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Long Run Trends and Exchange Rates in Latin America

Long Run Trends and Exchange Rates in Latin America
Author: Isabel Ruiz
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2008
Genre:
ISBN:

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Using daily data for the 1994-2005 period, this paper investigates the linkages and long-run trends among 14 Latin American countries. Specifically, we employ cointegration analysis to test for common stochastic trends across countries, among areas and over different periods of time. The evidence suggests a pattern of integration among Latin American countries and across some subregional areas (i.e. Mercosur). In particular, most countries have a long-run equilibrium relationship with the Brazilian real.


Monetary Policy Strategies for Latin America

Monetary Policy Strategies for Latin America
Author: Frederic S. Mishkin
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 38
Release: 2000
Genre: Anti-inflationary policies
ISBN:

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Instead of focusing the debate about the conduct of monetary policy on whether the nominal exchange rate should be fixed or flexible, the focus should be on whether the monetary policy regime appropriately constrains discretion in monetary policymaking. Three frameworks deserve serious discussion as possible long-run strategies for monetary policy in Latin America. A hard exchange-rate peg, monetary targeting, and inflation targeting.


Development Macroeconomics in Latin America and Mexico

Development Macroeconomics in Latin America and Mexico
Author: J. Ros
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 209
Release: 2015-04-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 113746366X

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Development Macroeconomics in Latin America and Mexico brings the attention of academics, practitioners, and policy makers to the neglected macroeconomic factors that can account for both the unsatisfactory average growth performance of Latin American and the diversity around this average.


Black and Official Exchange Rates in Latin America

Black and Official Exchange Rates in Latin America
Author: Panayiotis F. Diamandis
Publisher:
Total Pages: 30
Release: 2001
Genre:
ISBN:

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This paper analyzes the long-run dynamic relationship between black and official exchange rates for four Latin America namely, Argentina, Brazil, Chile and Mexico over the period 1971-1993. We apply Johansen's (1992a, 1995, 1997) recent methodology to the joint hypothesis of cointegration rank and the presence of I(2) and I(1) components along with the estimation of the roots of the companion matrix (Juselius, 1995) and we find evidence of one long-run relationship between the black and official exchange rate, for any country. We also show that the long-run proportionality hypothesis between the two exchange rates could not be rejected, which implies the existence of a constant long-run black-market premium, for all cases. When the premium deviates from its long-run value, the black-market rate adjusts to eliminate the deviation and the speed of adjustment is quite large. Further tests suggest that there is weak-form informational inefficiency in the black markets, which may be due, in part, to the transaction costs and the tight administrative controls over foreign currency applied in these Latin American countries. The results have implications for managing exchange-rate risk and for possible arbitrage opportunities in these markets.


Modern Exchange-rate Regimes, Stabilisation Programmes and Co-ordination of Macroeconomic Policies

Modern Exchange-rate Regimes, Stabilisation Programmes and Co-ordination of Macroeconomic Policies
Author: Maria Luiza Falcão Silva
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 347
Release: 2018-08-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0429837208

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Published in 1999, this work analyzes the phenomenon of macroeconomic adjustment, with special emphasis on selected Latin American countries facing stabilization programmes. It provides a historical description of the origins, functioning and collapse of exchange-rate regimes from the international classical gold standard period to modern arrangements. The author supports the argument that systemic asymmetries in the worldwide adjustment mechanism are inherent in the international monetary system. The recent theoretical literature dealing with the rules vs discretion debate and its interaction with the credibility issue is reviewed. This topic is intrinsically related to the dispute over the appropriate role of exchange-rate anchors in disinflation programmes. Against a background of academic dispute between advocates of exchange-rate prescriptions and monetary conceptions, the contrasting views of different theorists regarding the choice of exchange rate regimes are presented and assessed. Finally, a comparative analysis of recent experiments in Argentina, Brazil, Chile and Mexico with exchange-rate based disinflation stabilization programmes is undertaken. The problems that have arisen while establishing new institutional arrangements, such as new currency or a policy rule for monetary base creation, are examined.


