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Secular Stagnation Theories

Secular Stagnation Theories
Author: Christina Anselmann
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 336
Release: 2020-04-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3030410870

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In light of weak economic performances and rising income disparities across the developed world during the past decades, this book provides a comprehensive overview of secular stagnation theories in the history of economic thought and examines the role of income distribution in various stagnation hypotheses. By offering a historical perspective, from the classical economists to the most recent stagnation debate of the early twenty-first century, the author shows that most stagnation theories were developed in periods of high and/or rising income disparities. Eventually, it was Josef Steindl, one of the least recognized stagnationists in the history of economic thought, who put the distribution of income at the heart of his stagnation theory. While Josef Steindl focused on the nexus between the functional distribution of income and economic growth, this book includes the personal distribution of income in a Kaleckian-Steindlian model of economic growth and stagnation. In the model presented, the nexus between economic growth and the distribution of income is a priori uncertain, depending on the type of economic shock and the specific economic circumstances. The author also discusses various empirically oriented policy implications aimed at fostering both economic growth and a more equal distribution of income. This book appeals to scholars in economics and the history of economic thought interested in economic growth, secular stagnation, and income distribution.


From the Classical School to Today

From the Classical School to Today
Author: Francis J. Lukacovic
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2016
Genre: Business cycles
ISBN:

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The purpose of this thesis is to study the theory of secular stagnation, which was made famous by the American Keynesian economist Alvin Hansen in his book Full Recovery or Stagnation. The theory of secular stagnation has reappeared in economic circles today due to recent economic conditions since the financial crisis of 2007-2008. The thesis will analyze the history of the stagnation theory dating back to classical economists in the 19th century. The concept of a stagnating economy has been talked about for centuries with many economists adding important thoughts. Furthermore, the thesis will address the current questions and examine whether the stagnation claims have merit in today economy. High unemployment and slow economic growth in developed countries including the United States may be explained by the theories of secular stagnation and the matured economy.


The Great Stagnation

The Great Stagnation
Author: Tyler Cowen
Publisher: Penguin
Total Pages: 98
Release: 2011-01-25
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1101502258

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Tyler Cowen’s controversial New York Times bestseller—the book heard round the world that ignited a firestorm of debate and redefined the nature of America’s economic malaise. America has been through the biggest financial crisis since the great Depression, unemployment numbers are frightening, media wages have been flat since the 1970s, and it is common to expect that things will get worse before they get better. Certainly, the multidecade stagnation is not yet over. How will we get out of this mess? One political party tries to increase government spending even when we have no good plan for paying for ballooning programs like Medicare and Social Security. The other party seems to think tax cuts will raise revenue and has a record of creating bigger fiscal disasters that the first. Where does this madness come from? As Cowen argues, our economy has enjoyed low-hanging fruit since the seventeenth century: free land, immigrant labor, and powerful new technologies. But during the last forty years, the low-hanging fruit started disappearing, and we started pretending it was still there. We have failed to recognize that we are at a technological plateau. The fruit trees are barer than we want to believe. That's it. That is what has gone wrong and that is why our politics is crazy. In The Great Stagnation, Cowen reveals the underlying causes of our past prosperity and how we will generate it again. This is a passionate call for a new respect of scientific innovations that benefit not only the powerful elites, but humanity as a whole.


Keynes Against Capitalism

Keynes Against Capitalism
Author: James Crotty
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 398
Release: 2019-04-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0429877064

