On The Risk Return Relation In International Stock Markets Forthcoming PDF Download
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| Author | : Hui Guo |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 34 |
| Release | : 2013 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : |
Download On the Risk-Return Relation in International Stock Markets, Forthcoming Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
We investigate the risk-return relation in international stock markets using realized variance constructed from MSCI (Morgan Stanley Capital International) daily stock price indices. In contrast with CAPM, realized variance by itself provides negligible information about future excess stock market returns; however, we uncover a positive and significant risk-return tradeoff in many countries after controlling for the (U.S.) consumption-wealth ratio. U.S. realized variance is also significantly related to future international stock market returns; more importantly, it always subsumes the information content of its local counterparts. Our results indicate that stock market variance is an important determinant of the equity premium.
| Author | : Hui Guo |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : |
| Release | : 2006 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : |
Download The Risk-Return Relation in International Stock Markets Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
We investigate the risk-return relation in international stock markets using realized variance constructed from MSCI (Morgan Stanley Capital International) daily stock price indexes. In contrast with CAPM, realized variance by itself provides negligible information about future excess stock market returns; however, we uncover a positive and significant risk-return tradeoff in many countries after controlling for the (U.S.) consumption-wealth ratio. U.S. realized variance is also significantly related to future international stock market returns; more importantly, it always subsumes the information content of its local counterparts. Our results indicate that stock market variance is an important determinant of the equity premium.
| Author | : Hui Guo |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : |
| Release | : 2006 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : |
Download Investigating the Intertemporal Risk-return Relation in International Stock Markets with the Component Garch Model Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
"We revisit the risk-return relation using the component GARCH model and international daily MSCI stock market data. In contrast with the previous evidence obtained from weekly and monthly data, daily data show that the relation is positive in almost all markets and often statistically significant. Likelihood ratio tests reject the standard GARCH model in favor of the component GARCH model, which strengthens the evidence for a positive risk-return tradeoff. Consistent with U.S. evidence, the long-run component of volatility is a more important determinant of the conditional equity premium than the short-run component for most international markets"--Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis web site.
| Author | : Seungho Jung |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 36 |
| Release | : 2021-10-22 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1557759677 |
Download Geopolitical Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from Inter-Korea Geopolitics Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
We investigate how corporate stock returns respond to geopolitical risk in the case of South Korea, which has experienced large and unpredictable geopolitical swings that originate from North Korea. To do so, a monthly index of geopolitical risk from North Korea (the GPRNK index) is constructed using automated keyword searches in South Korean media. The GPRNK index, designed to capture both upside and downside risk, corroborates that geopolitical risk sharply increases with the occurrence of nuclear tests, missile launches, or military confrontations, and decreases significantly around the times of summit meetings or multilateral talks. Using firm-level data, we find that heightened geopolitical risk reduces stock returns, and that the reductions in stock returns are greater especially for large firms, firms with a higher share of domestic investors, and for firms with a higher ratio of fixed assets to total assets. These results suggest that international portfolio diversification and investment irreversibility are important channels through which geopolitical risk affects stock returns.
