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Lee-Carter Goes Risk-Neutral

Lee-Carter Goes Risk-Neutral
Author: Enrico Biffis
Publisher:
Total Pages: 19
Release: 2008
Genre:
ISBN:

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We consider a class of stochastic intensities of mortality that generalizes the model proposed by Lee and Carter (1992), allowing general diffusions to drive the mortality time-trend. We analyze the stability of such class of intensities under measure changes and show how a risk-neutral version of the generalized Lee-Carter model can be employed for fair valuation purposes. We provide an example of model calibration based on the Italian annuity market.


Modelling Longevity Dynamics for Pensions and Annuity Business

Modelling Longevity Dynamics for Pensions and Annuity Business
Author: Ermanno Pitacco
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Total Pages: 416
Release: 2009-01-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0191609420

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Mortality improvements, uncertainty in future mortality trends and the relevant impact on life annuities and pension plans constitute important topics in the field of actuarial mathematics and life insurance techniques. In particular, actuarial calculations concerning pensions, life annuities and other living benefits (provided, for example, by long-term care insurance products and whole life sickness covers) are based on survival probabilities which necessarily extend over a long time horizon. In order to avoid underestimation of the related liabilities, the insurance company (or the pension plan) must adopt an appropriate forecast of future mortality. Great attention is currently being devoted to the management of life annuity portfolios, both from a theoretical and a practical point of view, because of the growing importance of annuity benefits paid by private pension schemes. In particular, the progressive shift from defined benefit to defined contribution pension schemes has increased the interest in life annuities with a guaranteed annual amount. This book provides a comprehensive and detailed description of methods for projecting mortality, and an extensive introduction to some important issues concerning longevity risk in the area of life annuities and pension benefits. It relies on research work carried out by the authors, as well as on a wide teaching experience and in CPD (Continuing Professional Development) initiatives. The following topics are dealt with: life annuities in the framework of post-retirement income strategies; the basic mortality model; recent mortality trends that have been experienced; general features of projection models; discussion of stochastic projection models, with numerical illustrations; measuring and managing longevity risk.


Pension Fund Risk Management

Pension Fund Risk Management
Author: Marco Micocci
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 766
Release: 2010-01-25
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1439817545

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As pension fund systems decrease and dependency ratios increase, risk management is becoming more complex in public and private pension plans. Pension Fund Risk Management: Financial and Actuarial Modeling sheds new light on the current state of pension fund risk management and provides new technical tools for addressing pension risk from an integr


Issues in Insurance and Risk Management: 2011 Edition

Issues in Insurance and Risk Management: 2011 Edition
Author:
Publisher: ScholarlyEditions
Total Pages: 326
Release: 2012-01-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1464966958

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Issues in Insurance and Risk Management / 2011 Edition is a ScholarlyEditions™ eBook that delivers timely, authoritative, and comprehensive information about Insurance and Risk Management. The editors have built Issues in Insurance and Risk Management: 2011 Edition on the vast information databases of ScholarlyNews.™ You can expect the information about Insurance and Risk Management in this eBook to be deeper than what you can access anywhere else, as well as consistently reliable, authoritative, informed, and relevant. The content of Issues in Insurance and Risk Management: 2011 Edition has been produced by the world’s leading scientists, engineers, analysts, research institutions, and companies. All of the content is from peer-reviewed sources, and all of it is written, assembled, and edited by the editors at ScholarlyEditions™ and available exclusively from us. You now have a source you can cite with authority, confidence, and credibility. More information is available at http://www.ScholarlyEditions.com/.


Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment

Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment
Author:
Publisher: Wiley
Total Pages: 516
Release: 2008-09-02
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN:

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Leading the way in this field, the Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment is the first publication to offer a modern, comprehensive and in-depth resource to the huge variety of disciplines involved. A truly international work, its coverage ranges across risk issues pertinent to life scientists, engineers, policy makers, healthcare professionals, the finance industry, the military and practising statisticians. Drawing on the expertise of world-renowned authors and editors in this field this title provides up-to-date material on drug safety, investment theory, public policy applications, transportation safety, public perception of risk, epidemiological risk, national defence and security, critical infrastructure, and program management. This major publication is easily accessible for all those involved in the field of risk assessment and analysis. For ease-of-use it is available in print and online.


