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| Author | : M. F. M. Osborne |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : |
| Release | : 1977 |
| Genre | : Random walks (Mathematics) |
| ISBN | : |
| Author | : M. F. M. Osborne |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : |
| Release | : 1977 |
| Genre | : Stock exchanges |
| ISBN | : |
| Author | : Tze Leung Lai |
| Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
| Total Pages | : 363 |
| Release | : 2008-09-08 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 0387778276 |
The idea of writing this bookarosein 2000when the ?rst author wasassigned to teach the required course STATS 240 (Statistical Methods in Finance) in the new M. S. program in ?nancial mathematics at Stanford, which is an interdisciplinary program that aims to provide a master’s-level education in applied mathematics, statistics, computing, ?nance, and economics. Students in the programhad di?erent backgroundsin statistics. Some had only taken a basic course in statistical inference, while others had taken a broad spectrum of M. S. - and Ph. D. -level statistics courses. On the other hand, all of them had already taken required core courses in investment theory and derivative pricing, and STATS 240 was supposed to link the theory and pricing formulas to real-world data and pricing or investment strategies. Besides students in theprogram,thecoursealso attractedmanystudentsfromother departments in the university, further increasing the heterogeneity of students, as many of them had a strong background in mathematical and statistical modeling from the mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences but no previous experience in ?nance. To address the diversity in background but common strong interest in the subject and in a potential career as a “quant” in the ?nancialindustry,thecoursematerialwascarefullychosennotonlytopresent basic statistical methods of importance to quantitative ?nance but also to summarize domain knowledge in ?nance and show how it can be combined with statistical modeling in ?nancial analysis and decision making. The course material evolved over the years, especially after the second author helped as the head TA during the years 2004 and 2005.
| Author | : Vinaitheerthan Renganathan |
| Publisher | : Vinaitheerthan Renganathan |
| Total Pages | : 107 |
| Release | : 2021-04-30 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9354579736 |
Stock price analysis involves different methods such as fundamental analysis and technical analysis which is based on data related to price movement of the stock in the past. Price of the stock is affected by various factors such as company’s performance, current status of economy and political factor. These factors play an important role in supply and demand of the stock which makes the price to be volatile in the short term. Investors and stock traders aim to book profit through buying and selling the stocks. There are different statistical and data science tools are being used to predict the stock price. Data Science and Statistical tools assume only the stock price’s historical data in predicting the future stock price. Statistical tools include measures such as Graph and Charts which depicts the general trend and time series tools such as Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Averages (ARIMA) and regression analysis. Data Science tools include models like Decision Tree, Support Vector Machine (SVM), Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Long Term and Short Term Memory (LSTM) Models. Current methods include carrying out sentiment analysis of tweets, comments and other social media discussion to extract the hidden sentiment expressed by the users which indicate the positive or negative sentiment towards the stock price and the company. The book provides an overview of the analyzing and predicting stock price movements using statistical and data science tools using R open source software with hypothetical stock data sets. It provides a short introduction to R software to enable the user to understand analysis part in the later part. The book will not go into details of suggesting when to purchase a stock or what at price. The tools presented in the book can be used as a guiding tool in decision making while buying or selling the stock. Vinaitheerthan Renganathan www.vinaitheerthan.com/book.php
| Author | : Nitis Mukhopadhyay |
| Publisher | : CRC Press |
| Total Pages | : 498 |
| Release | : 2004-01-28 |
| Genre | : Mathematics |
| ISBN | : 9780824753955 |
A technically precise yet clear presentation of modern sequential methodologies having immediate applications to practical problems in the real world, Applied Sequential Methodologies communicates invaluable techniques for data mining, agricultural science, genetics, computer simulation, finance, clinical trials, sonar signal detection, randomization, multiple comparisons, psychology, tracking, surveillance, and numerous additional areas of application. Includes more than 500 references, 165 figures and tables, and over 25 pages of subject and author indexes. Applied Sequential Methodologies brings the crucial nature of sequential approaches up to speed with recent theoretical gains, demonstrating their utility for solving real-life problems associated with Change-point detection in multichannel and distributed systems Best component selection for multivariate distributions Multistate processes Approximations for moving sums of discrete random variables Interim and terminal analyses of clinical trials Adaptive designs for longitudinal clinical trials Slope estimation in measurement-error models Tests for randomization and target tracking Appropriate count of simulation runs Stock price models Orders of genes Size and power control in multiple comparisons Authored by 33 leading scientists, this volume will greatly benefit sequential analysts, data analysts, applied statisticians, biometricians, clinical trialists, and upper-level undergraduate and graduate students in these disciplines.
