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Continuous Time Equilibrium Pricing of Nonredundant Assets

Continuous Time Equilibrium Pricing of Nonredundant Assets
Author: Elyes Jouini
Publisher:
Total Pages: 40
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

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The problem of fair pricing of contingent claims is well understood in the context of an arbitrage free, complete financial market, with perfect information. But in the more realistic context of an incomplete market or with imperfect information, the arbitrage approach does not enable us to obtain a unique fair price for all contingent claims but only a fair pricing interval, which is known to be too large to be of great interest. We present here a new approach by exploiting partial conditions issued from equilibrium analysis. The explicit use of market clearing conditions enables us to obtain a unique preference-free admissible price. On a practical point of view, this enables us to give a unique fair price to any contingent claim. Moreover, on a theoretical point of view, this unique price appears to be only dependent on the real economy, as opposed to the financial one.


The Pricing of Market-to-Market Contingent Claims in a No-Arbitrage Economy

The Pricing of Market-to-Market Contingent Claims in a No-Arbitrage Economy
Author: Stephen E. Satchell
Publisher:
Total Pages: 29
Release: 2008
Genre:
ISBN:

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This paper assumes that the underlying asset prices are lognormally distributed and drives necessary and sufficient conditions for the valuation of options using a Black-Scholes type methodology. It is shown that the price of a futures-style, market-to-market option is given by Black s formula if the pricing kernel is lognormally distributed. Assuming that this condition is fulfilled, it is then shown that the Black-Scholes formula prices a spot-settled contingent claim, if the interest-rate accumulation factor is lognormally distributed. Otherwise, the Black-Scholes formula holds if the product of the pricing kernel and the interest-rate accumulation factor is lognormally distributed.


The Medium of Contingency 978-1-137-28654-3

The Medium of Contingency 978-1-137-28654-3
Author: Elie Ayache
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 426
Release: 2016-06-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1137286563

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In The Medium of Contingency Elie Ayache builds upon his ground-breaking book The Blank Swan, in exploring the intersection of philosophy and finance, introducing new notions of price and market. Inverting the received view, he now sees a creation of matter in both the market and its metaphysics, rather than pure speculation. Once recognized as the proper medium of contingency and disassociated from the probabilistic and statistical tools traditionally used to model it, the market can be thought as 'real', in a new sense of reality corresponding to the new sense of matter. To bring this new and original perspective, The Medium of Contingency builds on probability theory as first formalized by von Mises and Kolmogorov, and later revisited by Shafer and Vovk. It utilises the author's extensive experience in derivatives pricing technology and software, as well as his work in the philosophy of contingency and contingent claims, to propose a new philosophical interpretation of Brownian motion and of the Black-Scholes-Merton formula. Then it completes the overturning of the traditional view of the market by arguing that there should be no difference, ultimately, between an underlying asset and the derivative written on it. This book does not aim to change the market but the way we must think of it. It is the author's conviction that there can be no philosophy of the market, and consequently no thinking of it, without a philosophy of contingent claims and of derivative pricing. The book provides the missing piece, which the philosophy of probability cannot provide alone. Its scope, however, extends beyond the strict critique of financial mathematics, as it also, and perhaps most importantly, delivers the author's definitive treatment of the philosophically prominent and recently much discussed notion of contingency.


Cost-Efficient Contingent Claims with Market Frictions

Cost-Efficient Contingent Claims with Market Frictions
Author: Mario Ghossoub
Publisher:
Total Pages: 24
Release: 2017
Genre:
ISBN:

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In complete frictionless securities markets under uncertainty, it is well-known that in the absence of arbitrage opportunities, there exists a unique linear positive pricing rule, which induces a state-price density (e.g., Harrison and Kreps (1979)). Dybvig (1988) showed that the cheapest way to acquire a certain distribution of a consumption bundle (or security) is when this bundle is anti-comonotonic with the state-price density, i.e., arranged in reverse order of the state-price density. In this paper, we look at extending Dybvig's ideas to complete markets with imperfections represented by a nonlinear pricing rule (e.g., due to bid-ask spreads). We consider an investor in a securities market where the pricing rule is "law-invariant" with respect to a capacity (e.g., Choquet pricing as in Araujo et al. (2011), Chateauneuf et al. (1996), Chateauneuf and Cornet (2015), or Cerreia-Vioglio et al. (2015)). The investor holds a security with a random payoff X and his problem is that of buying the cheapest contingent claim Y on X, subject to some constraints on the performance of the contingent claim and on its level of risk exposure. The cheapest such claim is called "cost-efficient". If the capacity satisfies standard continuity and a property called "strong diffuseness" introduced in Ghossoub (2015), we show the existence and monotonicity of cost-efficient claims, in the sense that a cost-efficient claim is anti-comonotonic with the underlying security's payoff X. Strong diffuseness is satisfied by a large collection of capacities, including all distortions of diffuse probability measures. As an illustration, we consider the case of a Choquet pricing functional with respect to a capacity and the case of a Choquet pricing functional with respect to a distorted probability measure. Finally, we consider a simple example in which we derive an explicit analytical form for a cost-efficient claim.


Equilibrium Pricing of Contingent Claims in Tradable Permit Markets

Equilibrium Pricing of Contingent Claims in Tradable Permit Markets
Author: Masaaki Kijima
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2010
Genre:
ISBN:

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We advance a model of the tradable permit market and derive a pricing formula for contingent claims traded in the market in a general equilibrium framework. It is shown that prices of such contingent claims exhibit significantly different properties from those in the ordinary financial markets. In particular, if the social cost function kinks at some level of abatement, the forward price, as well as the spot price, can be subject to the so-called price spike. However, this price-spike phenomenon can be weakened if a system of banking and borrowing is properly introduced.