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The Era of Uncertainty

The Era of Uncertainty
Author: Francois Trahan
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 228
Release: 2011-07-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1118134095

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Macroeconomic Investment Strategies for an Era of Economic Uncertainty “Over the years, François’ insightful analyses of the business cycle has led to market calls that have both benefitted investors on the upside and (more important to many) protected them from losses on the downside. François’ incredible track record in successfully interpreting the trends that can be found in leading indicators and other macroeconomic data have also led to his well deserved reputation as an expert in sector rotation - providing investors on both the long and short side of the market opportunities to profit from his ideas. In my opinion, his most important and influential macro prediction to date was his call in the middle of the last decade when he predicted that the worst housing crisis in American history would soon be upon us, and that it would have far-ranging implications for both the global economy and world financial markets.”


Money and Capital in Economic Development

Money and Capital in Economic Development
Author: Ronald I. McKinnon
Publisher: Brookings Institution Press
Total Pages: 204
Release: 2010-12-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780815718499

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This books presents a theory of economic development very different from the "stages of growth" hypothesis or strategies emphasizing foreign aid, trade, or regional association. Leaving these aside, the author breaks new ground by focusing on the use of domestic capital markets to stimulate economic performance. He suggests a "bootstrap" approach in which successful development would depend largely on policy choices made by national authorities in the developing countries themselves. Central to his theory is the freeing of domestic financial markets to allow interest rates to reflect the true scarcity of capital in a developing economy. His analysis leads to a critique of prevailing monetary theory and to a new view of the relation between money and physical capital—a view with policy implications for governments striving to overcome the vicious circle of inflation and stagnation. Examining the performance of South Korea, Taiwan, Brazil, and other countries, the author suggests that their success or failure has depended primarily on steps taken in the monetary sector. He concludes that monetary reform should take precedence over other development measures, such as tariff and tax reform or the encouragement of foreign capital investment. In addition to challenging much of the conventional wisdom of development, the author's revision of accepted monetary theory may be relevant for mature economies that face monetary problems.


Saving, Investment, Financial Integration, and the Balance of Payments

Saving, Investment, Financial Integration, and the Balance of Payments
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 40
Release: 1989-12-14
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 145194831X

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This paper examines the extent of international financial integration, and its consequences for the current account. The evidence indicates that financial liberalization in the 1970s and 1980s has resulted in a substantial movement towards closer integration of world capital markets. By reducing constraints on international capital flows, this movement makes the current account more of a residual factor in agents’ decisions.


Capital Markets Under Inflation

Capital Markets Under Inflation
Author: Nicholas K. Bruck
Publisher: Johns Hopkins University Press
Total Pages: 464
Release: 1982
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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Studies prepared for the International Seminar on Capital Markets under Inflationary Conditions, held in Buenos Aires in November 1981.


The End of Finance

The End of Finance
Author: Jan Toporowski
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 177
Release: 2002-03-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 113461828X

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This volume develops an original critique of the belief that the present era of finance, where finance markets dominate contemporary capitalist economies, represents the best possible way of organising economic affairs. In fact, it is argued, the ensuing economic instability and inefficiency create the preconditions for the end of the dominance of finance. The End of Finance develops a theory of capital market inflation rooted in the work of Veblen, Kalecki, Keynes and Minsky, demonstrating how it disinclines productive activity on the part of firms, provides only short-term conditions that are propitious for privatisation and distorts monetary policy in the long-term. The author examines the role of pension fund schemes and financial derivatives in transmitting capital market inflation and provides a nuanced analysis of the contradictory role they play in the financial system. Capital market inflation is also examined in its historical context and compared with past inflations, in particular the South Sea and Mississippi Bubbles, which spawned the first financial derivatives, and the first privatisations. This broad historical vision allows us to see these forms of inflation as temporary and provisional in character.


Saving and Investment in a Global Economy

Saving and Investment in a Global Economy
Author: Barry Bosworth
Publisher: Brookings Institution Press
Total Pages: 204
Release: 1993
Genre: Balance of payments
ISBN:

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In this provocative book by one of the nation's leading economists, Barry Bosworth argues that trade disparities are not the result of external infraction, but rather a reflection of domestic failures.


Inflation in Open Economies

Inflation in Open Economies
Author: Michael Parkin
Publisher: Manchester University Press
Total Pages: 316
Release: 1978
Genre: Currency question
ISBN: 9780719007125

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