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A review of existing approaches and methods to assess climate change vulnerability of forests and forest-dependent people

A review of existing approaches and methods to assess climate change vulnerability of forests and forest-dependent people
Author: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
Publisher: Food & Agriculture Org.
Total Pages: 84
Release: 2018-11-29
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 9251311382

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Until recently, considerably more attention was paid to using forests to mitigate climate change, through the absorption of carbon dioxide (CO2) from the atmosphere, than there was on considering the need to adapt forests to avoid the worst effects that climate change could have on them. The switch from a mitigation-heavy approach to one that considers adaptation in a more balanced manner underscores the need to have approaches to assess the vulnerability of forests to climate change. One reason for this more balanced focus may be due to the realization by the broader public, governmental organizations and the forest science community that the climate change that has already occurred is permanent in human terms, because it takes centuries for much of the CO2 emitted from fossil fuel sources to be removed from the atmosphere. There are already substantial impacts that are being seen in the world’s forests. These impacts are certain to continue increasing until CO2 emissions drop to lower levels. For that reason, adaptation of the world’s forests requires attention. The approaches to assessing vulnerability can be categorized according to the focus they each provide. Contextual vulnerability addresses current issues of climate and is usually evaluated using participatory techniques with people who live in, or work with, forests. Outcome vulnerability looks at the biophysical vulnerability of forests; it is often used to assess the cause-and-effect of climate change on a biological system. Vulnerability assessments can be highly technical and quantitative, using advanced computer programs and geographic information systems, or they can be based on social science approaches to obtaining qualitative information from people.


Climate change vulnerability assessment of forests and forest-dependent people

Climate change vulnerability assessment of forests and forest-dependent people
Author: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
Publisher: Food & Agriculture Org.
Total Pages: 101
Release: 2019-11-29
Genre: Science
ISBN: 9251319812

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Negative impacts of climate change on forests threaten the delivery of crucial wood and non-wood goods and environmental services on which an estimated 1.6 billion people fully or partly depend. Assessment of the vulnerability of forests and forest-dependent people to climate change is a necessary first step for identifying the risks and the most vulnerable areas and people, and for developing measures for adaptation and targeting them for specific contexts. This publication provides practical technical guidance for forest vulnerability assessment in the context of climate change. It describes the elements that should be considered for different time horizons and outlines a structured approach for conducting these assessments. The framework will guide practitioners in conducting a step-by-step analysis and will facilitate the choice and use of appropriate tools and methods. Background information is provided separately in text boxes, to assist readers with differing amounts of experience in forestry, climate change and assessment practices. The publication will provide useful support to any vulnerability assessment with a forest- and tree-related component.


Approaches and tools for assessing mountain forest ecosystem services

Approaches and tools for assessing mountain forest ecosystem services
Author: Baral, H.
Publisher: CIFOR
Total Pages: 32
Release: 2018-01-16
Genre:
ISBN:

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Mountain forest ecosystems provide a wide range of direct and indirect contributions to the people who live in the mountains and surrounding areas. Occupying steep slopes at high elevation, these ecosystems provide services such as stabilizing slopes, regulating hydrological cycles, maintaining rich biodiversity and supporting the livelihoods of those who are diverse in culture but vulnerable to poverty and food security. This paper (i) reviews several tools for assessing the sociocultural, economic and ecological values of mountain forest ecosystem services, (ii) demonstrates case studies of tool applications from several countries namely, Bhutan, India, Indonesia, Iran and Nepal, and (iii) discusses assessment challenges that should be considered in the application of these tools. In Bhutan, an application of benefit transfer showed that the average total value of forest ecosystem services was over USD 14.5 billion per year. In India, an application of stakeholder and household analyses indicated that a total of 29 different ecosystem services are available and sustain livelihoods of local communities near the Maguri Mottapung wetland. In Indonesia, an application of Q methodology identified anticipated benefits and concerns of forest watershed stakeholders related to certification applications for a payment for ecosystem services. In Iran, an application of the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs Tool showed that the regulation of ecosystem services has been declining in Hyrcanian forests despite the forests’ critical roles in the region. In Nepal, an application of a spatial analytical approach and participatory assessment techniques identified key mountain ecosystem services for community forests at the Charnawolti sub-watershed of Dolakha, and demonstrated forest restoration on degraded lands over the last two decades. Several challenges exist for the assessment of mountain forest ecosystem services and these must be reflected in assessment design. These challenges include the complexity of defining and classifying ecosystem services; limited availability of data on ecosystem services; uncertainties associated with climate change; complex relationships among services including trade-offs and synergies; and limitation of assessments to build successful payments for ecosystem services.


Adapting Sustainable Forest Management to Climate Change

Adapting Sustainable Forest Management to Climate Change
Author: David Thomas Price
Publisher:
Total Pages: 18
Release: 2012
Genre: Climatic changes
ISBN: 9781100206875

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Maintaining sustainable forest management practices in Canada during the 21st century and beyond will be a major challenge, given the uncertainties of global socioeconomic development and multiple interacting consequences of global environmental change. Scenarios represent an important tool for decision makers to use in exploring the causes and effects of possible changes in future environmental conditions and the implications of those changes for forests and the social, environmental, and economic benefits that forests provide. Scenario analysis allows managers and other stakeholders to evaluate the consequences of plausible alternative futures for forest management and to develop robust adaptation strategies. This report addresses the origins of the scenarios that will be needed to assess the impacts of climate change and other stressors on managed forest systems. It examines how scenarios can be constructed for application at local scales (such as a forest management unit), using both top-down (downscaling from global and regional projections) and bottom-up (accounting for local trends and projections) approaches. Practical examples of using scenarios for impact assessment in forestry are briefly reviewed in four case studies from across Canada.--Document.


Forest Vulnerability Assessment

Forest Vulnerability Assessment
Author: Sarah Boulter
Publisher:
Total Pages: 254
Release: 2012
Genre: Adaptive natural resource management
ISBN: 9781921609664

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This report is a synthesis of the Forest Vulnerability Assessment project undertaken by a consortium of research groups. The project was an initiative of the Natural Resource Management Ministerial Council (NRMMC) and undertaken under the auspices of the National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility (NCCARF), Griffith University. The project was established in 2009 to review current knowledge of the likely biophysical and socio-economic consequences of climate change on Australia's forests, understand the vulnerabilities of Australia's forests, identify current adaptation actions, and identify information gaps to improve adaptative capacity. The assessment was carried out using a basic vulnerability assessment framework which considers sensitivity, exposure and adaptive capacity to determine the vulnerability of Australia's forests to climate change. Each of these factors was considered in turn using the general scientific literature. In addition interviews with stakeholders were used to identify key issues and current actions by forest managers and policy-makers. Four reports were developed and published as result of each of those projects (Cockfield et al., 2010, Medlyn et al., 2010, Wilson and Turton, 2010, Woods et al., 2010). This synthesis report was developed based on those reports. The work was undertaken primarily in 2010 but this final report was not accepted for release until November 2012. A regional scale assessment was also carried out using an agro-ecological classification of Australia to understand forest vulnerability to climate change within each region.