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Trading on Corporate Earnings News

Trading on Corporate Earnings News
Author: John Shon
Publisher: FT Press
Total Pages: 225
Release: 2011-03-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0132615851

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Profit from earnings announcements, by taking targeted, short-term option positions explicitly timed to exploit them! Based on rigorous research and huge data sets, this book identifies the specific earnings-announcement trades most likely to yield profits, and teaches how to make these trades—in plain English, with real examples! Trading on Corporate Earnings News is the first practical, hands-on guide to profiting from earnings announcements. Writing for investors and traders at all experience levels, the authors show how to take targeted, short-term option positions that are explicitly timed to exploit the information in companies’ quarterly earnings announcements. They first present powerful findings of cutting-edge studies that have examined market reactions to quarterly earnings announcements, regularities of earnings surprises, and option trading around corporate events. Drawing on enormous data sets, they identify the types of earnings-announcement trades most likely to yield profits, based on the predictable impacts of variables such as firm size, visibility, past performance, analyst coverage, forecast dispersion, volatility, and the impact of restructurings and acquisitions. Next, they provide real examples of individual stocks–and, in some cases, conduct large sample tests–to guide investors in taking advantage of these documented regularities. Finally, they discuss crucial nuances and pitfalls that can powerfully impact performance.


Why Are Earnings Announcements So Important to Traders and Investors?

Why Are Earnings Announcements So Important to Traders and Investors?
Author: John Shon
Publisher: Pearson Education
Total Pages: 23
Release: 2011-03-16
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0132659549

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This Element is an excerpt from Trading on Corporate Earnings News: Profiting from Targeted, Short-Term Options Positions (9780137084920) by John Shon, Ph.D., and Ping Zhou, Ph.D. Available in print and digital formats. Understand those crucial quarterly earning announcements: how they work, and how they impact stock prices. Quarterly earnings announcement are the most salient, most anticipated, regularly-recurring announcement that companies make. They are the most watched piece of information that comes directly from the people that know the business the best. They are also considered the most reliable source of information, largely because companies are subject to strict SEC Rule 10b-5 rules...


Option Strategies for Earnings Announcements

Option Strategies for Earnings Announcements
Author: Ping Zhou
Publisher: FT Press
Total Pages: 258
Release: 2012-10-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0132947404

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By trading on corporate earnings, investors can reliably profit in both up and down markets, while avoiding market risk for nearly the entire quarter. In this book, two leading traders and portfolio managers present specific, actionable techniques anyone can use to capture these sizable profits. Ping Zhou and John Shon have performed an unprecedented empirical analysis of thousands of stocks, reviewing tens of millions of data points associated with option prices, earnings announcement returns, and fundamentals. Their massive analysis has identified consistent opportunities associated with focusing on the magnitude of the market’s reaction to earnings, not its direction. Option Trading Set-Ups for Corporate Earnings News offers concrete guidance for improving the likelihood of making correct forecasts, and managing the risks of incorrect forecasts. It introduces several ways to exploit option trading opportunities around earnings news, discuss crucial issues that most retail investors haven’t considered, and explore aspects of earnings-related option trading that have never been empirically examined and documented before. For example, they identify hidden patterns and potential opportunities based on valuation, industry, volatility, analyst forecasts, seasonality, and trades that immediately follow earnings announcements. Simply put, trading on earnings reports offers immense profit opportunities, if you know how. This book provides incontrovertible facts and detailed strategies, not just theories and anecdotes!


Stock Price Reaction to Quarterly Earnings Announcements with respect of outlook changes and deviation to consensus forecast

Stock Price Reaction to Quarterly Earnings Announcements with respect of outlook changes and deviation to consensus forecast
Author: Benjamin Schmitt
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 57
Release: 2015-06-02
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3656972419

