Horizon Effect In The Term Structure Of Long Run Risk Return Trade Offs PDF Download
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Author | : Cedric Okou |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 45 |
Release | : 2014 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download Horizon Effect in the Term Structure of Long-run Risk-return Trade-offs Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Author | : John Y. Campbell |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 45 |
Release | : 2005 |
Genre | : Investments |
ISBN | : |
Download The Term Structure of the Risk-return Tradeoff Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Recent research in empirical finance has documented that expected excess returns on bonds and stocks, real interest rates, and risk shift over time in predictable ways. Furthermore, these shifts tend to persist over long periods of time. In this paper we propose an empirical model that is able to capture these complex dynamics, yet is simple to apply in practice, and we explore its implications for asset allocation. Changes in investment opportunities can alter the risk-return tradeoff of bonds, stocks, and cash across investment horizons, thus creating a term structure of the risk-return tradeoff.'' We show how to extract this term structure from our parsimonious model of return dynamics, and illustrate our approach using data from the U.S. stock and bond markets. We find that asset return predictability has important effects on the variance and correlation structure of returns on stocks, bonds and T-bills across investment horizons
Author | : John Y. Campbell |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 54 |
Release | : 2008 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Download The Term Structure of the Risk-Return Trade-Off Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Expected excess returns on bonds and stocks, real interest rates, and risk shift over time in predictable ways. Furthermore, these shifts tend to persist for long periods. Changes in investment opportunities can alter the risk-return trade-off of bonds, stocks, and cash across investment horizons, thus creating a term structure of the risk-return trade-off. This term structure can be extracted from a parsimonious model of return dynamics, as is illustrated with data from the U.S. stock and bond markets.
Author | : John Y. Campbell |
Publisher | : OUP Oxford |
Total Pages | : 272 |
Release | : 2002-01-03 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 019160691X |
Download Strategic Asset Allocation Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Academic finance has had a remarkable impact on many financial services. Yet long-term investors have received curiously little guidance from academic financial economists. Mean-variance analysis, developed almost fifty years ago, has provided a basic paradigm for portfolio choice. This approach usefully emphasizes the ability of diversification to reduce risk, but it ignores several critically important factors. Most notably, the analysis is static; it assumes that investors care only about risks to wealth one period ahead. However, many investors—-both individuals and institutions such as charitable foundations or universities—-seek to finance a stream of consumption over a long lifetime. In addition, mean-variance analysis treats financial wealth in isolation from income. Long-term investors typically receive a stream of income and use it, along with financial wealth, to support their consumption. At the theoretical level, it is well understood that the solution to a long-term portfolio choice problem can be very different from the solution to a short-term problem. Long-term investors care about intertemporal shocks to investment opportunities and labor income as well as shocks to wealth itself, and they may use financial assets to hedge their intertemporal risks. This should be important in practice because there is a great deal of empirical evidence that investment opportunities—-both interest rates and risk premia on bonds and stocks—-vary through time. Yet this insight has had little influence on investment practice because it is hard to solve for optimal portfolios in intertemporal models. This book seeks to develop the intertemporal approach into an empirical paradigm that can compete with the standard mean-variance analysis. The book shows that long-term inflation-indexed bonds are the riskless asset for long-term investors, it explains the conditions under which stocks are safer assets for long-term than for short-term investors, and it shows how labor income influences portfolio choice. These results shed new light on the rules of thumb used by financial planners. The book explains recent advances in both analytical and numerical methods, and shows how they can be used to understand the portfolio choice problems of long-term investors.
Author | : |
Publisher | : Lulu.com |
Total Pages | : 294 |
Release | : 2004 |
Genre | : Bank capital |
ISBN | : 9291316695 |
Download International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Author | : Gordon L. Clark |
Publisher | : Oxford University Press, USA |
Total Pages | : 954 |
Release | : 2006-07-20 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9780199272464 |
Download The Oxford Handbook of Pensions and Retirement Income Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
This handbook draws on research from a range of academic disciplines to reflect on the implications for provisions of pension and retirement income of demographic ageing. it reviews the latest research, policy related tools, analytical methods and techniques and major theoretical frameworks.
Author | : Halbert White |
Publisher | : Oxford University Press, USA |
Total Pages | : 512 |
Release | : 1999 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9780198296836 |
Download Cointegration, Causality, and Forecasting Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
A collection of essays in honour of Clive Granger. The chapters are by some of the world's leading econometricians, all of whom have collaborated with and/or studied with both) Clive Granger. Central themes of Granger's work are reflected in the book with attention to tests for unit roots and cointegration, tests of misspecification, forecasting models and forecast evaluation, non-linear and non-parametric econometric techniques, and overall, a careful blend of practical empirical work and strong theory. The book shows the scope of Granger's research and the range of the profession that has been influenced by his work.
Author | : Julian Holler |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 434 |
Release | : 2012-01-02 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 3834936162 |
Download Hedge Funds and Financial Markets Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Hedge funds have started to play an important role in financial markets during the last decade. They have affected important aspects of financial intermediation such as asset allocation decisions and corporate governance. Julian Holler provides an excellent theoretical and empirical analysis of these issues. His analysis offers strong support that hedge funds enable investors to improve asset allocation decisions. Consequently, hedge funds are an interesting alternative asset class for institutional investors. In contrast to results for the U.S. capital market his research provides evidence that hedge fund activism does not persistently increase the value of firms in Germany. This result suggests that the institutional environment has a strong influence on the effectiveness of corporate governance mechanisms.
Author | : Mr.Ralph Chami |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 26 |
Release | : 2020-03-13 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1513531867 |
Download Riding the Yield Curve: Risk Taking Behavior in a Low Interest Rate Environment Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Investors seek to hedge against interest rate risk by taking long or short positions on bonds of different maturities. We study changes in risk taking behavior in a low interest rate environment by estimating a market stochastic discount factor that is non-linear and therefore consistent with the empirical properties of cashflow valuations identified in the literature. We provide evidence that non-linearities arise from hedging strategies of investors exposed to interest rate risk. Capital losses are amplified when interest rates increase and risk averse investors have taken positions on instruments with longer maturity, expecting instead interest rates to revert back to their historical average.
Author | : Bengt Holmstrom |
Publisher | : MIT Press |
Total Pages | : 263 |
Release | : 2013-01-11 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0262518538 |
Download Inside and Outside Liquidity Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle
Two leading economists develop a theory explaining the demand for and supply of liquid assets. Why do financial institutions, industrial companies, and households hold low-yielding money balances, Treasury bills, and other liquid assets? When and to what extent can the state and international financial markets make up for a shortage of liquid assets, allowing agents to save and share risk more effectively? These questions are at the center of all financial crises, including the current global one. In Inside and Outside Liquidity, leading economists Bengt Holmström and Jean Tirole offer an original, unified perspective on these questions. In a slight, but important, departure from the standard theory of finance, they show how imperfect pledgeability of corporate income leads to a demand for as well as a shortage of liquidity with interesting implications for the pricing of assets, investment decisions, and liquidity management. The government has an active role to play in improving risk-sharing between consumers with limited commitment power and firms dealing with the high costs of potential liquidity shortages. In this perspective, private risk-sharing is always imperfect and may lead to financial crises that can be alleviated through government interventions.