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Threat and Risk Analysis in the Context of Strategic Forecasting

Threat and Risk Analysis in the Context of Strategic Forecasting
Author: Michael Hough
Publisher: Institute for Strategic Studies University of Pretoria
Total Pages: 132
Release: 2008
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN:

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This publication presents a concise introduction to threat and risk analysis, the use and construction of scenarios, the role of intelligence and early warning, and political forecasting and state decay--Publisher's description.


Strategic Intelligence

Strategic Intelligence
Author: Michael Hough
Publisher:
Total Pages: 192
Release: 2002
Genre: Intelligence service
ISBN:

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Security and Democracy in Southern Africa

Security and Democracy in Southern Africa
Author: Gavin Cawthra
Publisher: IDRC
Total Pages: 304
Release: 2007
Genre: History
ISBN: 1868144534

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Southern Africa has embarked on one of the world's most ambitious security co-operation initiatives, seeking to roll out the principles of the United Nations at regional levels. This book examines the triangular relationship between democratisation, the character of democracy and its deficits, and national security practices and perceptions of eleven southern African states. It explores what impact these processes and practices have had on the collaborative security project in the region. Based on national studies conducted by African academics and security practitioners over three years, it includes an examination of the way security is conceived and managed, as well as a comparative analysis of regional security co-operation in the developing world.


Global Trends 2040

Global Trends 2040
Author: National Intelligence Council
Publisher: Cosimo Reports
Total Pages: 158
Release: 2021-03
Genre:
ISBN: 9781646794973

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"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.


Transnational Companies and Security Governance

Transnational Companies and Security Governance
Author: Jana Hönke
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 249
Release: 2013-08-21
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1136219900

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This book investigates governance practiced by non-state actors. It analyses how multinational mining companies protect their sites in fragile contexts and what that tells us about political ordering 'beyond' the state. Based on extensive primary research in the Democratic Republic of Congo, South Africa, Europe and North America, the book compares companies' political role in the 19th and 21st centuries. It demonstrates that despite a number of disturbing parallels, many contemporary practices are not a reversion to the past but unique to the present. The book discloses hybrid security practices with highly ambiguous effects around the sites of contemporary companies that have committed to norms of corporate social and security responsibility. Companies invest in local communities, and offer human rights training to security forces alongside coercive techniques of fortress protection, and stability-oriented clientele practice and arrangements of indirect rule. The book traces this hybridity back to contradictory collective meaning systems that cross borders and structure the perceptions and choices of company managers, private security officers, NGO collaborators and others practitioners. The book argues that hybrid security practices are not the result of an encounter between a supposed ‘local’ with the liberal ‘global’. Instead, this hybridity is inherent in the transnational and part and parcel of liberal transnational governance. Therefore, more critical reflection of global governance in practice is required. These issues are sharply pertinent to liberal peacebuilding as well as global governance more broadly. The book will be of interest to anyone interested in business, politics and human rights; critical security studies; peacebuilding and statebuilding; African politics; and ethnographic and sociological approaches to global governance and international relations more generally.


Social and Human Elements of Information Security: Emerging Trends and Countermeasures

Social and Human Elements of Information Security: Emerging Trends and Countermeasures
Author: Gupta, Manish
Publisher: IGI Global
Total Pages: 412
Release: 2008-09-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 160566037X

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Provides research on the social and human aspects of information security. Presents the latest trends, issues, and findings in the field.