Long Run & Cyclical Dynamics in the U.S. Stock Market
| Author | : |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : |
| Release | : 2007 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : |
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Long Run and Cyclical Dynamics in the US Stock Market
| Author | : Guglielmo Maria Caporale |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 44 |
| Release | : 2007 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : |
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Hysteresis and Business Cycles
| Author | : Ms.Valerie Cerra |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 50 |
| Release | : 2020-05-29 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1513536990 |
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Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.
Stock Cycles
| Author | : Michael A. Alexander |
| Publisher | : iUniverse |
| Total Pages | : 216 |
| Release | : 2000-10-12 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1462051219 |
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"Important reading for serious investors."-InvestorsInsight.com For most Americans, a 401k plan is their first exposure to investing. Many of us are relying on the stock market to provide for us in our retirement yet at the same time, most of us are afraid of the stock market. It's a valid concern. How can something so important to our financial future be so completely unpredictable? When Michael Alexander first started investing in the stock market, he noticed that few analysts seemed to have much knowledge of what the market has done in the past. While no one can give precise answers to questions about the future of the market and be right all the time, Alexander feels that it's possible to gain an understanding of the future of the stock market by studying its past. Analyzing years of historical data for patterns of behavior that might repeat in the future, Alexander provides strong statistical evidence for a cyclical pattern in the stock market. These Stock Cycles show that long periods of poor stock returns have always followed long periods of good returns. Are we in for good times or is the party over?
Advances in Financial Planning and Forecasting (New Series) Vol．5
| Author | : Cheng F. Lee |
| Publisher | : Center for PBBEFR & Airiti Press |
| Total Pages | : |
| Release | : 2012-12-01 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9866286606 |
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Advances in Financial Planning and Froecasting (New Series) is an annual publication designed to disseminate developments in the area of financial analysis, planning, and forecasting. The publication is a froum for statistical, quantitative, and accounting analyses of issues in financial analysis and planning in terms of finance, accounting, and economic data.
Common Stocks and Business Cycles
| Author | : Edgar Lawrence Smith |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 232 |
| Release | : 1959 |
| Genre | : Business cycles |
| ISBN | : |
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Recent Econometric Techniques for Macroeconomic and Financial Data
| Author | : Gilles Dufrénot |
| Publisher | : Springer Nature |
| Total Pages | : 387 |
| Release | : 2020-11-21 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 3030542521 |
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The book provides a comprehensive overview of the latest econometric methods for studying the dynamics of macroeconomic and financial time series. It examines alternative methodological approaches and concepts, including quantile spectra and co-spectra, and explores topics such as non-linear and non-stationary behavior, stochastic volatility models, and the econometrics of commodity markets and globalization. Furthermore, it demonstrates the application of recent techniques in various fields: in the frequency domain, in the analysis of persistent dynamics, in the estimation of state space models and new classes of volatility models. The book is divided into two parts: The first part applies econometrics to the field of macroeconomics, discussing trend/cycle decomposition, growth analysis, monetary policy and international trade. The second part applies econometrics to a wide range of topics in financial economics, including price dynamics in equity, commodity and foreign exchange markets and portfolio analysis. The book is essential reading for scholars, students, and practitioners in government and financial institutions interested in applying recent econometric time series methods to financial and economic data.
Housing Markets in Europe
| Author | : Olivier de Bandt |
| Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
| Total Pages | : 416 |
| Release | : 2010-10-14 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 3642153402 |
Download Housing Markets in Europe Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
During the recession in the years 2008-2009, the most severe for mature economies in the post-war period, housing markets were often mentioned as having a special responsibility. The objective of this book is to shed light on the cyclical behaviour of the housing markets, its fundamental determinants in terms of supply and demand characteristics, and its relationship with the overall business cycle. The co-movements of house prices across countries are also considered, as well as the channel of transmission of house price changes to the rest of the economy. Particular attention is paid to the effects on private consumption, through possible wealth effects. The book is a compilation of original papers produced by economists and researchers from the four main national central banks in the euro area, also with the participation of leading academics.
Push Factors and Capital Flows to Emerging Markets
| Author | : Mr.Eugenio Cerutti |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 43 |
| Release | : 2015-06-22 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1513526634 |
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This paper analyzes the behavior of gross capital inflows across 34 emerging markets (EMs). We first confirm that aggregate inflows to EMs co-move considerably. We then report three findings: (i) the aggregate co-movement conceals significant heterogeneity across asset types as only bank-related and portfolio bond and equity inflows do co-move; (ii) while global push factors in advanced economies mostly explain the common dynamics, their relative importance varies by type of flow; and (iii) the sensitivity to common dynamics varies significantly across borrower countries, with market structure characteristics (especially the composition of the foreign investor base and the level of liquidity) rather than borrower country’s institutional fundamentals strongly affecting sensitivities. Countries relying more on international funds and global banks are found to be more sensitive to push factors. Our findings suggest that EMs need to closely monitor their lenders and investors to assess their inflow exposures to global push factors.
Mathematical Economics and the Dynamics of Capitalism
| Author | : Peter Flaschel |
| Publisher | : Routledge |
| Total Pages | : 310 |
| Release | : 2016-04-01 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 113405758X |
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Richard Goodwin was a pioneer in the use of mathematical tools to understand the dynamics of capitalist economies. This book contains contributions which focus on the rigorous extension of Goodwin’s modelling of macro-dynamics and the micro-structures underlying them, and also research with a wider perspective related to Goodwin’s vision of an integrated Marx-Keynes-Schumpeter (M-K-S) system of the dynamics of capitalist economies. The variety of approaches in this book range from detailed business cycle analyses to Schumpeterian processes of creative destruction. They include thorough theoretical analysis of delayed dynamical systems. empirical studies of Goodwin’s classical growth cycle model and the integration of Keynesian aspects of effective demand and of financial mechanisms that impact the real macro-economy. micro-economic structural analysis. expectations driven aspects of micro-founded business cycle modelling
