Models Of Scenario Building And Planning PDF Download
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Author | : A. Martelli |
Publisher | : Springer |
Total Pages | : 315 |
Release | : 2014-10-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1137293500 |
Download Models of Scenario Building and Planning Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Models of Scenario Building and Planning offers a unique and innovative exploration of the scenario approach. The book focuses on the analysis of the competitors' behavior; the analysis of risk and uncertainty; and the link between scenarios and strategies.
Author | : A. Martelli |
Publisher | : Springer |
Total Pages | : 509 |
Release | : 2014-10-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1137293500 |
Download Models of Scenario Building and Planning Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Models of Scenario Building and Planning offers a unique and innovative exploration of the scenario approach. The book focuses on the analysis of the competitors' behavior; the analysis of risk and uncertainty; and the link between scenarios and strategies.
Author | : Thomas J. Chermack |
Publisher | : Berrett-Koehler Publishers |
Total Pages | : 367 |
Release | : 2011-02-14 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1605099082 |
Download Scenario Planning in Organizations Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Scenario planning helps organization leaders, executives and decision-makers envision and develop strategies for multiple possible futures instead of just one. It enables organizations to become resilient and agile, carefully calibrating their responses and adapting quickly to new circumstances in a fast-changing environment. This book is the most comprehensive treatment to date of the scenario planning process. Unlike existing books it offers a thorough discussion of the evolution and theoretical foundations of scenario planning, examining its connections to learning theory, decision-making theory, mental model theory and more. Chermack emphasizes that scenario planning is far more than a simple set of steps to follow, as so many other practice-focused books do—he addresses the subtleties and complexities of planning. And, unique among scenario planning books, he deals not just with developing different scenarios but also with applying scenarios once they have been constructed, and assessing the impact of the scenario project. Using a case study based on a real scenario project Chermack lays out a comprehensive five phase scenario planning system—project preparation, scenario exploration, scenario development, scenario implementation and project assessment. Each chapter describes specific techniques for gathering and analyzing relevant data with a particular emphasis on the use of workshops to encourage dialogue. He offers a scenario project worksheet to help readers structure and manage scenario projects as well as avoid common pitfalls, and a discussion, based in recent neurological findings, of how scenario planning helps people to overcome barriers to creative thinking. “This book is about action and performance. Compelling and thoroughly researched, it offers every business executive a playbook for including uncertainty in the organizational change process and driving competitive advantage”. -- Tim Reynolds, Vice President, Talent and Organization Effectiveness, Whirlpool Corporation
Author | : Adam Kahane |
Publisher | : Berrett-Koehler Publishers |
Total Pages | : 150 |
Release | : 2012-10-15 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1609944909 |
Download Transformative Scenario Planning Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Transformative scenario planning is a way that people can work together with others to transform themselves and their relationships with one another and their systems. In this simple and practical book, Kahane explains this methodology and how to use it.
Author | : Burkhard Schwenker |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 214 |
Release | : 2013-12-05 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 3658028750 |
Download Scenario-based Strategic Planning Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
In a world characterized by increasing complexity and volatility, managers must be able to flexibly adapt their strategies to changing environmental conditions. Traditional strategic management frameworks often fail in this context. Therefore, we present "scenario-based strategic planning" as a framework for strategic management in an uncertain world. Previous approaches to scenario planning were complex and focused on the long term, but the approach developed by Roland Berger and the Center for Strategy and Scenario Planning at HHL Leipzig Graduate School of Management is different. By designing appropriate tools and integrating scenario planning into strategic planning, we have made our approach less complex and easier for firms to apply. We illustrate the approach with examples from different industries.
Author | : Rafael Ramírez |
Publisher | : Oxford University Press |
Total Pages | : 275 |
Release | : 2016 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0198745699 |
Download Strategic Reframing Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This book provides clear information and guidance on how to do scenario planning to support strategy and public policy. The book describes the Oxford Scenario Planning Approach (OSPA), an intellectually rigorous and practical methodolgy.
