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Republic of Serbia

Republic of Serbia
Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 62
Release: 2018-12-19
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484391675

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Recent economic developments. The program is broadly on track and the economy is growing strongly, supported by private consumption, investment, and exports. Fiscal performance remains sound, modernization of the tax administration has accelerated, and public debt has fallen sharply. Inflation remains below the mid-point of the NBS inflation band, while the NBS has kept rates on hold since April. Both credit and private sector wage growth are strengthening. Program performance. Quantitative targets (QTs) for end-September 2018 were met, apart from a minor deviation on the QT for domestic arrears. Most reform targets (RTs) have been implemented, albeit some with delays. Staff recommends completion of the first review under the Policy Coordination Instrument and modification of QTs for end-March and an establishment of end-September 2019 QTs.


Republic of Serbia

Republic of Serbia
Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher:
Total Pages: 100
Release: 2020-08-28
Genre:
ISBN: 9781513555874

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Recent economic developments. Notwithstanding a sizeable policy response, the COVID-19 pandemic is having a significant adverse impact on Serbia's economic activity, with output in 2020 projected to contract by 3 percent, compared to a 4 percent increase expected prior to the COVID-19 shock. The shock is affecting the economy through lower external demand, weaker foreign direct investment and remittances, disruptions in regional and global supply chains, and domestic supply constraints. The government took strong actions to contain the pandemic at an early stage, but the number of infections accelerated again towards end-June. As a result, some containment measures have been re-introduced.


Republic of Serbia

Republic of Serbia
Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Total Pages: 67
Release: 2021-01-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781513566252

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Recent economic developments. Economic activity recovered following a severe contraction in 2Q2020 caused by the pandemic. Real output in 2020 has been revised up and is now projected to contract by only 1.5 percent, on the back of positive highfrequency indicators. Inflation remains low. The banking system remains liquid. After the two waves in March and July, the number of new infections has accelerated again since mid-October, reaching record-high levels and a larger-than-expected deterioration presents a clear downside risk.


Republic of Serbia

Republic of Serbia
Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 99
Release: 2022-06-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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The economy has navigated the COVID-19 pandemic well. In 2021, real GDP growth strongly rebounded by 7.4 percent, supporting a narrower fiscal deficit of 4.1 percent of GDP and a decline in the public debt ratio, and consistent with a return to pre-pandemic medium-term trend growth.


Republic of Serbia: First Review Under the Policy Coordination Instrument -Press Release; and Staff Report

Republic of Serbia: First Review Under the Policy Coordination Instrument -Press Release; and Staff Report
Author: International Monetary
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 69
Release: 2021-12-21
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1616358955

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An economic recovery is underway on the heels of the authorities’ large and timely policy response. By 1Q2021, GDP exceeded its pre-crisis level and growth in 2021 is expected to reach 6.5 percent, supporting a smaller-than-expected fiscal deficit. Headline inflation increased above the 4.5 percent upper limit of the target band in September and October. Regulated energy prices for consumers are not expected to change until next spring, but electricity prices for corporates are set to increase. A new pandemic wave that started in late-July persists though activity seems to have decoupled from infections. With a gradual normalization of demand and supply conditions, growth is projected to reach 4.5 percent in 2022. Inflation is expected to revert to the lower half of the inflation tolerance band in 2H2022 as the effects from this year’s drought wane and energy prices stabilize.


Republic of Serbia

Republic of Serbia
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release:
Genre:
ISBN:

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Republic of Serbia

Republic of Serbia
Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 76
Release: 2016-12-21
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475561849

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This paper discusses Serbia’s Sixth Review Under the Stand-by Arrangement and Modification of the Arrangement Review Schedule. The program remains on track, and the economy continues to strengthen. Significant fiscal overperformance and renewed efforts to address structural weaknesses have helped boost confidence. This, along with a healthy credit recovery on the back of substantial monetary policy easing, has helped restore robust growth, while persistently low inflation has reinforced recovery in real incomes. Public debt has started to decline. The IMF staff supports the authorities’ request for the completion of the sixth review under the Stand-by Arrangement and a shift to semiannual review.


Republic of Serbia

Republic of Serbia
Author: Poul M. Thomsen
Publisher:
Total Pages: 91
Release: 2009
Genre:
ISBN:

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Republic of Serbia

Republic of Serbia
Author: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2015
Genre: Fiscal policy
ISBN: 9781513540412

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The Revised EBA-Lite Methodology

The Revised EBA-Lite Methodology
Author: International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 58
Release: 2019-07-03
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1498324371

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The Methodology review identified three broad areas for improving the EBA-Lite methodology: (1) expanding the fundamentals and policy determinants in the CA and REER regressions to better capture the external balance of EBA-Lite countries; (2) identifying alternatives to regression models for external assessments of large exporters of exhaustible commodities; and (3) a revised approach for the assessment of external sustainability in highly indebted economies. Accordingly, the revised methodology consists of three modules: 1) Regression Module 2) Module for External Assessments of Exporters of Exhaustible Commodities 3) Module for the Assessment of External Sustainability