Long Waves In Economic Development PDF Download
Are you looking for read ebook online? Search for your book and save it on your Kindle device, PC, phones or tablets. Download Long Waves In Economic Development PDF full book. Access full book title Long Waves In Economic Development.
Author | : Jan Reijnders |
Publisher | : Edward Elgar Publishing |
Total Pages | : 328 |
Release | : 1990 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : |
Download Long Waves in Economic Development Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Presenting the history of long wave analysis from its origins to the present day and stressing its intimate relationship with the development of business cycle theory, this acclaimed study offers a thorough critique of conventional long wave analysis.
Author | : Brian J. L. Berry |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 264 |
Release | : 1991 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : |
Download Long-Wave Rhythms in Economic Development and Political Behavior Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Is economic development a "random walk" or do underlying rhythms and cycles make it possible to anticipate long-term trends? Many social scientists have rejected the notion of long-term periodicity in economic trends. Now, after extensive analysis of economic data, distinguished scholar Brian J. L. Berry has found new evidence for the reliability—and the value—of "long-wave" theory. In Long-Wave Rhythms in Economic Development and Political Bahavior, Berry argues that the synchronization of long waves and growth cycles is "more than a figment of some overactive imagination". Presenting his findings graphically, he argues that there is persuasive evidence of the existence of "deterministic chaos". Applying his analysis of rates of change to the economic phenomena of prices (Kondratiev cycles) and growth (Kuznets cycles), he discovers that pairs of 25-year growth cycles are embedded within 55-year long waves. As a result, Berry concludes, two different kinds of growth cycles— one inflationary and the other deflationary—form a complementary pattern of alternating crises with stagflation and depression. Berry also explores the "shifting sand" of cyclical phenomena in the stock market, voting behavior, the incidence of wars, the rise and fall of great powers, and mass psychologies. While avoiding dogmatic conclusions, he offers a provocative discussion of the long-wave context of social phenomena. As he examines the American economy in long-wave context, Berry optimistically asserts that the "bust" is not inevitable. Technological advances in information transfer enable leaders and organizations to anticipate and alleviate the adverse effects of economic cycles. "Like it or not," he writes, "our lives appear to be embedded in a higher order of complexity: collectively, we are a societal organism that displays self-regulating fluctuations around a path of growth."
Author | : J.J. Van Duijn |
Publisher | : Routledge |
Total Pages | : 254 |
Release | : 2013-11-05 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1136599878 |
Download The Long Wave in Economic Life Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Of all fluctuations in economic activity, the long wave or Kondratieff cycle is easily the most puzzling and least understood one. Does it really exist, and if so, is it only a cycle in prices or a cycle in economic activity at large? What causes it, and has it been confined to Europe or does it affect the world economy as a whole? These questions, which seemed of little relevance in the prosperous years of the postwar growth era, have gained new importance since 1973. With the downturn of the long wave, interest in it has enjoyed a revival, as it did in the 1930s. A great number of publications on the long wave have appeared since 1973, many of which have added to our insight of what causes the recurrent alternations of growth acceleration and retardation. This book is the first in the English language in which all important long wave theories, old as well as recent, are brought together. It focuses on the long wave as an international phenomenon, affecting all industrialised countries. It contains new theory as well as empirical evidence and in the final section suggests a number of policy recommendations to generate innovation. This book offers an interpretation of long-term economic development different from those commonly found in the literature. It will be of interest to students and scholars of the economics of growth and change, as well as to economic historians and policy-makers. This book was first published in 1983.
Author | : Nikolai D. Kondratieff |
Publisher | : Ravenio Books |
Total Pages | : 32 |
Release | : |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : |
Download The Long Waves in Economic Life Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
THE idea that the dynamics of economic life in the capitalistic social order is not of a simple and linear but rather of a complex and cyclical character is nowadays generally recognized. Science, however, has fallen far short of clarifying the nature and the types of these cyclical, wave-like movements. When in economics we speak of cycles, we generally mean seven to eleven year business cycles. But these seven to eleven year movements are obviously not the only type of economic cycles. The dynamics of economic life is in reality more complicated. In addition to the above-mentioned cycles, which we shall agree to call “intermediate,” the existence of still shorter waves of about three and one-half years’ length has recently been shown to be probable. But that is not all. There is, indeed, reason to assume the existence of long waves of an average length of about 50 years in the capitalistic economy, a fact which still further complicates the problem of economic dynamics.
