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| Author | : Stuart E. Johnson |
| Publisher | : Rand Corporation |
| Total Pages | : 415 |
| Release | : 2003-03-31 |
| Genre | : Political Science |
| ISBN | : 0833034103 |
Download New Challenges, New Tools for Defense Decisionmaking Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
It is still easy to underestimate how much the collapse of the Soviet Union and the end of the Cold War?--and then the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001?--transformed the task of American foreign and defense policymaking. In place of predictability (if a sometimes terrifying predictability), the world is now very unpredictable. In place of a single overriding threat and benchmark by which all else could be measured, a number of possible threats have arisen, not all of them states. In place of force-on-force engagements, U.S. defense planners have to assume "asymmetric" threats?--ways not to defeat U.S. power but to render it irrelevant. This book frames the challenges for defense policy that the transformed world engenders, and it sketches new tools for dealing with those challenges?--from new techniques in modeling and gaming, to planning based on capabilities rather than threats, to personnel planning and making use of "best practices" from the private sector.
| Author | : Stuart E. Johnson |
| Publisher | : Rand Corporation |
| Total Pages | : 415 |
| Release | : 2003 |
| Genre | : History |
| ISBN | : 0833032895 |
Download New Challenges, New Tools for Defense Decisionmaking Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
The collapse of the Soviet Union and the end of the Cold WarÑand then the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001Ñtransformed the task of American foreign and defense policymaking. This book outlines the dimensions of that transformation and sketches new tools for dealing with the policy challengesÑfrom modeling and gaming, to planning based on capabilities rather than threats, to personnel planning and making use of "best practices" from the private sector.
| Author | : National Research Council |
| Publisher | : National Academies Press |
| Total Pages | : 96 |
| Release | : 2006-09-22 |
| Genre | : Technology & Engineering |
| ISBN | : 0309180732 |
Download Defense Modeling, Simulation, and Analysis Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Modeling, simulation, and analysis (MS&A) is a crucial tool for military affairs. MS&A is one of the announced pillars of a strategy for transforming the U.S. military. Yet changes in the enterprise of MS&A have not kept pace with the new demands arising from rapid changes in DOD processes and missions or with the rapid changes in the technology available to meet those demands. To help address those concerns, DOD asked the NRC to identify shortcomings in current practice of MS&A and suggest where and how they should be resolved. This report provides an assessment of the changing mission of DOD and environment in which it must operate, an identification of high-level opportunities for MS&A research to address the expanded mission, approaches for improving the interface between MS&A practitioners and decision makers, a discussion of training and continuing education of MS&A practitioners, and an examination of the need for coordinated military science research to support MS&A.
| Author | : Robert J. Lempert |
| Publisher | : Rand Corporation |
| Total Pages | : 108 |
| Release | : 2016-01-29 |
| Genre | : History |
| ISBN | : 0833093037 |
Download Defense Resource Planning Under Uncertainty Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Defense planning faces significant uncertainties. This report applies robust decision making (RDM) to the air-delivered munitions mix challenge. RDM is quantitative, decision support methodology designed to inform decisions under conditions of deep uncertainty and complexity. This proof-of-concept demonstration suggests that RDM could help defense planners make plans more robust to a wide range of hard-to-predict futures.
| Author | : Paul K. Davis |
| Publisher | : Rand Corporation |
| Total Pages | : 181 |
| Release | : 2005 |
| Genre | : Computers |
| ISBN | : 0833038087 |
Download Implications of Modern Decision Science for Military Decision-support Systems Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
A selective review of modern decision science and implications for decision-support systems. The study suggests ways to synthesize lessons from research on heuristics and biases with those from "naturalistic research." It also discusses modern tools, such as increasingly realistic simulations, multiresolution modeling, and exploratory analysis, which can assist decisionmakers in choosing strategies that are flexible, adaptive, and robust.
| Author | : Alain C. Enthoven |
| Publisher | : Rand Corporation |
| Total Pages | : 395 |
| Release | : 2005-10-18 |
| Genre | : Political Science |
| ISBN | : 0833048147 |
Download How Much Is Enough? Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Originally published in 1971, and now published with a new foreword, this is a book of enduring value and lasting relevance. The authors detail the application, history, and controversies surrounding the Planning, Programming, and Budgeting System (PPBS), used to evaluate military needs and to choose among alternatives for meeting those needs.
| Author | : Charles Johnston Hitch |
| Publisher | : Univ of California Press |
| Total Pages | : 83 |
| Release | : 1967 |
| Genre | : United States |
| ISBN | : |
Download Decision-making for Defense Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
| Author | : Evan S. Medeiros |
| Publisher | : Rand Corporation |
| Total Pages | : 331 |
| Release | : 2005-12-19 |
| Genre | : Political Science |
| ISBN | : 0833040790 |
Download A New Direction for China's Defense Industry Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Since the early 1980s, a prominent and consistent conclusion drawn from research on China's defense-industrial complex has been that China's defense-production capabilities are rife with weaknesses and limitations. This study argues for an alternative approach: From the vantage point of 2005, it is time to shift the focus of current research to the gradual improvements in and the future potential of China's defense-industrial complex. The study found that China's defense sectors are designing and producing a wide range of increasingly advanced weapons that, in the short term, are relevant to a possible conflict over Taiwan but also to China's long-term military presence in Asia. Part of a larger RAND Project AIR FORCE study on Chinese military modernization, this study examines the current and future capabilities of China's defense industry. The goals of this study are to 1.
| Author | : National Intelligence Council |
| Publisher | : Cosimo Reports |
| Total Pages | : 158 |
| Release | : 2021-03 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : 9781646794973 |
Download Global Trends 2040 Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.
| Author | : Richard L. Kugler |
| Publisher | : Government Printing Office |
| Total Pages | : 664 |
| Release | : 2006 |
| Genre | : Political Science |
| ISBN | : 9781579060701 |
Download Policy Analysis in National Security Affairs Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This book addresses how to conduct policy analysis in the field of national security, including foreign policy and defense strategy. It is a philosophical and conceptual book for helphing people think deeply, clearly, and insightfully about complex policy issues. This books reflects the viewpoint that the best policies normally come from efforts to synthesize competing camps by drawing upon the best of each of them and by combining them to forge a sensible whole. While this book is written to be reader-friendly, it aspires to in-depth scholarship.
