Sovereign Risk and Return in Global Equity Markets
| Author | : Ravi Bansal |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 54 |
| Release | : 2001 |
| Genre | : Equilibrium (Economics) |
| ISBN | : |
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Equity Investment by Global Funds
| Author | : Christoforos Andreou |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 55 |
| Release | : 2018 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : |
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We examine the rate of return earned by global funds on equity investment in emerging markets (EMs) particularly the role played by sovereign credit risk. Changes in sovereign credit ratings (upgrades/downgrades) influence excess (over risk free rate) returns earned by foreign investors: lower excess returns are associated with lower risk. The effect of credit upgrades and downgrades, however, is not symmetric. By contrast, credit outlook or credit watch announcements do not seem to influence foreign investors' excess returns. When it comes to abnormal (risk-adjusted) returns, foreign investors treat the information contained in credit rating announcements differently from that in outlook/watch announcements. The differing effect of these two is not evident for the risk-adjusted returns of domestic stock market indexes. There is evidence, however, that the behavior of foreign investors influences significantly the risk-adjusted returns of EM stock market indexes.
Expropriation Risk and Return in Global Equity Markets
| Author | : Magnus Dahlquist |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 35 |
| Release | : 2008 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : |
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Standard asset pricing models have difficulty explaining cross-sectional differences in observed equity risk premia of developed and emerging markets. We argue that national equity returns are subject to sample selectivity. The lack of credible commitment to keep capital markets open (risk of expropriation) leads to this bias. We use the world CAPM for systematic risk and develop a model of sample selectivity. We find that after taking account of the sample selectivity bias, our model of systematic risk can account for the differences in risk premia quite well. We estimate the average expropriation risk to be more than 1/2 of the ex-post risk premium for emerging economies and close to zero for developed economies. Further, we argue that the measured selectivity bias in equity premia provide valuable economic information regarding the incentives for sovereigns not to expropriate international investors. We find that the measured expropriation risk is related to reputations in capital markets (as argued in Eaton and Gersowitz, 1981) and to the magnitude of trade that an economy conducts (as argued in Bulow and Rogoff, 1989a, 1989b).
Emerging Markets and Sovereign Risk
| Author | : N. Finch |
| Publisher | : Springer |
| Total Pages | : 311 |
| Release | : 2014-12-09 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1137450665 |
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Emerging Markets and Sovereign Risk provides case studies, commentary and analysis on the financial risk management and measurement in the context of frontier and developing counties from international experts covering three key areas of emerging market investments, the rating sovereign risk and managing sovereign risk.
Sources of Risk and Expected Returns in Global Equity Markets
| Author | : Wayne E. Ferson |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 56 |
| Release | : 1994 |
| Genre | : Capital assets pricing model |
| ISBN | : |
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This paper empirically examines multifactor asset pricing models for the returns and expected returns on eighteen national equity markets. The factors are chosen to measure global economic risks. Although previous studies do not reject the unconditional mean- variance efficiency of a world market portfolio, our evidence indicates that the tests are low in power, and the world market betas do not provide a good explanation of cross-sectional differences in average returns. Multiple beta models provide an improved explanation of the equity returns.
Country Risk and Expected Returns Across Global Equity Markets
| Author | : Adam Zaremba |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 40 |
| Release | : 2016 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : |
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Assessing and pricing country risk poses a considerable challenge to tactical asset allocation across national equity markets. This research examines the relationship between the country composite risk (together with its component risks related to: sovereign credit, currency, banking sector, economic structure, and political situation) and the expected returns, also identifying general investment practice implications. The equal-weighted portfolio of risky countries proved to outperform the safe countries by approximately 0.50 percentage points per month. The application of this cross-sectional pattern, however, still poses a significant challenge for investment practice. The abnormal performance proved insignificant for capitalization-weighted and liquidity weighted portfolios, as well as within the subgroups of the full sample. We also observed profitability of the risk-based strategies disappear in the years following the global financial crisis.
The Equity Risk Premium
| Author | : William N. Goetzmann |
| Publisher | : Oxford University Press |
| Total Pages | : 568 |
| Release | : 2006-11-16 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 019803377X |
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What is the return to investing in the stock market? Can we predict future stock market returns? How have equities performed over the last two centuries? The authors in this volume are among the leading researchers in the study of these questions. This book draws upon their research on the stock market over the past two dozen years. It contains their major research articles on the equity risk premium and new contributions on measuring, forecasting, and timing stock market returns, together with new interpretive essays that explore critical issues and new research on the topic of stock market investing. This book is aimed at all readers interested in understanding the empirical basis for the equity risk premium. Through the analysis and interpretation of two scholars whose research contributions have been key factors in the modern debate over stock market perfomance, this volume engages the reader in many of the key issues of importance to investors. How large is the premium? Is history a reliable guide to predict future equity returns? Does the equity and cash flows of the market? Are global equity markets different from those in the United States? Do emerging markets offer higher or lower equity risk premia? The authors use the historical performance of the world's stock markets to address these issues.
Economics of Sovereign Wealth Funds
| Author | : Mr.Udaibir S. Das |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 330 |
| Release | : 2010-12-09 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1589069277 |
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The book covers a wide range of topics of relevance to policymakers in countries that have sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) and those that receive SWF investments. Renowned experts in the field have contributed chapters. The book is organized around four themes: (1) the role and macrofinancial linkages of SWFs, (2) institutional factors, (3) investment approaches and financial markets, and (4) the postcrisis outlook. The book also discusses the challenges facing sovereign wealth funds in the coming years, from an inside perspective on countries, including Canada, Chile, China, Norway, Russia, and New Zealand. Economics of Sovereign Wealth Funds will contribute to a further understanding of the nature, strategies and behavior of SWFs and the environment in which they operate, as their importance is likely to grow in the coming years.
Globalization of Equity Markets and the Cost of Capital
| Author | : René M. Stulz |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 82 |
| Release | : 1999 |
| Genre | : Capital costs |
| ISBN | : |
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This paper examines the impact of globalization on the cost of equity capital. We argue that the cost of equity capital decreases because of globalization for two important reasons. First, the expected return that investors require to invest in equity to compensate them for the risk they bear generally falls. Second, the agency costs which make it harder and more expensive for firms to raise funds become less important. The existing empirical evidence is consistent with the theoretical prediction that globalization decreases the cost of capital, but the documented effects are lower than theory leads us to expect. We discuss various reasons for why this is the case.
Global Stock Markets and Portfolio Management
| Author | : S. Motamen-Samadian |
| Publisher | : Springer |
| Total Pages | : 135 |
| Release | : 2006-04-12 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 0230599338 |
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This book presents the latest empirical findings on stock markets in a number of emerging markets. The authors employ the latest techniques and provide valuable insights into each market, highlighting global integration, their potential for profitable investments and features that will be influential in global portfolio decision-making.