Actuarial Mathematics for Life Contingent Risks

Actuarial Mathematics for Life Contingent Risks
Author: David C. M. Dickson
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 785
Release: 2019-12-19
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1108478085

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This very readable book prepares students for professional exams and for real-world actuarial work in life insurance and pensions.


Effective Statistical Learning Methods for Actuaries I

Effective Statistical Learning Methods for Actuaries I
Author: Michel Denuit
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 441
Release: 2019-09-03
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3030258203

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This book summarizes the state of the art in generalized linear models (GLMs) and their various extensions: GAMs, mixed models and credibility, and some nonlinear variants (GNMs). In order to deal with tail events, analytical tools from Extreme Value Theory are presented. Going beyond mean modeling, it considers volatility modeling (double GLMs) and the general modeling of location, scale and shape parameters (GAMLSS). Actuaries need these advanced analytical tools to turn the massive data sets now at their disposal into opportunities. The exposition alternates between methodological aspects and case studies, providing numerical illustrations using the R statistical software. The technical prerequisites are kept at a reasonable level in order to reach a broad readership. This is the first of three volumes entitled Effective Statistical Learning Methods for Actuaries. Written by actuaries for actuaries, this series offers a comprehensive overview of insurance data analytics with applications to P&C, life and health insurance. Although closely related to the other two volumes, this volume can be read independently.


Risk-Taking in International Politics

Risk-Taking in International Politics
Author: Rose McDermott
Publisher: University of Michigan Press
Total Pages: 256
Release: 2001
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 9780472087877

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Discusses the way leaders deal with risk in making foreign policy decisions


Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance

Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance
Author: Marco Corazza
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 389
Release: 2021-12-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3030789659

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The cooperation and contamination between mathematicians, statisticians and econometricians working in actuarial sciences and finance is improving the research on these topics and producing numerous meaningful scientific results. This volume presents new ideas, in the form of four- to six-page papers, presented at the International Conference eMAF2020 – Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance. Due to the now sadly famous COVID-19 pandemic, the conference was held remotely through the Zoom platform offered by the Department of Economics of the Ca’ Foscari University of Venice on September 18, 22 and 25, 2020. eMAF2020 is the ninth edition of an international biennial series of scientific meetings, started in 2004 at the initiative of the Department of Economics and Statistics of the University of Salerno. The effectiveness of this idea has been proven by wide participation in all editions, which have been held in Salerno (2004, 2006, 2010 and 2014), Venice (2008, 2012 and 2020), Paris (2016) and Madrid (2018). This book covers a wide variety of subjects: artificial intelligence and machine learning in finance and insurance, behavioral finance, credit risk methods and models, dynamic optimization in finance, financial data analytics, forecasting dynamics of actuarial and financial phenomena, foreign exchange markets, insurance models, interest rate models, longevity risk, models and methods for financial time series analysis, multivariate techniques for financial markets analysis, pension systems, portfolio selection and management, real-world finance, risk analysis and management, trading systems, and others. This volume is a valuable resource for academics, PhD students, practitioners, professionals and researchers. Moreover, it is also of interest to other readers with quantitative background knowledge.


Issues in Insurance and Risk Management: 2013 Edition

Issues in Insurance and Risk Management: 2013 Edition
Author:
Publisher: ScholarlyEditions
Total Pages: 498
Release: 2013-05-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1490107304

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Issues in Insurance and Risk Management / 2013 Edition is a ScholarlyEditions™ book that delivers timely, authoritative, and comprehensive information about Risk Management. The editors have built Issues in Insurance and Risk Management: 2013 Edition on the vast information databases of ScholarlyNews.™ You can expect the information about Risk Management in this book to be deeper than what you can access anywhere else, as well as consistently reliable, authoritative, informed, and relevant. The content of Issues in Insurance and Risk Management: 2013 Edition has been produced by the world’s leading scientists, engineers, analysts, research institutions, and companies. All of the content is from peer-reviewed sources, and all of it is written, assembled, and edited by the editors at ScholarlyEditions™ and available exclusively from us. You now have a source you can cite with authority, confidence, and credibility. More information is available at http://www.ScholarlyEditions.com/.