Investor Heterogeneity And Negative Skewness In Stock Returns PDF Download
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Author | : Ramzi Benkraiem |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 0 |
Release | : 2023 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download Investor Heterogeneity and Negative Skewness in Stock Returns Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
We examine the relation between the probability of future stock price crash and investors' investment horizons. Using negative skewness as a proxy for firm-specific crash risk, we document a positive association between institutional ownership and stock price crash risk. The relation is, however, driven by short-term institutional investors, while the presence of long-term institutional investors has a negative effect on stock price crash risk. In addition, we find that the presence of short-term institutional investors induces corporate risk-taking behavior. Our results are robust to alternative model specifications, endogeneity concerns, and different measures of crash risk and proxies of investors' horizons.
Author | : Rui Albuquerque |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 47 |
Release | : 2009 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download Skewness in Stock Returns, Periodic Cash Payouts, and Investor Heterogeneity Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Author | : Aristogenis Lazos |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 31 |
Release | : 2016 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download Investor Heterogeneity, Sentiment, and Skewness Preference in Options Market Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This paper builds upon and extends Bali and Murray (2013) to investigate skewness preferences when investors with heterogeneous expectations hold long skewness positions. When investors are pessimistic (either pessimistic or optimistic), their overconfidence produces a downward (upward) bias which explains their negative (positive) skewness preference. When investors are optimistic, their overconfidence is reflected in the bottom skewness portfolio which explains why they show a negative skewness preference as a result of overestimation for this portfolio. The over-or-under-valuation takes place in the absence of a risk-premium.
Author | : Rui Henrique Pereira Leite Albuquerque |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 56 |
Release | : 2010 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download Skewness in Stock Returns Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Author | : Rui A. Albuquerque |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 71 |
Release | : 2014 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download Skewness in Stock Returns Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Aggregate stock market returns display negative skewness. Firm stock returns display positive skewness. The large literature that tries to explain the first stylized fact ignores the second. This article provides a unified theory that reconciles the two facts by explicitly modeling firm-level heterogeneity. I build a stationary asset pricing model of firm announcement events where firm returns display positive skewness. I then show that cross-sectional heterogeneity in firm announcement events can lead to conditional asymmetric stock return correlations and negative skewness in aggregate returns. I provide evidence consistent with the model predictions.
Author | : Takeshi Yamada |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 106 |
Release | : 1993 |
Genre | : Stockholders |
ISBN | : |
Download Investor Heterogeneity, Trading Volume, and Asset Pricing Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Author | : Andreas Fagereng |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 69 |
Release | : 2018-07-27 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1484370066 |
Download Heterogeneity and Persistence in Returns to Wealth Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
We provide a systematic analysis of the properties of individual returns to wealth using twelve years of population data from Norway’s administrative tax records. We document a number of novel results. First, during our sample period individuals earn markedly different average returns on their financial assets (a standard deviation of 14%) and on their net worth (a standard deviation of 8%). Second, heterogeneity in returns does not arise merely from differences in the allocation of wealth between safe and risky assets: returns are heterogeneous even within asset classes. Third, returns are positively correlated with wealth: moving from the 10th to the 90th percentile of the financial wealth distribution increases the return by 3 percentage points - and by 17 percentage points when the same exercise is performed for the return to net worth. Fourth, wealth returns exhibit substantial persistence over time. We argue that while this persistence partly reflects stable differences in risk exposure and assets scale, it also reflects persistent heterogeneity in sophistication and financial information, as well as entrepreneurial talent. Finally, wealth returns are (mildly) correlated across generations. We discuss the implications of these findings for several strands of the wealth inequality debate.
Author | : Christian L. Goulding |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 324 |
Release | : 2015 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download Opposite Sides of a Skewed Bet Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
I develop and test a new theory that bridges two major pricing effects from separate literatures: (1) the negative relationship between return skewness and expected returns and (2) the negative relationship between dispersion in financial analysts' earnings forecasts and expected returns. I show that both effects arise intrinsically from market clearing of stochastic demand in a standard noisy rational expectations economy that incorporates skewed assets followed by financial analysts. In such an economy, prices that induce investors to take opposite sides of a skewed risk deviate from fundamental value on average in the direction of skewness. The magnitude of such deviations depends on investors' confidence in fundamentals. Dispersion in analysts' forecasts tends to reduce that confidence, requiring larger deviations to induce offsetting trades. Positive correlation between forecast dispersion and investor heterogeneity arises endogenously. The theory generates several novel testable predictions: (a) skewness and forecast dispersion have a joint impact on expected returns and (b) can yield negative average returns; (c) forecast dispersion has no marginal impact without skewness; (d) the skewness effect can operate without forecast dispersion; (e) higher risk or risk aversion deepens the effects; and (f) higher investor heterogeneity can weaken the effects. Consistent with the theory's implications, I show that skewness and forecast dispersion have a joint impact, yielding an average return gap of 1.61% monthly (19.3% annualized) between stocks in the 5th and 95th percentiles by skewness and dispersion. I also show that forecast dispersion has no marginal impact without skewness and that higher risk or risk aversion is associated with a deepening of their joint effect. These otherwise anomalous discoveries comprise new signicant cross-sectional features of stock returns.
Author | : Stephen Figlewski |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 48 |
Release | : 2014 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download Options on Leveraged ETFs Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
A risk-neutral probability distribution (RND) for future S&P 500 returns extracted from index options contains investors' true expectations and also their risk preferences. But the empirical pricing kernel that emerges in a representative agent framework, which suppresses investor differences, is inconsistent with investor rationality. The anomalous shape can be generated easily in a model with heterogeneous investors facing limits to arbitrage, however. We explore investor heterogeneity directly via RNDs extracted from options on three exchange traded funds with leveraged short and long exposures to the S&P 500 index, and find large differences that are not arbitraged away. For example, holders of ETFs with short exposure to the market value payoffs in negative return states significantly more than those with long exposure do. Separating true expectations from risk premia requires further assumptions, so we consider polar cases in which either all investors have the same expectations but different risk preferences, or the reverse. The results are largely consistent with the expectations differences we anticipate from investors choosing short or leveraged long market exposure. We then look at changes in RNDs to see how realized returns affect investors with different expectations. A large negative realized return raises the median future return expected by bulls but lowers it for bears. Uncertainty over future returns widens for both types of investors when they are wrong and narrows when they are right.
Author | : Anders G. Ekholm |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 26 |
Release | : 2013 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download The Negative News Threshold - an Explanation for Negative Skewness in Stock Returns Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
A vast literature documents negative skewness in stock index return distributions on several markets. We approach the issue of negative skewness from a different angle than in previous studies by combining the Trueman (1997) model of management disclosure practices with symmetric market responses in order to explain negative skewness in stock returns. Our empirical tests reveal that returns for days when non-scheduled news are disclosed are the source of negative skewness in stock returns, as predicted. Our findings hence suggest that negative skewness in stock returns is induced by asymmetries in the news disclosure policies of firm management.