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Learning, Dynamics of Beliefs, and Asset Pricing

Learning, Dynamics of Beliefs, and Asset Pricing
Author: Tobias Adrian
Publisher:
Total Pages: 139
Release: 2003
Genre:
ISBN:

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(Cont.) Asset price movements in the country affected by contagion are not justified by its own fundamentals. Contagion leads to an increase in the covariance of international financial markets during periods of financial crisis. Two particular events are tested: the stock market crash of 1929 and the Latin American debt crises of 1931. In both events the hypothesis that the crises spread contagiously is rejected with one exception: the French Stock Market.


Empirical Asset Pricing

Empirical Asset Pricing
Author: Wayne Ferson
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 497
Release: 2019-03-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0262039370

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An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.


Joint-Learning, Belief-Covariations, and Asset Prices

Joint-Learning, Belief-Covariations, and Asset Prices
Author: James Yae
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2018
Genre:
ISBN:

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Information and learning environments shape the dynamics of our beliefs that determine asset prices. When an agent jointly learns about consumption and dividend, her beliefs on them inter-temporally co-vary with each other, decoupled from their true underlying relationship. Such information-driven belief-co-variation can create endogenous exposures of financial assets to learning-induced macroeconomic risks in general equilibrium models. Therefore, even a financial asset without any fundamental connection to consumption can bear a huge risk premium that increases with jointness of signals. Also, both overall and relative precision of signals can affect the equity premium non-monotonically following an inverted U-shape curve, which can give us a hint on how on-going innovations in big-data-driven investments will affect asset prices.


Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory

Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory
Author: Darrell Duffie
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 488
Release: 2010-01-27
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1400829208

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This is a thoroughly updated edition of Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory, the standard text for doctoral students and researchers on the theory of asset pricing and portfolio selection in multiperiod settings under uncertainty. The asset pricing results are based on the three increasingly restrictive assumptions: absence of arbitrage, single-agent optimality, and equilibrium. These results are unified with two key concepts, state prices and martingales. Technicalities are given relatively little emphasis, so as to draw connections between these concepts and to make plain the similarities between discrete and continuous-time models. Readers will be particularly intrigued by this latest edition's most significant new feature: a chapter on corporate securities that offers alternative approaches to the valuation of corporate debt. Also, while much of the continuous-time portion of the theory is based on Brownian motion, this third edition introduces jumps--for example, those associated with Poisson arrivals--in order to accommodate surprise events such as bond defaults. Applications include term-structure models, derivative valuation, and hedging methods. Numerical methods covered include Monte Carlo simulation and finite-difference solutions for partial differential equations. Each chapter provides extensive problem exercises and notes to the literature. A system of appendixes reviews the necessary mathematical concepts. And references have been updated throughout. With this new edition, Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory remains at the head of the field.


Artificial Economics

Artificial Economics
Author: Ces Reo Hern Ndez
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 280
Release: 2011-09-28
Genre:
ISBN: 3642029574

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Simulation is used in economics to solve large econometric models, for large-scale micro simulations, and to obtain numerical solutions for policy design in top-down established models. But these applications fail to take advantage of the methods offered by artificial economics (AE) through artificial intelligence and distributed computing. AE is a bottom-up and generative approach of agent-based modelling developed to get a deeper insight into the complexity of economics. AE can be viewed as a very elegant and general class of modelling techniques that generalize numerical economics, mathematical programming and micro simulation approaches. The papers presented in this book address methodological questions and applications of AE to macroeconomics, industrial organization, information and learning, market dynamics, finance and financial markets.


Handbook of Financial Markets: Dynamics and Evolution

Handbook of Financial Markets: Dynamics and Evolution
Author: Thorsten Hens
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 607
Release: 2009-06-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0080921434

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The models of portfolio selection and asset price dynamics in this volume seek to explain the market dynamics of asset prices. Presenting a range of analytical, empirical, and numerical techniques as well as several different modeling approaches, the authors depict the state of debate on the market selection hypothesis. By explicitly assuming the heterogeneity of investors, they present models that are descriptive and normative as well, making the volume useful for both finance theorists and financial practitioners. Explains the market dynamics of asset prices, offering insights about asset management approaches Assumes a heterogeneity of investors that yields descriptive and normative models of portfolio selections and asset pricing dynamics