International Stock Market Cointegration Under The Risk Neutral Measure PDF Download
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Author | : Marie-Hélène Gagnon |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 35 |
Release | : 2016 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download International Stock Market Cointegration Under the Risk-Neutral Measure Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This paper investigates international cointegration and financial integration among equity market indexes using index option data, providing an ex-ante analysis through investor anticipations. Daily time series of risk-neutral variance, skewness, and kurtosis are constructed for five major indexes for three sub-periods between 2003 and 2013. Fractionally cointegrated VAR models are estimated at the international level, accounting for persistence in risk-neutral moments. Our results show that there exist international equilibria in risk-neutral moments defined by several cointegrating vectors. During the 2007-2009 global crisis period, these equilibria are characterized by an increase in persistence and in the speeds of adjustment. Moreover, for risk-neutral variance and skewness, all markets are included in the equilibria and none are weakly exogenous. Outside the global crisis period, the cointegration relationship is more fragmented, especially for higher-order moments. In particular, crash and tail risks are segmented during the European debt crisis.
Author | : Mr.Ray Yeu-Tien Chou |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 16 |
Release | : 1994-08-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1451950705 |
Download Cointegration of International Stock Market Indices Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
In this paper, we derive evidence on the integration of international stock markets from the cointegration properties of international stock market prices. Using the multivariate cointegration test of Johansen, we find that the set of six country stock price indices, including that of the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, and Japan are cointegrated. The results suggest that there are long-run equilibrium relationships among the stock market prices. Subsample and subgroup analyses also indicate that the cointegration relationships have become stronger over time. This is consistent with greater stock market integration amid the increasing liberalization and globalization of capital markets.
Author | : Thomas Dimpfl |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 26 |
Release | : 2016 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download A Note on Cointegration of International Stock Market Indices Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Cointegration has frequently been used in the financial econometrics literature to assess the degree of interdependence of financial markets. We show that if individual stock prices are generated by random walks with possibly contemporaneously correlated innovations, the resulting indices cannot be cointegrated as they are a combination of n random walks which itself is non-stationary by construction. This result holds if (as in factor models) an additional common global or local random walk is allowed for. There will, however, never be less than n random walk components, as otherwise company specific characteristics would be ruled out to affect the stock price permanently. To substantiate the theoretical propositions we simulate stock prices (allowing for heteroscedasticity, correlated innovations and common factors), construct indices and test whether these indices are cointegrated. We show that while heteroscedasticity alone is able to mislead cointegration tests, it is not sufficient to explain at the same time the empirically found high correlation between stock market indices. A common stochastic factor as well as correlated price innovations are necessary to reproduce the empirical characteristic features. We conclude that cointegration is not a suitable method to analyze stock market interdependence.
Author | : Francis X. Diebold |
Publisher | : Oxford University Press |
Total Pages | : 285 |
Release | : 2015-02-03 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0199338329 |
Download Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Connections among different assets, asset classes, portfolios, and the stocks of individual institutions are critical in examining financial markets. Interest in financial markets implies interest in underlying macroeconomic fundamentals. In Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness, Frank Diebold and Kamil Yilmaz propose a simple framework for defining, measuring, and monitoring connectedness, which is central to finance and macroeconomics. These measures of connectedness are theoretically rigorous yet empirically relevant. The approach to connectedness proposed by the authors is intimately related to the familiar econometric notion of variance decomposition. The full set of variance decompositions from vector auto-regressions produces the core of the 'connectedness table.' The connectedness table makes clear how one can begin with the most disaggregated pair-wise directional connectedness measures and aggregate them in various ways to obtain total connectedness measures. The authors also show that variance decompositions define weighted, directed networks, so that these proposed connectedness measures are intimately related to key measures of connectedness used in the network literature. After describing their methods in the first part of the book, the authors proceed to characterize daily return and volatility connectedness across major asset (stock, bond, foreign exchange and commodity) markets as well as the financial institutions within the U.S. and across countries since late 1990s. These specific measures of volatility connectedness show that stock markets played a critical role in spreading the volatility shocks from the U.S. to other countries. Furthermore, while the return connectedness across stock markets increased gradually over time the volatility connectedness measures were subject to significant jumps during major crisis events. This book examines not only financial connectedness, but also real fundamental connectedness. In particular, the authors show that global business cycle connectedness is economically significant and time-varying, that the U.S. has disproportionately high connectedness to others, and that pairwise country connectedness is inversely related to bilateral trade surpluses.
