the terrestrial factors that may contribute to the variability and long-term trends in their occurrence. Research also examines long term trends in tropical cyclone occurrences and intensity as related to solar activity, while other research discusses the impact climate change may have on these storms. The dynamics and structure of tropical cyclones are studied, with traditional diagnostics employed to examine these as well as more modern approaches in examining their thermodynamics. The book aptly demonstrates how new research into short-range forecasting of tropical cyclone tracks and intensities using satellite information has led to significant improvements. In looking at societal and ecological risks, and damage assessment, authors investigate the use of technology for anticipating, and later evaluating, the amount of damage that is done to human society, watersheds, and forests by land-falling storms. The economic and ecological vulnerability of coastal regions are also studied and are supported by case studies which examine the potential hazards related to the evacuation of populated areas, including medical facilities. These studies provide decision makers with a potential basis for developing improved evacuation techniques.