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Monetary Policy and the Relative Price of Durable Goods

Monetary Policy and the Relative Price of Durable Goods
Author: Alessandro Cantelmo
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 81
Release: 2017-12-22
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484336429

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In a SVAR model of the US, the response of the relative price of durables to a monetary contraction is either flat or mildly positive. It significantly falls only if narrowly defined as the ratio between new-house and nondurables prices. These findings are rationalized via the estimation of a two-sector New-Keynesian (NK) models. Durables prices are estimated to be as sticky as nondurables, leading to a flat relative price response to a monetary shock. Conversely, house prices are estimated to be almost flexible. Such results survive several robustness checks and a three-sector extension of the NK model. These findings have implications for building two-sector NK models with durable and nondurable goods, and for the conduct of monetary policy.


Sectoral Labor Mobility and Optimal Monetary Policy

Sectoral Labor Mobility and Optimal Monetary Policy
Author: Alessandro Cantelmo
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 33
Release: 2017-03-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475584830

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In an estimated two-sector New-Keynesian model with durable and nondurable goods, an inverse relationship between sectoral labor mobility and the optimal weight the central bank should attach to durables inflation arises. The combination of nominal wage stickiness and limited labor mobility leads to a nonzero optimal weight for durables inflation even if durables prices were fully flexible. These results survive alternative calibrations and interestrate rules and point toward a non-negligible role of sectoral labor mobility for the conduct of monetary policy.


International Monetary Policy Analysis with Durable Goods

International Monetary Policy Analysis with Durable Goods
Author: Kang Koo Lee
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2010
Genre:
ISBN:

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The dissertation studies a model of an economy which produces and exports durable goods. It analyzes the optimal monetary policy for such a country. Generally, monetary policy has a bigger economic effect on durable goods relative to non-durable goods because durable goods can be stored and households get utility from the stock of durable goods. This dissertation shows that, in Nash equilibrium, the central bank of a durable goods producing country can control changes of the price level with smaller changes in the monetary policy instrument. In the cooperative equilibrium, the monetary authority of the country which imports non-durable goods and exports durable goods should raise the interest rate by more, relative to the Nash case, in response to a rise in foreign inflation. On the other hand, the monetary authority of the country which imports durable goods and exports non-durable goods should raise the interest rate by less than the other country.


The Transmission of Monetary Policy Through Redistributions and Durable Purchases

The Transmission of Monetary Policy Through Redistributions and Durable Purchases
Author: Vincent Sterk
Publisher:
Total Pages: 48
Release: 2015
Genre: Income distribution
ISBN:

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The central explanation for how monetary policy transmits to the real economy relies critically on nominal rigidities, which form the basis of the New Keynesian (NK) framework. This paper studies a different transmission mechanism that operates even in the absence of nominal rigidities. We show that in an OLG setting, standard open market operations (OMO) carried by central banks have important revaluation effects that alter the level and distribution of wealth and the incentives to work and save for retirement. Specifically, expansionary OMO lead households to front-load their purchases of durable goods and work and save more, thus generating a temporary boom in durables, followed by a bust. The mechanism can account for the empirical responses of key macroeconomic variables to monetary policy interventions. Moreover, the model implies that different monetary interventions (e.g., OMO versus helicopter drops) can have different qualitative effects on activity. The mechanism can thus complement the NK paradigm. We study an extension of the model incorporating labor market frictions.


Output Comovement and Inflation Dynamics in a Two-sector Model with Durable Goods

Output Comovement and Inflation Dynamics in a Two-sector Model with Durable Goods
Author: Tomiyuki Kitamura
Publisher:
Total Pages: 34
Release: 2016
Genre: Inflation (Finance)
ISBN:

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In a simple two-sector New Keynesian model, sticky prices generate a counterfactual negative comovement between the output of durable and nondurable goods following a monetary policy shock. We show that heterogeneous factor markets allow any combination of strictly positive price stickiness to generate positive output comovement. Even if the prices of durable goods are flexible, adding sticky information ensures that the output of both sectors moves in the same direction. Furthermore, we find that the combination of sticky information and heterogeneous factor markets produces hump-shaped responses in both sectoral output and inflation, as observed in a vector-autoregression analysis. In contrast to backward indexation to past inflation, which is often assumed in the literature, sticky information leads to a hump-shaped response in the inflation of flexibly priced goods. Finally, the estimated information stickiness through the minimum-distance estimation method suggests that information rigidity is stronger in residential investment than nondurable goods and services.