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Keynes is one of the most important and influential economists who ever lived. It is almost universally believed that Keynes wrote his magnum opus, The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, to save capitalism from the socialist, communist, and fascist forces that were rising up during the Great Depression era. This book argues that this was not the case with respect to socialism. Tracing the evolution of Keynes’s views on policy from WWI until his death in 1946, Crotty argues that virtually all post-WWII "Keynesian" economists misinterpreted crucial parts of Keynes’s economic theory, misunderstood many of his policy views, and failed to realize that his overarching political objective was not to save British capitalism, but rather to replace it with Liberal Socialism. This book shows how Keynes’s Liberal Socialism began to take shape in his mind in the mid-1920s, evolved into a more concrete institutional form over the next decade or so, and was laid out in detail in his work on postwar economic planning at Britain’s Treasury during WWII. Finally, it explains how The General Theory provided the rigorous economic theoretical foundation needed to support his case against capitalism in support of Liberal Socialism. Offering an original and highly informative exposition of Keynes’s work, this book should be of great interest to teachers and students of economics. It should also appeal to a general audience interested in the role the most important economist of the 20th century played in developing the case against capitalism and in support of Liberal Socialism. Keynes Against Capitalism is especially relevant in the context of today’s global economic and political crises.


Secular Cycles

Secular Cycles
Author: Peter Turchin
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 361
Release: 2009-08-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0691136963

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"Secular Cycles elaborates and expands upon the demographic-structural theory first advanced by Jack Goldstone, which provides an explanation of long-term oscillations. This book tests that theory's specific and quantitative predictions by tracing the dynamics of population numbers, prices and real wages, elite numbers and incomes, state finances, and sociopolitical instability. Turchin and Nefedov study societies in England, France, and Russia during the medieval and early modern periods, and look back at the Roman Republic and Empire. Incorporating theoretical and quantitative history, the authors examine a specific model of historical change and, more generally, investigate the utility of the dynamical systems approach in historical applications."--BOOK JACKET.


Excess Savings, Under-Consumption and Secular Stagnation

Excess Savings, Under-Consumption and Secular Stagnation
Author: Rahul Menon
Publisher:
Total Pages: 29
Release: 2018
Genre:
ISBN:

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Hansen's theory of secular stagnation has been resurrected in mainstream discourse today through economists such as Lawrence Summers and Paul Krugman. The modern theory of stagnation believes that excess savings - brought about due to slowing population growth and the savings habits of developing economies - cannot be absorbed due to the inability of the nominal interest rate to go below zero. This theory is flawed in calling itself “Keynesian” since its focus on the interest rate as bringing savings and investment into equilibrium runs counter to Keynesian thought. A search for the theoretical antecedents of modern stagnation theory leads one to the under-consumption theories of Hobson and Malthus, in its focus on excess savings and constraints on consumption. As such, the central flaws of under-consumption theories find themselves repeated in modern stagnation theories, namely, its neglect of investment and its mistaken conception of the capitalist production process.


Credit, Money and Crises in Post-Keynesian Economics

Credit, Money and Crises in Post-Keynesian Economics
Author: Louis-Philippe Rochon
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Total Pages: 384
Release: 2020-07-31
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1786439557

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In this volume, Louis-Philippe Rochon and Hassan Bougrine bring together key post-Keynesian voices in an effort to push the boundaries of our understanding of banks, central banking, monetary policy and endogenous money. Issues such as interest rates, income distribution, stagnation and crises – both theoretical and empirical – are woven together and analysed by the many contributors to shed new light on them. The result is an alternative analysis of contemporary monetary economies, and the policies that are so needed to address the problems of today.


Stagnation and the Financial Explosion

Stagnation and the Financial Explosion
Author: Harry Magdoff
Publisher: NYU Press
Total Pages:
Release: 2019-02-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1583678263

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This is the fourth in a continuing series of collected essays by the former editors of Monthly Review on the state of the U.S. economy and its relation to the global system. Like its predecessors, this volume focuses on the most recent phase of the development of U.S. capitalism, stressing the profound contradictions of the underlying processes of capital accumulation and pointing the way to the fundamental reforms that are the essential precondition for a real economic revival.


Hysteresis and Business Cycles

Hysteresis and Business Cycles
Author: Ms.Valerie Cerra
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 50
Release: 2020-05-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513536990

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Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.


Modern Money Theory

Modern Money Theory
Author: L. Randall Wray
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 322
Release: 2015-09-22
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1137539925

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This second edition explores how money 'works' in the modern economy and synthesises the key principles of Modern Money Theory, exploring macro accounting, currency regimes and exchange rates in both the USA and developing nations.