Author | : J.J. Van Duijn |
Publisher | : Routledge |
Total Pages | : 235 |
Release | : 2013-11-05 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1136599940 |
Download The Long Wave in Economic Life Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Of all fluctuations in economic activity, the long wave or Kondratieff cycle is easily the most puzzling and least understood one. Does it really exist, and if so, is it only a cycle in prices or a cycle in economic activity at large? What causes it, and has it been confined to Europe or does it affect the world economy as a whole? These questions, which seemed of little relevance in the prosperous years of the postwar growth era, have gained new importance since 1973. With the downturn of the long wave, interest in it has enjoyed a revival, as it did in the 1930s. A great number of publications on the long wave have appeared since 1973, many of which have added to our insight of what causes the recurrent alternations of growth acceleration and retardation. This book is the first in the English language in which all important long wave theories, old as well as recent, are brought together. It focuses on the long wave as an international phenomenon, affecting all industrialised countries. It contains new theory as well as empirical evidence and in the final section suggests a number of policy recommendations to generate innovation. This book offers an interpretation of long-term economic development different from those commonly found in the literature. It will be of interest to students and scholars of the economics of growth and change, as well as to economic historians and policy-makers. This book was first published in 1983.
Author | : Christopher Freeman |
Publisher | : Westport, Conn. : Greenwood Press |
Total Pages | : 240 |
Release | : 1982 |
Genre | : Economic development |
ISBN | : |
Download Unemployment and Technical Innovation Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Study on interrelations among unemployment, innovations, business cycles and economic development - discusses the theoretical background, clustering of inventions and innovations (partic. Electronics industry), historical and current trends (1870-1980) and long term fluctuations in research and development, investment, economic growth, economic structure and employment creation, etc.; stresses the need for well-conceived economic policies to simultaneously promote technological change and combat unemployment and inflation. Graphs and references.
Author | : Alfred Klienknecht |
Publisher | : Springer |
Total Pages | : 355 |
Release | : 1993-02-12 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1349224502 |
Download New Findings in Long-Wave Research Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This book presents new methods for the analysis of time series and the identification of long waves. In Part One it is shown that new time series analyses confirm the existence of Kondratieff long waves in economic growth for the 19th and 20th centuries. Part Two presents evidence on long waves in aggregate profit rates for selected major industrialized countries. Part Three covers theoretical discussions and attempts at modeling social, economic and technological factors in long waves.
Author | : Ernest Mandel |
Publisher | : Verso |
Total Pages | : 188 |
Release | : 1995-06-17 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9781859840375 |
Download Long Waves of Capitalist Development Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Provides an in-depth explanation of the underlying determinants of trade cycles and the essential political and other extraeconommic factors that are required for the timing of the all-important upswing. Ernest Mandel is the author of "The Formation of the
Author | : Николай Дмитриевич Кондратьев |
Publisher | : [New York] : Richardson & Snyder |
Total Pages | : 160 |
Release | : 1984 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : |
Download The Long Wave Cycle Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Author | : Tibor Vasko |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 439 |
Release | : 2013-03-09 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 3662103516 |
Download The Long-Wave Debate Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
The proceedings reflect the state-of-the-art of long-term fluctuations in economic growth as well as discussing promising areas of research in this field. The unique combination of participants from East and West (including the People's Republic of China) is a guarantee for wide coverage and unusual insights. The problems treated range from the identification of long-term fluctuations in developing and developed countries in both East and West to their relationship to important economic variables (profit, prices, money supply). Particular attention is focused on structural changes and the role of technological development in the light of the long-term fluctuation concept. It is interesting to follow the treatment of this issue by scientists with different orientations. The role of financial and monetary variables is also analyzed by leading researchers in the field.