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How Important are Earnings Announcements as an Information Source?

How Important are Earnings Announcements as an Information Source?
Author: Sudipta Basu
Publisher:
Total Pages: 40
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

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In a competitive information market, a single information source can only dominate other sources individually, not collectively. We explore whether earnings announcements constitute such a dominant source using Ball and Shivakumar's (2008) R2 metric: the proportion of the variation in annual returns explained by the four quarterly earnings announcement returns. We find that the earnings announcement days' R2 is 11 percent -- higher than the corresponding R2 of days with dividend announcements, management forecasts, preannouncements, 10-K and 10-Q filings, and their amendments, and comparable to that of the four days with largest realized absolute return in a year. Additional analysis reveals that earnings announcements convey extreme bad news as often as management forecasts and preannouncements; for any other type of news earnings announcements are much more frequent. We conclude that earnings announcements are an important source of new information in the equity market.


Why Are Earnings Announcements So Important to Traders and Investors?

Why Are Earnings Announcements So Important to Traders and Investors?
Author: John Shon
Publisher: Pearson Education
Total Pages: 23
Release: 2011-03-16
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0132659549

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This Element is an excerpt from Trading on Corporate Earnings News: Profiting from Targeted, Short-Term Options Positions (9780137084920) by John Shon, Ph.D., and Ping Zhou, Ph.D. Available in print and digital formats. Understand those crucial quarterly earning announcements: how they work, and how they impact stock prices. Quarterly earnings announcement are the most salient, most anticipated, regularly-recurring announcement that companies make. They are the most watched piece of information that comes directly from the people that know the business the best. They are also considered the most reliable source of information, largely because companies are subject to strict SEC Rule 10b-5 rules...


The Inferential Value of Quarterly Earnings Announcements Relative to Other Sources of Information

The Inferential Value of Quarterly Earnings Announcements Relative to Other Sources of Information
Author: C. Catherine Chiang
Publisher:
Total Pages: 41
Release: 2011
Genre:
ISBN:

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This paper evaluates the prevalent view that accounting information competes with, but also disciplines, information from other sources by examining the inferential value to investors of accounting versus non-accounting information. Inferential value is defined as the ability of the capital markets to draw the correct inference from the information signals regarding future firm performance. Both average quarterly accounting rate of return on equity and excess stock returns are used as measures of firm performance. The findings indicate that a market-normalized accounting rate of return derived from stock prices and excess returns measured around earnings announcement dates are more highly correlated with changes in future firm performance than similar measures in the non-disclosure periods. The findings support the prevalent view that accounting information disciplines information from other sources.


Using Earnings Announcement Returns as Evidence of Mispricing

Using Earnings Announcement Returns as Evidence of Mispricing
Author: Dennis J. Chambers
Publisher:
Total Pages: 43
Release: 2004
Genre:
ISBN:

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Numerous studies have used the proportion of anomalous returns earned during earnings announcement intervals as evidence to distinguish between risk and mispricing explanations for those returns. This approach implicitly assumes that returns expected as compensation for risk-bearing are earned evenly through time. However, previous research also suggests that expected returns may be higher at earnings announcements than at other times when the flow of firm-specific information between earnings announcements is sparse and the disclosure of earnings is expected to resolve significant uncertainty. We provide evidence that returns are more concentrated at earnings announcements for firms with low information flow than for firms with high information flow. We then demonstrate that earnings announcement returns concentrations associated with the well-known book-to-market returns anomaly are no longer evident after controlling for cross-firm variation in information flow. Overall, our results suggest that before interpreting a concentration of anomalous returns at earnings announcements as evidence of mispricing, care should be taken to insure that the concentration is not related to information flow.


Investor Attention and the Pricing of Earnings News

Investor Attention and the Pricing of Earnings News
Author: Asher Curtis
Publisher:
Total Pages: 40
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN:

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We investigate whether investor attention is associated with the pricing (and mispricing) of earnings news where investor attention is measured using social media activity. We find that high levels of investor attention are associated with greater sensitivity of earnings announcement returns to earnings surprises, with the effect being strongest for firms that beat analysts' forecasts. This appears to be appropriate pricing, on average, as only firms with low levels of attention are associated with significant post-earnings-announcement drift. Our results are distinct from other information sources including traditional media outlets, financial blogs, and internet search engine activity. Our results are consistent with investor attention observed in social media activity having distinct effects on the pricing and mispricing of earnings news.