Author | : Jim Holway |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 0 |
Release | : 2012 |
Genre | : Business planning |
ISBN | : 9781558442313 |
Download Opening Access to Scenario Planning Tools Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
In the face of increasing complexity and uncertainty, planners, public officials, and community residents need new tools to anticipate and shape the future. Opening Access to Scenario Planning Tools examines the current state of scenario planning and scenario planning tools that can help communities and regions prepare for that future through a variety of visioning, land use, transportation, and other planning efforts. A unique opportunity presents itself to use the best and latest technology to help citizens visualize the future of their cities and regions, so that they might chart a course for sustainable growth. Decisions about the future are often controversial due to competing economic interests, different cultural values, and divergent views about property rights and the role of government. Broader and more effective civic engagement is needed to ensure community support for decisions about development and other land-related policies, and public investments. The traditional predict-and-plan paradigm is inadequate to address all of these challenges. The authors identify a clear need to develop and implement planning tools and processes that foster anticipation and adaptation. Three concepts will be critical to the scenario planning and tool-building process: collaboration, capacity building, and creation of an open environment for engagement. Collaborative problem solving facilitates resolution of interrelated issues that cannot be resolved by one organization alone. Capacity building is needed to enable individuals and organizations to apply scenario planning methods and tools effectively to their specific planning concerns. An open environment for information sharing and education will help accelerate the use and improvement of scenario planning tools in multiple settings. The emergence of new and improved scenario planning tools over the last 10 years offers promise that the use of scenario planning can increase and that the goal of providing open access to the full potential of scenario planning tools is within reach. This report recommends seven immediate actions that could be implemented quickly to facilitate this goal. A group of tool developers, planners, and other users convened by the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy and the Sonoran Institute, including the co-authors of this report, are already working to advance these efforts.
Author | : Rosanna Fornasiero |
Publisher | : Springer Nature |
Total Pages | : 298 |
Release | : 2020-12-31 |
Genre | : Technology & Engineering |
ISBN | : 3030635058 |
Download Next Generation Supply Chains Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This open access book explores supply chains strategies to help companies face challenges such as societal emergency, digitalization, climate changes and scarcity of resources. The book identifies industrial scenarios for the next decade based on the analysis of trends at social, economic, environmental technological and political level, and examines how they may impact on supply chain processes and how to design next generation supply chains to answer these challenges. By mapping enabling technologies for supply chain innovation, the book proposes a roadmap for the full implementation of the supply chain strategies based on the integration of production and logistics processes. Case studies from process industry, discrete manufacturing, distribution and logistics, as well as ICT providers are provided, and policy recommendations are put forward to support companies in this transformative process.
Author | : Thomas J. Chermack |
Publisher | : Berrett-Koehler Publishers |
Total Pages | : 241 |
Release | : 2022-02 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1523092890 |
Download Using Scenarios Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This is the first book to offer detailed guidance on how scenarios can be used to help organizations make their toughest decisions in a world of ever-escalating crisis and opportunity. To reap the full benefits of scenarios, you have to be able to apply them in the real world. This groundbreaking book goes beyond the theoretical to clearly explain different ways scenarios can be used in business decision-making—from strategic planning and financial modeling to crisis response. Connecting scenarios to strategy and action can have many benefits, including the ability to react quickly, anticipate major changes in the environment, and identify major opportunities. Thomas Chermack, a top expert on scenario planning, offers seven specific ways organizations can use scenarios and provides a wide variety of examples, along with proven processes, exercises, and workshops that have been used successfully in organizations across industries and countries for more than fifteen years.
Author | : Birgit Boldt |
Publisher | : GRIN Verlag |
Total Pages | : 24 |
Release | : 2004-01-10 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 3638243982 |
Download Scenario Development Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Seminar paper from the year 2003 in the subject Business economics - Offline Marketing and Online Marketing, grade: Good, Kiel University of Applied Sciences (Economics), course: Strategic Marketing, language: English, abstract: There are many different methodologies for assessing the future environment of an enterprise. But it is quite difficult to anticipate the future development successfully. Three examples illustrate this problem: • “In 1943 Thomas Watson, who was then chairman of IBM, forecast a world market for about five computers. • In 1970, Ken Olsen, founder of Digital Equipment Corporation, said no one needed to have a personal computer at home. (Of interest is that Ken ́s company was purchased by Compaq - one of the leaders in home computers). • In 1981, Microsoft ́s founder Bill Gates said that 640K would be enough memory for anyone. (Microsoft was also slow to take advantage of the early Internet - releasing Internet Explorer in August 1995, well after Netscape Navigator, which had taken a dominant lead in the early browser market.)” These examples show that it can have disadvantageous consequences to rely on one apparently safe forecast. Scenario planning is a technique that allows to operate in planning with more than one possible future. This treatise describes the very interesting methodology of scenario development and demonstrates how to use it in an eight step procedure. Concluding, it shows how the oil company Shell had a remarkable success in the 1970s by using scenario planning and gives an assessment of this remarkable technique.