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| Author | : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 35 |
| Release | : 2019-10-28 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1513515500 |
Regional Economic Outlook, October 2019, Western Hemisphere Department
| Author | : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 108 |
| Release | : 2015-10-07 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1513575201 |
Economies in the Western Hemisphere are generally seeing a slowdown in growth. The U.S. economy regained momentum after a slow start at the beginning of the year, while in Latin America and the Caribbean economic activity continues to decelerate. Stronger U.S. growth should benefit countries in the region, especially those with tighter links through trade, remittances, and tourism (Mexico, Central America, and the Caribbean). Weaker commodity prices for the foreseeable future, however, will continue to hurt South America's net commodity exporters, lowering national incomes, reducing investment, and worsening fiscal balances. These developments could, in turn, impede progress made in recent years in poverty reduction. These developments could, in turn, impede progress made in recent years in poverty reduction. Key risks, including an abrupt tightening of U.S. interest rates or a further slowdown in China, may disproportionately affect Latin America. Chapters in this report examine monetary policy in Latin America, including the region’s exposure to global financial shocks; the role of value chains and regional trade agreements in fostering trade integration; and financial market development in the region.
| Author | : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 32 |
| Release | : 2018-10-12 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 148437536X |
Amid escalating trade tensions, tighter financial conditions, and volatile commodity markets, economic recovery in Latin America and the Caribbean has both moderated and become more uneven.
| Author | : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 28 |
| Release | : 2019-10-23 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1513516922 |
Growth in Asia is expected to moderate to 5.0 percent in 2019 and 5.1 percent in 2020 (0.4 and 0.3 percentage point lower than projected last April, respectively). A marked deceleration in merchandise trade and investment, driven by distortionary trade measures and an uncertain policy environment, is weighing on activity, particularly in the manufacturing sector.
| Author | : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 140 |
| Release | : 2018-05-11 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1484348923 |
The world economy and global trade are experiencing a broad-based cyclical upswing. Since October 2017, global growth outcomes and the outlook for 2018–19 have improved across all regions, reinforced by the expected positive near-term spillovers from tax policy changes in the United States. Accommodative global financial conditions, despite some tightening and market volatility in early February 2018, have been providing support to economic recovery. Higher commodity prices are contributing to an improved outlook for commodity exporters. The US and Canadian economies posted solid gains in 2017 and are expected to grow above potential in the near term. Despite the improved near-term outlook, however, medium-term prospects are tilted downwards. Growth prospects for advanced economies are subdued and many emerging market and developing economies are projected to grow in per capita terms more slowly than advanced economies, raising concerns about income convergence. While risks appear broadly balanced in the near term, they skew to the downside over the medium term, including a possible sharp tightening of financial conditions, waning popular support for global economic integration, growing trade tensions and risks of a shift toward protectionist policies, and geopolitical strains.
| Author | : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 208 |
| Release | : 2019-10-15 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1513516175 |
Global growth is forecast at 3.0 percent for 2019, its lowest level since 2008–09 and a 0.3 percentage point downgrade from the April 2019 World Economic Outlook.
| Author | : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. |
| Publisher | : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND |
| Total Pages | : 77 |
| Release | : 2009-10-21 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9781589068605 |
The impact of the global financial crisis and recession on the Latin America and Caribbean region was substantial, but the worst is over for most countries. The region avoided falling into a crisis of its own, performing relatively well amid strong external shocks. Many countries have now returned to growth. The region now faces the challenge of adapting to a new global environment that will not be as favorable as in the past. The latest edition of the report explores the lessons and policy agenda emerging from the recent performance of the Latin America and Caribbean region, drawing also on the broader international experience. Published biannually in May and October.
| Author | : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. |
| Publisher | : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND |
| Total Pages | : 82 |
| Release | : 2010-05-10 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9781589069213 |
A multispeed global recovery is under way, with some emerging markets in the lead and the major advanced economies growing more slowly. This macroeconomic setting has brought a return to easy global financial conditions and high commodity prices-a situation likely to be sustained for some time but unlikely to be permanent. Against that external backdrop, the recovery in the Latin America and Caribbean region overall is advancing faster than anticipated, but moving at different speeds across countries. The report discusses the varying policy challenges that different countries face as the global recovery proceeds. Chapter 1 analyzes the global setting and the outlook for the United States and Canada in particular, while Chapter 2 focuses on the outlook for Latin America and the Caribbean. Chapter 3 looks in depth at the challenges arising from the return of easy external financial conditions. Together with high commodity prices, such conditions represent favorable "tailwinds" for many countries of the region, but also carry risks for policymakers to address.
| Author | : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 35 |
| Release | : 2019-10-28 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1513513958 |
The global economy has slowed, with important consequences for growth prospects in Latin America and the Caribbean. The slowdown in economic activity has been broad-based among advanced economies and more pronounced in emerging markets and developing economies, partly reflecting trade and geopolitical tensions. Global growth is projected to decline to the lowest level since the global financial crises, before recovering in 2020. More importantly, growth is projected to decline in 2019–20 in the United States and China, which are LAC’s two main trading partners. The ongoing sluggishness of global growth and trade is affecting export growth in LAC, posing significant headwinds to the outlook. External demand for the region remains subdued, with trading partner growth (including China, Europe, other LAC countries, and the United States) projected to decline in 2019, before recovering modestly over the medium term. Moreover, commodity prices (notably energy and metals), key drivers of growth in LAC in the past, are projected to decline with a likely modest negative impact on regional growth going forward.
| Author | : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 66 |
| Release | : 2013-05-06 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1484347927 |
Despite some global risks, external conditions for Latin America should remain stimulative. With monetary policy in advanced economies expected to stay accommodative, external financing conditions will remain favorable. Strong demand from emerging Asian economies and the gradual recovery of advanced economies will continue to support commodity prices, benefiting exporters. The main policy challenge for most of the region is to take advantage of current conditions to continue buttressing a foundation for sustained growth. Other issues important to the region include: (i) strengthening balance sheets; (ii) understanding how changes in external conditions could impact public and external debt dynamics; and (iii) making the best use of the windfall from the recent terms-of-trade boom.
