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Long Cycles in World Politics

Long Cycles in World Politics
Author: George Modelski
Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan
Total Pages: 244
Release: 2014-01-14
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 9781349091539

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Long Cycles in World Politics

Long Cycles in World Politics
Author: George Modelski
Publisher:
Total Pages: 264
Release: 1987
Genre: Cycles
ISBN:

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Long Cycles in World Politics

Long Cycles in World Politics
Author: George Modelski
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 250
Release: 1987-06-18
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1349091510

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Seapower in Global Politics, 1494–1993

Seapower in Global Politics, 1494–1993
Author: George Modelski
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 391
Release: 1988-06-18
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1349091545

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Leading Sectors and World Powers

Leading Sectors and World Powers
Author: George Modelski
Publisher: Univ of South Carolina Press
Total Pages: 290
Release: 1996
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781570030543

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The idea that political and economic power moves in coordinated cycles has long intrigued political scientists and political economists, for if a pattern exists in the rise and fall of international political power, a model explaining this pattern gains predictive qualities. In Leading Sectors and World Powers, George Modelski and William R. Thompson venture beyond previous attempts to explain why major powers rise, fall, and fight about their changing status to establish an explicit connection between war, economic innovation, and world leadership. They argue that surges in economic innovation, which in turn are tied to global war, determine leadership in the global system. Modelski and Thompson base their theory on the coordination of long cycles (phases of world order and decay punctuated by intensive bouts of global war) and K-waves (cycles delineating the wax and wane of leading industrial sectors). They contend that K-waves appear in paired sets correlated to long-cycle shifts in political power. Modelski and Thompson conclude by discussing the nature and timing of the next K-wave/long cycle peak, commenting on the relevance of it for U.S. industrial policy and speculating on the possibility of evolving away from this pattern in the near future.


Power Concentration in World Politics

Power Concentration in World Politics
Author: William R. Thompson
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 245
Release: 2020-06-10
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 3030474224

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This book discusses the role of space, time and cyclical behavior in world politics. More specifically, the political-economic role of lead economies – the world’s most innovative economies for finite periods of time – in world politics. These represent unusual concentrations of new technologies, energy sources, and military capabilities of global reach that play disproportional roles in the conduct of international affairs and the provision of limited governance at the most macro level. They also possess close links to economic growth and intense conflict. The book describes the economic, military and political processes behind the systemic leadership of a state at the international level. It also highlights the economic preconditions of systemic leadership, such as economic monopoly of new technologies and energy, which underlie the system leader’s material advantage over others. Analyzing lead economies and the evolution of power over a number of centuries, the author demonstrates how disruptions wrought by the emergence of new technologies and energy sources are partly responsible for global conflicts. This book appeals to international relations scholars as well as anyone interested in the political economy of systemic leadership, growth, and conflict in world politics.


The Future of Global Conflict

The Future of Global Conflict
Author: Volker Bornschier
Publisher: SAGE
Total Pages: 328
Release: 1999-07-06
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 9780761958666

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This critical analysis of long-term trends and recent developments in world systems examines such questions as: Will the cycles of boom and bust, peace and war of the past 500 years continue? Or have either long-term trends or recent changes so profoundly altered the structure of world systems that these cycles will end or take on a less destructive form? The noted international contributors to this volume examine the question of future dominance of the core global systems and include comprehensive discussions of the economic, political and military role of the Pacific Rim, Japan and the former Soviet Union.


Secular Cycles

Secular Cycles
Author: Peter Turchin
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 361
Release: 2009-08-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0691136963

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"Secular Cycles elaborates and expands upon the demographic-structural theory first advanced by Jack Goldstone, which provides an explanation of long-term oscillations. This book tests that theory's specific and quantitative predictions by tracing the dynamics of population numbers, prices and real wages, elite numbers and incomes, state finances, and sociopolitical instability. Turchin and Nefedov study societies in England, France, and Russia during the medieval and early modern periods, and look back at the Roman Republic and Empire. Incorporating theoretical and quantitative history, the authors examine a specific model of historical change and, more generally, investigate the utility of the dynamical systems approach in historical applications."--BOOK JACKET.


Power, Order, and Change in World Politics

Power, Order, and Change in World Politics
Author: G. John Ikenberry
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 307
Release: 2014-08-21
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1107072743

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This volume brings together leading scholars to analyse the central issues of power, order, and change in world politics.


Systems in Crisis

Systems in Crisis
Author: Charles F. Doran
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 316
Release: 1991-07-26
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 0521401852

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Uncertainty is the watchword of contemporary world politics. Monumental changes are occurring throughout the international system and statespeople are wrestling with peaceful solutions to the transformation in relative power of the USA, Soviet Union and China, Japan and in Europe. In this book, Charles Doran proposes a managed solution to peaceful change. He presents a bold, original and wide-ranging analysis of the present balance of power, of future prospects for the international system and of the problems involved in this transformation. Professor Doran demonstrates why such change has often been accompanied by world war, providing new insights into the causes of the First World War. But, he argues, systems change can be both peaceful and secure. Developing a theory of the power cycle, the author reveals the structural bounds on statecraft and shows how the tides of history can suddenly and unexpectedly shift against the state.