Information Content of Earnings Announcements

Information Content of Earnings Announcements
Author: Christine X. Jiang
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2017
Genre:
ISBN:

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We study after-hours trading (AHT), price contributions, and price discovery following quarterly earnings announcements released outside of the normal trading hours. For Standard & Poor's (S&P) 500 index stocks from 2004-2008, AHT is heightened on announcement days. A significant portion of the price change and price discovery occurs immediately after the earnings releases. Prices in AHT show a large degree of informational efficiency, further demonstrating the importance of price discovery in AHT. We also provide evidence suggesting that firms prefer after-hours earnings announcements, as trades are mainly from informed traders, and those trades are relied upon to convey information to the general public.


Earnings Quality

Earnings Quality
Author: Jennifer Francis
Publisher: Now Publishers Inc
Total Pages: 97
Release: 2008
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1601981147

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This review lays out a research perspective on earnings quality. We provide an overview of alternative definitions and measures of earnings quality and a discussion of research design choices encountered in earnings quality research. Throughout, we focus on a capital markets setting, as opposed, for example, to a contracting or stewardship setting. Our reason for this choice stems from the view that the capital market uses of accounting information are fundamental, in the sense of providing a basis for other uses, such as stewardship. Because resource allocations are ex ante decisions while contracting/stewardship assessments are ex post evaluations of outcomes, evidence on whether, how and to what degree earnings quality influences capital market resource allocation decisions is fundamental to understanding why and how accounting matters to investors and others, including those charged with stewardship responsibilities. Demonstrating a link between earnings quality and, for example, the costs of equity and debt capital implies a basic economic role in capital allocation decisions for accounting information; this role has only recently been documented in the accounting literature. We focus on how the precision of financial information in capturing one or more underlying valuation-relevant constructs affects the assessment and use of that information by capital market participants. We emphasize that the choice of constructs to be measured is typically contextual. Our main focus is on the precision of earnings, which we view as a summary indicator of the overall quality of financial reporting. Our intent in discussing research that evaluates the capital market effects of earnings quality is both to stimulate further research in this area and to encourage research on related topics, including, for example, the role of earnings quality in contracting and stewardship.


Media Coverage and Investors' Attention to Earnings Announcements

Media Coverage and Investors' Attention to Earnings Announcements
Author: Joel Peress
Publisher:
Total Pages: 51
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN:

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Does investors' inattention contribute to the post-earnings announcement drift? I study this question using media coverage as a proxy for attention. I compare announcements made by the same firm in the same year and generating the same earnings surprise, when one announcement is covered in the Wall Street Journal while the other is not. I find that announcements with media coverage generate a stronger price and trading volume reaction at the time of the announcement and less subsequent drift. Moreover, this effect is less pronounced for more visible firms and on high-distraction days. These results are both economically and statistically strong. They lend support to the notion that limited attention is an important source of friction in financial markets.


Changes in Analysts' Information Around Earnings Announcements

Changes in Analysts' Information Around Earnings Announcements
Author: Orie E. Barron
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2002
Genre:
ISBN:

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In this study we examine changes in the precision and the commonality of information contained in individual analysts' earnings forecasts, focusing on changes around earnings announcements. Using the empirical proxies suggested by the Barron et al. (1998) model that are based on the across-analyst correlation in forecast errors, we find that the commonality of information among active analysts significantly decreases around earnings announcements. We also find that the idiosyncratic information contained in these individual analysts' forecasts increases significantly immediately after earnings announcements, and this increase is more significant as more analysts revise their forecasts. These results are consistent with theories positing that an important role of accounting releases is to trigger the generation of idiosyncratic information by elite information processors such as financial analysts (Kim and Verrecchia 1994, 1997).