Author | : Ovidiu Calin |
Publisher | : World Scientific Publishing Company |
Total Pages | : 482 |
Release | : 2016-11-25 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9813203102 |
Download Deterministic And Stochastic Topics In Computational Finance Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
What distinguishes this book from other texts on mathematical finance is the use of both probabilistic and PDEs tools to price derivatives for both constant and stochastic volatility models, by which the reader has the advantage of computing explicitly a large number of prices for European, American and Asian derivatives.The book presents continuous time models for financial markets, starting from classical models such as Black-Scholes and evolving towards the most popular models today such as Heston and VAR.A key feature of the textbook is the large number of exercises, mostly solved, which are designed to help the reader to understand the material.The book is based on the author's lectures on topics on computational finance for senior and graduate students, delivered in USA (Princeton University and EMU), Taiwan and Kuwait. The prerequisites are an introductory course in stochastic calculus, as well as the usual calculus sequence.The book is addressed to undergraduate and graduate students in Masters of Finance programs as well as to those who wish to become more efficient in their practical applications.Topics covered:
Author | : Wing-Keung Wong |
Publisher | : Mdpi AG |
Total Pages | : 232 |
Release | : 2022-02-17 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9783036530802 |
Download Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
The Efficient Market Hypothesis believes that it is impossible for an investor to outperform the market because all available information is already built into stock prices. However, some anomalies could persist in stock markets while some other anomalies could appear, disappear and re-appear again without any warning. A Special Issue on "Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets" will be devoted to advancements in the theoretical development of market efficiency and anomaly in the Stock Market, as well as applications in Stock Market efficiency and anomalies.
Author | : Ganapathy Vidyamurthy |
Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
Total Pages | : 295 |
Release | : 2011-02-02 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 111804570X |
Download Pairs Trading Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
The first in-depth analysis of pairs trading Pairs trading is a market-neutral strategy in its most simple form. The strategy involves being long (or bullish) one asset and short (or bearish) another. If properly performed, the investor will gain if the market rises or falls. Pairs Trading reveals the secrets of this rigorous quantitative analysis program to provide individuals and investment houses with the tools they need to successfully implement and profit from this proven trading methodology. Pairs Trading contains specific and tested formulas for identifying and investing in pairs, and answers important questions such as what ratio should be used to construct the pairs properly. Ganapathy Vidyamurthy (Stamford, CT) is currently a quantitative software analyst and developer at a major New York City hedge fund.
Author | : Bernard Dumas |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 34 |
Release | : 1996 |
Genre | : Options (Finance) |
ISBN | : |
Download Implied Volatility Functions Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Abstract: Black and Scholes (1973) implied volatilities tend to be systematically related to the option's exercise price and time to expiration. Derman and Kani (1994), Dupire (1994), and Rubinstein (1994) attribute this behavior to the fact that the Black-Scholes constant volatility assumption is violated in practice. These authors hypothesize that the volatility of the underlying asset's return is a deterministic function of the asset price and time and develop the deterministic volatility function (DVF) option valuation model, which has the potential of fitting the observed cross-section of option prices exactly. Using a sample of S & P 500 index options during the period June 1988 through December 1993, we evaluate the economic significance of the implied deterministic volatility function by examining the predictive and hedging performance of the DV option valuation model. We find that its performance is worse than that of an ad hoc Black-Scholes model with variable implied volatilities.
Author | : David F. DeRosa |
Publisher | : CFA Institute Research Foundation |
Total Pages | : 206 |
Release | : 2021-04-02 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1952927110 |
Download Bursting the Bubble: Rationality in a Seemingly Irrational Market Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
The presence of speculative bubbles in capital markets (an important area of interest in financial history) is widely accepted across many circles. Talk of them is pervasive in the media and especially in the popular financial press. Bubbles are thought to be found primarily in the stock market, which is our main interest, although bubbles are said to occur in other markets. Bubbles go hand in hand with the notion that markets can be irrational. The academic community has a great interest in bubbles, and it has produced scholarly literature that is voluminous. For some economists, doing bubble research is like joining the vanguard of a Kuhnian paradigm shift in economic thinking. Not so fast. If bubbles did exist, they would pose a serious challenge to neoclassical finance. Bubbles would contradict the ideas that markets are rational or work in an informationally efficient manner. That’s what makes the topic of bubbles interesting. This book reviews and evaluates the academic literature as well as some popular investment books on the possible existence of speculative bubbles in the stock market. The main question is whether there is convincing empirical evidence that bubbles exist. A second question is whether the theoretical concepts that have been advanced for bubbles make them plausible. The reader will discover that I am skeptical that bubbles actually exist. But I do not think I or anyone else will ever be able to conclusively prove that there has never been a bubble. From studying the literature and from reading history, I find that many famous purported bubbles reflect inaccurate history or mistakes in analysis or simply cannot be shown to have existed. In other instances, bubbles might have existed. But in each of those cases, there are credible rational explanations. And good evidence exists for the idea that even if bubbles do exist, they are not of great importance to understanding the stock market.
Author | : Xiangyun Gao |
Publisher | : Frontiers Media SA |
Total Pages | : 221 |
Release | : 2024-04-09 |
Genre | : Technology & Engineering |
ISBN | : 2832547532 |
Download Critical Energy Minerals: A Material Enabler for Carbon Neutrality Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
In line with the Paris Agreement, the global community has committed to holding the rise in global temperatures below 1.5 °C pre-industrial levels. At COP26, held recently in Glasgow, participating parties are expected to strengthen their commitment to ambitious 2030 emissions reduction targets to achieve net-zero emissions by the middle of the 21st century. Achieving these ambitious climate goals requires all countries to phase out coal consumption, speed up electrification of transport technologies and mobilize significant investment in renewable energy technologies.