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Bachelor Thesis from the year 2008 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1.1, EBS European Business School gGmbH (Finance), language: English, abstract: Many authors have already studied about stock price reactions after earnings announcements yet, which is because of the importance of earnings announcements, in particular quarterly earnings announcements, for many investors. However, all major studies concerning this topic deal with long-term scenarios, the stock’s price performance is measured for a time period of at least three quarters. Due to the fact that there are many investors, especially institutional investors such as hedge funds that trade stocks much more frequently, the existing studies are not relevant for them. This paper studies stock price reactions around quarterly earnings announcements for companies listed in Deutscher Aktienindex (DAX) or Midcap DAX (MDAX) with respect to changes of the company’s full-year outlook and of earnings surprise regarding analyst consensus forecast within ten days before and after the announcement date. Hence, this paper aims to analyse short-term reaction to quarterly earnings announcements, which are of relevance for all investors, whose investment strategy is, at least partially, focussing on the short-term performance. The main target group of this analysis are therefore hedge funds and investors that run short-term strategies. Due to the fact that the widespread Event Study Methodology is focused on the long-term, it is irrelevant for this analysis.


The Announcement Waiting Game

The Announcement Waiting Game
Author: Timothy Harindra De Silva
Publisher:
Total Pages: 58
Release: 2021
Genre:
ISBN:

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Firms and asset pricing anomalies earn large returns around earnings announcements. This paper advances an explanation for this phenomenon based on holding costs, which are costs incurred by investors while maintaining an existing position. Since holding costs raise the marginal cost of holding a position, I hypothesize holding costs cause sophisticated investors to concentrate their positions in stocks and anomalies around earnings announcements, which subsequently induces concentration in price discovery around these announcements. This paper proposes empirical tests to identify (i) how holding costs influence the trading behavior of sophisticated investors and (ii) whether holding costs contribute to the concentration in returns around earnings releases through their effects on trading behavior. In sum, this paper hopes to highlight the importance of considering the objective function and constraints of the investors performing price discovery when studying the relationship between information releases and market outcomes.


Why Investors Should Trade Options Around Earnings Announcements

Why Investors Should Trade Options Around Earnings Announcements
Author: John Shon
Publisher: Pearson Education
Total Pages: 20
Release: 2011-03-16
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0132659751

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This Element is an excerpt from Trading on Corporate Earnings News: Profiting from Targeted, Short-Term Options Positions (9780137084920) by John Shon, Ph.D., and Ping Zhou, Ph.D. Available in print and digital formats. Two Line Description How to trade options before earning announcements — and profit whether the market raves or rages! Text Excerpt We’ve all seen perplexing market reactions to earnings announcements, but would you have guessed that this happens 40% of the time? Even if you predict the right direction of an earnings surprise, it’s still easy to lose money with a directional bet. So how can you profit from an earnings announcement? You use an options trading strategy called a “straddle.”


Anticipating Uncertainty

Anticipating Uncertainty
Author: Chao Gao
Publisher:
Total Pages: 63
Release: 2017
Genre:
ISBN:

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Straddles on individual stocks generally earn significantly negative returns. However, average at the money straddles from three days before an earnings announcement to the announcement date yield a highly significant 3.34% return. The positive returns on straddles indicate that investors under-estimate the magnitude of uncertainty around earnings announcements. We find positive straddle returns are more pronounced for smaller firms, firms with higher volatility, higher kurtosis, more volatile past earnings surprises and less trading volume/higher transaction costs. This suggests that when firm signals are noisy, and/or when it is costlier to trade, investors underestimate the uncertainty associated with earnings announcements.


Naive Investors, Earnings Announcements, and Stock Price Movements

Naive Investors, Earnings Announcements, and Stock Price Movements
Author: Richard R. Mendenhall
Publisher:
Total Pages: 30
Release: 2008
Genre:
ISBN:

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This paper addresses the issue of whether investors with acirc;not;SnaAtilde;macr;veacirc;not;? earnings expectations (i.e., earnings forecasts that are systematically less accurate than other publicly available predictions) have sufficient market power to affect common stock prices. The results clearly indicate that when security analysts predict quarterly earnings increases (decreases), from the same fiscal quarter of the prior year, that the abnormal return around the upcoming earnings announcement tends to be positive. When the data are formed into 50 portfolios, about 66% of the abnormal return variation around earnings announcements is explained by the predicted earnings change. This is surprising since the forecasts used are dated from one to thirteen weeks before the earnings announcement.