| Author | : Bradford Cornell |
| Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
| Total Pages | : 248 |
| Release | : 1999-05-26 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9780471327356 |
Download The Equity Risk Premium Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Das Thema Risikoprämie für Aktien (Equity Risk Premium) wird hier zum ersten Mal verständlich erklärt. Die Risikoprämie für Aktien stellt einen Renditeausgleich dar für das erhöhte Risiko, das ein Anleger bei der Investition in Aktien eingeht, im Vergleich zu einer Investition in risikofreie Staatsanleihen. Die Risikoprämie ist zwar von der Theorie her einfach, jedoch in der Praxis ein sehr komplexes Phänomen. Für Finanzentscheidungen ist es von größter Bedeutung, daß man das Prinzip der Risikoprämie versteht und es anwenden kann. Cornell erläutert das Thema Schritt für Schritt sehr anschaulich und ohne terminologischen Ballast. Zunächst wird die Risikoprämie im Zusammenhang mit der Geschichte des Aktienmarktes betrachtet. Der Haussemarkt der 90er dient dabei als Fallstudie. Cornell zeigt, welche Rückschlüsse man durch die Analyse der Risikoprämie im historischen Verlauf für den Aktienmarkt ziehen kann, z.B. ob Aktienkurse steigen oder fallen oder ob sich der Aktienmarkt verändert. Vorausschauende Schätzungen der Risikoprämie werden anhand verschiedener konkurrierender Modelle analysiert, wobei die Vorzüge der jeweiligen Methode mitbewertet werden. 'Equity Risk Premium' ist das erste Buch, das dieses wichtige Prinzip der Risiko-Nutzen-Analyse erschöpfend behandelt. Es vermittelt einen tiefen Einblick und deckt alle Grundlagen ab, damit Investoren fundierte Finanzentscheidungen treffen können. Ein absolutes Muß für institutionelle Anleger, Geldmanager und Finanzvorstände, die auf eine fundierte Marktanalyse zurückgreifen müssen. (06/99)
| Author | : Stijn Claessens |
| Publisher | : World Bank Publications |
| Total Pages | : 28 |
| Release | : 1995 |
| Genre | : Rate of return |
| ISBN | : |
Download The Cross-section of Stock Returns Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
| Author | : Wolfgang Drobetz |
| Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
| Total Pages | : 346 |
| Release | : 2013-06-29 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 3663085295 |
Download Global Stock Markets Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Wolfgang Drobetz provides empirical evidence on the time variation of expected stock returns over the stages of the business cycle.
| Author | : Geert Dhaene |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 26 |
| Release | : 2016 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : |
Download The Risk-Return Tradeoff in International Stock Markets Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
We study international asset pricing in a large-dimensional multivariate GARCH-in-mean framework. We examine different estimation methods and find that the two-step estimation method proposed by Bali and Engle (2010) tends to underestimate the risk-return coefficient and the corresponding standard error. We also show that the estimate is improved by one-step estimation and by increasing the cross-sectional dimension. Using stock index returns for up to 24 countries and 4 major currencies in the period 2001-2015, one-step estimation gives a market risk-return coefficient of around 6. The estimate is robust to variations in model specification, data frequency, and the number of stock markets considered.
| Author | : Adam Zaremba |
| Publisher | : Springer |
| Total Pages | : 325 |
| Release | : 2018-07-25 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 3319915304 |
Download Price-Based Investment Strategies Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This compelling book examines the price-based revolution in investing, showing how research over recent decades has reinvented technical analysis. The authors discuss the major groups of price-based strategies, considering their theoretical motivation, individual and combined implementation, and back-tested results when applied to investment across country stock markets. Containing a comprehensive sample of performance data, taken from 24 major developed markets around the world and ranging over the last 25 years, the authors construct practical portfolios and display their performance—ensuring the book is not only academically rigorous, but practically applicable too. This is a highly useful volume that will be of relevance to researchers and students working in the field of price-based investing, as well as individual investors, fund pickers, market analysts, fund managers, pension fund consultants, hedge fund portfolio managers, endowment chief investment officers, futures traders, and family office investors.
| Author | : Hui Guo |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 40 |
| Release | : 2003 |
| Genre | : Investments |
| ISBN | : |
Download Uncovering the Risk-return Relation in the Stock Market Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
There is an ongoing debate in the literature about the apparent weak or negative relation between risk (conditional variance) and return (expected returns) in the aggregate stock market. We develop and estimate an empirical model based on the ICAPM to investigate this relation. Our primary innovation is to model and identify empirically the two components of expected returns--the risk component and the component due to the desire to hedge changes in investment opportunities. We also explicitly model the effect of shocks to expected returns on ex post returns and use implied volatility from traded options to increase estimation efficiency. As a result, the coefficient of relative risk aversion is estimated more precisely, and we find it to be positive and reasonable in magnitude. Although volatility risk is priced, as theory dictates, it contributes only a small amount to the time-variation in expected returns. Expected returns are driven primarily by the desire to hedge changes in investment opportunities. It is the omission of this hedge component that is responsible for the contradictory and counter-intuitive results in the existing literature