| Author | : David Siegmund |
| Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
| Total Pages | : 285 |
| Release | : 2013-04-09 |
| Genre | : Mathematics |
| ISBN | : 1475718624 |
The modern theory of Sequential Analysis came into existence simultaneously in the United States and Great Britain in response to demands for more efficient sampling inspection procedures during World War II. The develop ments were admirably summarized by their principal architect, A. Wald, in his book Sequential Analysis (1947). In spite of the extraordinary accomplishments of this period, there remained some dissatisfaction with the sequential probability ratio test and Wald's analysis of it. (i) The open-ended continuation region with the concomitant possibility of taking an arbitrarily large number of observations seems intol erable in practice. (ii) Wald's elegant approximations based on "neglecting the excess" of the log likelihood ratio over the stopping boundaries are not especially accurate and do not allow one to study the effect oftaking observa tions in groups rather than one at a time. (iii) The beautiful optimality property of the sequential probability ratio test applies only to the artificial problem of testing a simple hypothesis against a simple alternative. In response to these issues and to new motivation from the direction of controlled clinical trials numerous modifications of the sequential probability ratio test were proposed and their properties studied-often by simulation or lengthy numerical computation. (A notable exception is Anderson, 1960; see III.7.) In the past decade it has become possible to give a more complete theoretical analysis of many of the proposals and hence to understand them better.
| Author | : Ruey S. Tsay |
| Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
| Total Pages | : 724 |
| Release | : 2010-08-30 |
| Genre | : Mathematics |
| ISBN | : 0470414359 |
This book provides a broad, mature, and systematic introduction to current financial econometric models and their applications to modeling and prediction of financial time series data. It utilizes real-world examples and real financial data throughout the book to apply the models and methods described. The author begins with basic characteristics of financial time series data before covering three main topics: Analysis and application of univariate financial time series The return series of multiple assets Bayesian inference in finance methods Key features of the new edition include additional coverage of modern day topics such as arbitrage, pair trading, realized volatility, and credit risk modeling; a smooth transition from S-Plus to R; and expanded empirical financial data sets. The overall objective of the book is to provide some knowledge of financial time series, introduce some statistical tools useful for analyzing these series and gain experience in financial applications of various econometric methods.
| Author | : David Ruppert |
| Publisher | : Springer |
| Total Pages | : 736 |
| Release | : 2015-04-21 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1493926144 |
The new edition of this influential textbook, geared towards graduate or advanced undergraduate students, teaches the statistics necessary for financial engineering. In doing so, it illustrates concepts using financial markets and economic data, R Labs with real-data exercises, and graphical and analytic methods for modeling and diagnosing modeling errors. These methods are critical because financial engineers now have access to enormous quantities of data. To make use of this data, the powerful methods in this book for working with quantitative information, particularly about volatility and risks, are essential. Strengths of this fully-revised edition include major additions to the R code and the advanced topics covered. Individual chapters cover, among other topics, multivariate distributions, copulas, Bayesian computations, risk management, and cointegration. Suggested prerequisites are basic knowledge of statistics and probability, matrices and linear algebra, and calculus. There is an appendix on probability, statistics and linear algebra. Practicing financial engineers will also find this book of interest.
| Author | : Joseph E. Murphy |
| Publisher | : McGraw-Hill Companies |
| Total Pages | : 256 |
| Release | : 1994 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : |
This book describes how to use statistical techniques to manage risk and improve returns. By estimating the probability of various investment outcomes in advance, investors can make better-informed decisions. Joseph Murphy shows how statistical tools and techniques such as standard deviation, disper
| Author | : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine |
| Publisher | : National Academies Press |
| Total Pages | : 195 |
| Release | : 2018-01-27 |
| Genre | : Social Science |
| ISBN | : 0309465370 |
The environment for obtaining information and providing statistical data for policy makers and the public has changed significantly in the past decade, raising questions about the fundamental survey paradigm that underlies federal statistics. New data sources provide opportunities to develop a new paradigm that can improve timeliness, geographic or subpopulation detail, and statistical efficiency. It also has the potential to reduce the costs of producing federal statistics. The panel's first report described federal statistical agencies' current paradigm, which relies heavily on sample surveys for producing national statistics, and challenges agencies are facing; the legal frameworks and mechanisms for protecting the privacy and confidentiality of statistical data and for providing researchers access to data, and challenges to those frameworks and mechanisms; and statistical agencies access to alternative sources of data. The panel recommended a new approach for federal statistical programs that would combine diverse data sources from government and private sector sources and the creation of a new entity that would provide the foundational elements needed for this new approach, including legal authority to access data and protect privacy. This second of the panel's two reports builds on the analysis, conclusions, and recommendations in the first one. This report assesses alternative methods for implementing a new approach that would combine diverse data sources from government and private sector sources, including describing statistical models for combining data from multiple sources; examining statistical and computer science approaches that foster privacy protections; evaluating frameworks for assessing the quality and utility of alternative data sources; and various models for implementing the recommended new entity. Together, the two reports offer ideas and recommendations to help federal statistical agencies examine and evaluate data from alternative sources and then combine them as appropriate to provide the country with more timely, actionable, and useful information for policy makers, businesses, and individuals.