The Oxford Handbook of Latin American Economics

The Oxford Handbook of Latin American Economics
Author: José Antonio Ocampo
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Total Pages: 960
Release: 2011-07-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0191618012

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Latin America has been central to the main debates on development economics, ranging from the relationships between income inequality and economic growth, and the importance of geography versus institutions in development, to debates on the effects of trade, trade openness and protection on growth and income distribution. Despite increasing interest in the region there are few English language books on Latin American economics. This Handbook, organized into five parts, aims to fill this significant gap. Part I looks at long-term issues, including the institutional roots of Latin America's underdevelopment, the political economy of policy making, the rise, decline and re-emergence of alternative paradigms, and the environmental sustainability of the development pattern. Part II considers macroeconomic topics, including the management of capital account booms and busts, the evolution and performance of exchange rate regimes, the advances and challenges of monetary policies and financial development, and the major fiscal policy issues confronting the region, including a comparison of Latin American fiscal accounts with those of the OECD. Part III analyzes the region's economies in global context, particularly the role of Latin America in the world trade system and the effects of dependence on natural resources (characteristic of many countries of the region) on growth and human development. It reviews the trends of foreign direct investment, the opportunities and challenges raised by the emergence of China as buyer of the region's commodities and competitor in the world market, and the transformation of the Latin America from a region of immigration to one of massive emigration. Part IV deals with matters of productive development. At the aggregate level it analyzes issues of technological catching up and divergence as well as different perspectives on the poor productivity and growth performance of the region during recent decades. At the sectoral level, it looks at agricultural policies and performance, the problems and prospects of the energy sector, and the effects on growth of lagging infrastructure development. Part V looks at the social dimensions of development; it analyzes the evolution of income inequality, poverty, and economic insecurity in the region, the evolution of labor markets and the performance of the educational sector, as well as the evolution of social assistance programs and social security reforms in the region. The contributors are leading researchers that belong to different schools of economic thought and most come from countries throughout Latin America, representing a range of views and recognising the diversity of the region. This Handbook is a significant contribution to the field, and will be of interest to academics, graduate students and policy makers interested in economics, political economy, and public policy in Latin America and other developing economies.


Latin American Experiments in Neoconservative Economics

Latin American Experiments in Neoconservative Economics
Author: Alejandro Foxley
Publisher: University of California Press
Total Pages: 230
Release: 2021-05-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0520369661

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This title is part of UC Press's Voices Revived program, which commemorates University of California Press’s mission to seek out and cultivate the brightest minds and give them voice, reach, and impact. Drawing on a backlist dating to 1893, Voices Revived makes high-quality, peer-reviewed scholarship accessible once again using print-on-demand technology. This title was originally published in 1983.


Volatile Capital Flows

Volatile Capital Flows
Author: Ricardo Hausmann
Publisher: IDB
Total Pages: 114
Release: 1996
Genre: Capital market
ISBN: 1886938040

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Latin America and the World Economy Since 1800

Latin America and the World Economy Since 1800
Author: John H. Coatsworth
Publisher: Harvard University Press
Total Pages: 508
Release: 1998
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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The Latin American economies, once among the most productive in the world, were already falling behind the advancing economies of the North Atlantic by 1800. A century later, nearly all were "underdeveloped." In the twentieth century, most grew respectably but none managed to catch up. What explains these trends? How important were Latin America's changing relations with the evolving global economy? What hypotheses should be rejected or modified?


Currency Substitution

Currency Substitution
Author: Victor A. Canto
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 216
Release: 1987-03-31
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

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This work grew out of a series of investigations begun by the authors in 1980 and 1981. Specifically the authors pursued two lines of inquiry. First, to advance the state of the theoretical lit­ erature to better explain the crises of liberalization which seemed to be afflicting the third world in general and Latin America in particular. To do this, several different kinds of models were in­ vestigated and adapted. These are presented in Chapters 2, 3 and 5. Secondly an analysis of the empirical evidence was conducted in order to gain insight into the processes that were thought to be occurring and the theoretical models that were being developed. Some of this work appears in Chapters 3, 4, 5 and 6. Other work by the authors on these issues has been published elsewhere and is referenced herein. There are a great many people whose work and whose com­ ments have influenced this work. We would like to especially thank Guillermo Calvo, Michael Connolly, Sebastian Edwards, Roque Fernandez, Michael Darby, Robert Clower, Neil Wallace, John Kareken, Paul McNelis, Jeffrey Nugent, Jaime Marquez, Lee Ohanian, Leroy Laney, Jorge Braga de Macedo, Dale Henderson, vii Matthew Canzoneiri, Arthur Laffer, Marc Miles, and George Von Furstenberg whose ideas and comments gave rise to much of our work. We would like to thank Suh Lee for his assistance with the computations in Chapter 5.