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| Author | : Tommy Bengtsson |
| Publisher | : F'Ors'akringskassan Swedish Social Insurance Agency |
| Total Pages | : 84 |
| Release | : 2003 |
| Genre | : Mortality |
| ISBN | : |
| Author | : Tommy Bengtsson |
| Publisher | : Springer |
| Total Pages | : 349 |
| Release | : 2019-03-28 |
| Genre | : Social Science |
| ISBN | : 3030050750 |
This open access book describes methods of mortality forecasting and discusses possible improvements. It contains a selection of previously unpublished and published papers, which together provide a state-of-the-art overview of statistical approaches as well as behavioural and biological perspectives. The different parts of the book provide discussions of current practice, probabilistic forecasting, the linearity in the increase of life expectancy, causes of death, and the role of cohort factors. The key question in the book is whether it is possible to project future mortality accurately, and if so, what is the best approach. This makes the book a valuable read to demographers, pension planners, actuaries, and all those interested and/or working in modelling and forecasting mortality.
| Author | : Tommy Bengtsson |
| Publisher | : Springer |
| Total Pages | : 349 |
| Release | : 2019-04-16 |
| Genre | : Social Science |
| ISBN | : 9783030050740 |
This open access book describes methods of mortality forecasting and discusses possible improvements. It contains a selection of previously unpublished and published papers, which together provide a state-of-the-art overview of statistical approaches as well as behavioural and biological perspectives. The different parts of the book provide discussions of current practice, probabilistic forecasting, the linearity in the increase of life expectancy, causes of death, and the role of cohort factors. The key question in the book is whether it is possible to project future mortality accurately, and if so, what is the best approach. This makes the book a valuable read to demographers, pension planners, actuaries, and all those interested and/or working in modelling and forecasting mortality.
| Author | : Tommy Bengtsson |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 349 |
| Release | : 2019 |
| Genre | : Mortality |
| ISBN | : 9783030050764 |
This open access book describes methods of mortality forecasting and discusses possible improvements. It contains a selection of previously unpublished and published papers, which together provide a state-of-the-art overview of statistical approaches as well as behavioural and biological perspectives. The different parts of the book provide discussions of current practice, probabilistic forecasting, the linearity in the increase of life expectancy, causes of death, and the role of cohort factors. The key question in the book is whether it is possible to project future mortality accurately, and if so, what is the best approach. This makes the book a valuable read to demographers, pension planners, actuaries, and all those interested and/or working in modelling and forecasting mortality.".
| Author | : Tommy Bengtsson |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 104 |
| Release | : 2003 |
| Genre | : Mortality |
| ISBN | : |
| Author | : E. Tabeau |
| Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
| Total Pages | : 320 |
| Release | : 2006-04-11 |
| Genre | : Social Science |
| ISBN | : 0306475626 |
Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in developed countries of Western Europe. In this context techniques from mathematical statistics and econometrics can provide useful descriptions of past mortality. The naive forecast obtained by extrapolating a fitted model may give as good a forecast as any but forecasting by extrapolation requires careful justification since it assumes the prolongation of historical conditions. On the other hand, whilst it is generally accepted that scientific and other advances will continue to impact on mortality, perhaps dramatically so, it is impossible to quantify more than the outline of future consequences with a strong degree of confidence. The decision to modify an extrapolation of a model fitted to historical data (or conversely choosing not to modify it) in order to obtain a forecast is therefore strongly influenced by subjective and judgmental elements, with the quality of the latter dependent on demographic, epidemiological and indeed perhaps more general considerations. The thread running through the book reflects therefore the necessity of integrating demographic, epidemiological, and statistical factors to obtain an improvement in the prediction of mortality.
| Author | : Gabriele Doblhammer |
| Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
| Total Pages | : 232 |
| Release | : 2013-03-09 |
| Genre | : Political Science |
| ISBN | : 3662103494 |
This stimulating, carefully-researched book on The Late Life Legacy of Very Early Life by Dr. Gabriele Doblhammer is the second volume of a new series of Demographic Research Monographs published by Springer Verlag. The topic of the book is fascinating. Is a person's lifespan influ enced by health and nutrition in-utero and shortly after birth? If so, why? The answers uncovered by the diligence, demographic and statistical ex pertise, and probing intelligence of the author are surprising but convinc ing. To pry open the mystery of the lingering impact of very early life, Dr. Doblharnmer focuses on month of birth. It turns out that people born in some months live substantially longer on average than people born in other months, not because of astrological forces but for reasons of health and nutrition. Dr. Doblhammer was educated in statistics and demography and earlier this year was the first person ever to receive the "Habilitation" de gree, the recognition given in the German-speaking world to proven scho lars who are qualified to become professors, in Demography. This book, which is evidence that she fully deserves this award, will not only provide important new fmdings about the legacy of early life but will also serve as a comprehensive foundation of knowledge on which future scholars can build. The series of Demographic Research Monographs is under the editorial supervision of the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research. Prof. James W. Vaupel, Founding Director of the Institute, is Editor-in-Chief.
| Author | : Tommy Bengtsson |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 340 |
| Release | : 2020-10-08 |
| Genre | : Social Science |
| ISBN | : 9781013273292 |
This open access book describes methods of mortality forecasting and discusses possible improvements. It contains a selection of previously unpublished and published papers, which together provide a state-of-the-art overview of statistical approaches as well as behavioural and biological perspectives. The different parts of the book provide discussions of current practice, probabilistic forecasting, the linearity in the increase of life expectancy, causes of death, and the role of cohort factors. The key question in the book is whether it is possible to project future mortality accurately, and if so, what is the best approach. This makes the book a valuable read to demographers, pension planners, actuaries, and all those interested and/or working in modelling and forecasting mortality. This work was published by Saint Philip Street Press pursuant to a Creative Commons license permitting commercial use. All rights not granted by the work's license are retained by the author or authors.
| Author | : Sumedha Gupta |
| Publisher | : Rozenberg Publishers |
| Total Pages | : 259 |
| Release | : 2010 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : 9036101794 |
| Author | : Tommy Bengtsson |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 88 |
| Release | : 2005 |
| Genre | : Mortality |
| ISBN | : |
